Sat, Aug 30 2025
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Week 1
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🏟 LaVell Edwards Stadium
Provo, UT
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Turf
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63,725 cap
Portland State✈ 676 mi+1 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
BYU wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
BYU -43.5
O/U 61.5
Bovada
Portland State 2025 Schedule
Portland State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Portland State at BYU | +43.5L0–69 | 61.5 | L0–69 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/13 | Portland State at Hawai'i | +35.5L3–23 | 54.5 | L3–23 | U | Y |
BYU 2025 Schedule
BYU's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | BYU vs Portland State | -43.5W69–0 | 61.5 | W69–0 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/6 | BYU vs Stanford | -20.5W27–3 | 44.5 | W27–3 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/20 | BYU at East Carolina | -6.5W34–13 | 49.5 | W34–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | BYU at Colorado | -6.5W24–21 | 48.5 | W24–21 | U | N |
| Fri 10/3 | BYU vs West Virginia | -19.5W38–24 | 46.5 | W38–24 | O | N |
| Sat 10/11 | BYU at Arizona | -2.5W33–27 | 46.5 | W33–27 | O | Y |
| Sat 10/18 | BYU vs Utah | +4.0W24–21 | 49.5 | W24–21 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/25 | BYU at Iowa State | +2.5W41–27 | 48.5 | W41–27 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/8 | BYU at Texas Tech | +13.5L7–29 | 50.5 | L7–29 | U | N |
| Sat 11/15 | BYU vs TCU | -3.0W44–13 | 51.5 | W44–13 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | BYU at Cincinnati | -2.5W26–14 | 56.5 | W26–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/29 | BYU vs UCF | -17.5W41–21 | 46.5 | W41–21 | O | Y |
| Sat 12/6 | BYU vs Texas Tech | +12.5L7–34 | 50.5 | L7–34 | U | N |
| Sat 12/27 | BYU vs Georgia Tech | -3.5W25–21 | 55.0 | W25–21 | U | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Portland State Edge
Portland State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
BYU Edge
BYU +48.8
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓