Purdue at Illinois - 2020 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, October 31st 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Purdue -7.0
Purdue 31 - Illinois: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (2 - 4) (1 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ PUR -10)
Projected Score: PUR: 18 - ILL: 32 (50)
PUR Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (2 - 6) (2 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Purdue vs Iowa+3.552.0W 24 - 20UY
Sat 10/31 Purdue at Illinois-7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Purdue vs Northwestern+3.548.5L 20 - 27UN
Fri 11/20 Purdue at Minnesota-2.560.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 11/28 Purdue vs Rutgers-12.061.0L 30 - 37ON
Sat 12/5 Purdue vs Nebraska-1.064.0L 27 - 37UN
Sat 12/12 Purdue at Indiana+10.551.5
Fri 12/18 Purdue at Indiana+5.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Illinois's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/23 Illinois at Wisconsin+20.551.5L 7 - 45ON
Sat 10/31 Illinois vs Purdue+7.0
Sat 11/7 Illinois vs Minnesota+7.564.5L 14 - 41UN
Sat 11/14 Illinois at Rutgers+5.551.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 11/21 Illinois at Nebraska+17.061.0W 41 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Illinois vs Iowa+13.553.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 12/12 Illinois at Northwestern+13.041.0L 10 - 28UN
Sat 12/19 Illinois at Penn State+16.053.5L 21 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.1341%18.837%2.398343%3104.245%31.847%40%3.337.71.91.3
ILL.138%29.439%2.6814235%1843.47.1143%23.641%42%3.5961.31.43.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1218.815.841.5%41.921393833102.935%63%37%43%23%.13
ILL Defense1323.614.442.6%3.593.2 - - - - - 59%39%41%42%20%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.834.444.7%3.31.3 - - - - - 53%45%47%40%19%.2
ILL Offense1329.431.338%3.471.4173261421843.852%47%39%35%25%.1

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1227:3520.640%50%4.637.71.91.38.52.8125.3
Illinois1325:3617.235%36%6.761.31.43.29.62.8429.9
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1235%37%28.583.32.99-.082.3965%13%0.74
ILL Defense1359%41% - - - - .042.6273%15%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1253%47% - - - - .163.0680%13%0.93
ILL Offense1352%39%37.2141.93.819.072.6876%16%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1263%43%26.743.3309.97.211.62915.261.535%33%.2410%1.8
ILL Defense1339%42% - - - - - - 12.241.732%32%.215%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1245%40% - - - - - - 9.261.830%33%.426%2
ILL Offense1347%35%15.228184.46.612.2199.151.735%28%.229%1.9

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2020 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #42
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #35
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #61

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois: 0.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 6.1   Illinois: -4.1




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 0.45 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2020 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.1  #89
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #82
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #89

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 2 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 32
Purdue 18

Projected Total Points: 50
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 4
Record at home: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Purdue27Illinois43Illinois -7.5Illinois55.5Over
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49Illinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19Purdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31Illinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9Purdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31Purdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24Purdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46Purdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10Purdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34Illinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48Illinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38Illinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20Illinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois846 Overs
Purdue1584 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 109 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #89
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #40 #39
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #61
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'20 Profile: Remains Average G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Purdue 7.0 (0)
Purdue won at Illinois this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (43-27)
Illinois beat Purdue in 2024 (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD