Northwestern at Purdue - 2020 Matchup Preview
Northwestern logo Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue BoilermakersPurdue logo
Saturday, November 14th 2020 (5:00 PM EST)
Northwestern -3.5 (48.5)
Northwestern 27 - Purdue: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (7 - 2) (8 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 16 (23 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
PUR coming off BYE
NW is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ NW -4)
Projected Score: NW: 28 - PUR: 24 (52)
NW Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NW Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs behind
Boilermakers (2 - 4) (1 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (25 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Northwestern vs Maryland-14.051.0W 43 - 3UY
Sat 10/31 Northwestern at Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/7 Northwestern vs Nebraska-4.053.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 11/14 Northwestern at Purdue-3.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 11/21 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+7.543.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/28 Northwestern at Michigan State-13.540.0L 20 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Northwestern vs Illinois-13.041.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 12/19 Northwestern vs Ohio State+16.557.5L 10 - 22UY
Fri 1/1 Northwestern vs Auburn-3.543.5W 35 - 19OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Purdue's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Purdue vs Iowa+3.552.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/31 Purdue at Illinois-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Purdue vs Northwestern+3.548.5L 20 - 27UN
Fri 11/20 Purdue at Minnesota-2.560.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/28 Purdue vs Rutgers-12.061.0L 30 - 37ON
Sat 12/5 Purdue vs Nebraska-1.064.0L 27 - 37UN
Sat 12/12 Purdue at Indiana+10.551.5
Fri 12/18 Purdue at Indiana+5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.1140%24.735%2.4316445%1993.93.0338%15.945%33%2.0640.41.62.1
PUR.1944%27.245%2.648144%3093.8.1744%29.842%46%3.88601.21.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense924.722.739.6%3.931.6203631641993.855%45%35%45%16%.11
PUR Defense629.830.343.7%3.881.2 - - - - - 56%44%42%46%14%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense915.92338.2%2.062.1 - - - - - 45%55%45%33%20%.03
PUR Offense627.225.343.9%3.81.223390813093.334%66%45%44%16%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern931:1820.340%69%540.41.62.16.11.6030.3
Purdue627:4022.738%55%7601.21.25.50.8027.8
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense955%35%43.41643.816-.052.4358%11%0.92
PUR Defense656%42% - - - - -.022.574%10%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense945%45% - - - - .112.9662%11%0.98
PUR Offense634%45%2581.33.34-.012.6459%10%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense945%45%19.231.4198.96.310.4128.321.530%34%.415%2
PUR Defense644%46% - - - - - - 3.411.531%33%.394%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense955%33% - - - - - - 14-.041.434%28%.189%1.9
PUR Offense666%44%29.343.53097.110.5154.291.431%29%.36%2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2020 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #30
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #93
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.7  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Purdue: 5.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 10.1   Purdue: 6.1




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 5.55 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2020 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #42
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #35
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #61

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.7
Defense: 15.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Northwestern's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 28
Purdue 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 29
Purdue 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 27
Purdue 23

Total Points: 50
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 27.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.3

Purdue's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Northwestern19Purdue0Northwestern -3Northwestern47.5Under
202411/02Purdue20Northwestern26Purdue -3Northwestern44.5Over
202311/18Northwestern23Purdue15Northwestern -2.5Northwestern47.5Under
202211/19Purdue17Northwestern9Purdue -17.5Northwestern44.5Under
202111/20Northwestern14Purdue32Purdue -11Purdue47.5Under
202011/14Purdue20Northwestern27Northwestern -3.5Northwestern48.5Under
201911/09Northwestern22Purdue24Purdue -0.0Purdue38.5Over
201808/30Purdue27Northwestern31Purdue -1Northwestern52.5Over
201711/11Northwestern23Purdue13Northwestern -6Northwestern49.5Under
201611/12Purdue17Northwestern45Northwestern -10.5Northwestern58.0Over
201511/14Northwestern21Purdue14Northwestern -13Purdue48.0Under
201411/22Purdue14Northwestern38Northwestern -2Northwestern0
201010/09Northwestern17Purdue20
200910/03Purdue21Northwestern27
200810/18Northwestern48Purdue26
200710/27Purdue35Northwestern17
200610/14Northwestern10Purdue31
200510/15Purdue29Northwestern34
200410/30Northwestern13Purdue10
200311/01Purdue34Northwestern14
200210/26Northwestern13Purdue42
200110/27Purdue32Northwestern27
200010/13Northwestern28Purdue41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue1034 Overs
Northwestern1397 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 93 - 50 - 4
Road Teams13 - 109 - 34 - 05 - 3

(#) NW at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #42
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 46° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Northwestern 3.5 (48.5)
Northwestern won at Purdue this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)
Purdue beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-9)

  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD