Northwestern at Michigan State - 2020 Matchup Preview
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Northwestern Wildcats at Michigan State Spartans

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Saturday, November 28th 2020 (3:30 PM EST)
Northwestern -13.5 (40.0)
Michigan State 29 - Northwestern: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Wildcats (7 - 2) (8 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (15 - 26 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU coming off BYE
NW is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ NW -9)
Projected Score: NW: 24 - MSU: 24 (48)
NW Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
NW Travel: 170 miles, 1 hrs behind
Spartans (2 - 5) (2 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northwestern's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Northwestern vs Maryland-14.051.0W 43 - 3UY
Sat 10/31 Northwestern at Iowa+3.0
Sat 11/7 Northwestern vs Nebraska-4.053.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 11/14 Northwestern at Purdue-3.548.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 11/21 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+7.543.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 11/28 Northwestern at Michigan State-13.540.0L 20 - 29ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Northwestern vs Illinois-13.041.0W 28 - 10UY
Sat 12/19 Northwestern vs Ohio State+16.557.5L 10 - 22UY
Fri 1/1 Northwestern vs Auburn-3.543.5W 35 - 19OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Michigan State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Rutgers-9.545.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 10/31 Michigan State at Michigan+25.0
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Iowa+5.546.0L 7 - 49ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.0L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Northwestern+13.540.0W 29 - 20OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Ohio State+22.559.0L 12 - 52ON
Sat 12/12 Michigan State at Penn State+14.545.5L 24 - 39ON
Sat 12/19 Michigan State at Maryland+2.550.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW.0136%23.437%2.8818034%1182.88.0840%19.836%42%3.2648.51.91.8
MSU.0941%24.638%2.4812742%2452.91.0738%29.935%38%3.3653.81.82
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1223.415.236.4%2.881.9182981801184.159%40%37%34%25%.01
MSU Defense1329.927.837.5%3.362 - - - - - 46%53%35%38%25%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Defense1219.82640%3.261.8 - - - - - 50%48%36%42%21%.08
MSU Offense1324.624.841.3%2.911.8213721272453.548%50%38%42%18%.09

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1229:5717.636%39%5.448.51.91.86.52.5027.9
Michigan State1331:2321.136%62%5.853.81.829.83.8129.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1259%37%44.21804.117.032.8864%16%0.92
MSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.032.4464%18%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Defense1250%36% - - - - .012.5175%12%0.97
MSU Offense1348%38%36127.23.512-.052.4865%10%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1240%34%12.925.9117.84.69.1615-.011.537%27%.149%1.7
MSU Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.151.537%29%.198%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 7.181.435%33%.319%1.8
MSU Offense1350%42%20.835.7244.86.911.81715.241.535%35%.258%1.5

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2020 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.1  #30
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #93
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.7  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Michigan State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: 10.1   Michigan State: 1.2




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #65
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #109
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1  #12

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.2
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Northwestern's 2020 Record
Record: 7 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 24
Michigan State 24

Projected Total Points: 48
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 2
Record at home: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/03Northwestern21Michigan State38Northwestern -3Michigan State45.5Over
202011/28Michigan State29Northwestern20Northwestern -13.5Michigan State40.0Over
201909/21Northwestern10Michigan State31Michigan State -7.5Michigan State35.0Over
201810/06Michigan State19Northwestern29Michigan State -10.5Northwestern43.0Over
201710/28Northwestern39Michigan State31Michigan State -2Northwestern41.5Over
201610/15Michigan State40Northwestern54Michigan State -6.5Northwestern41.0Over
201311/23Northwestern6Michigan State30Michigan State -7Michigan State0
201211/17Michigan State20Northwestern23
201111/26Northwestern17Michigan State31
201010/23Northwestern27Michigan State35
200910/17Michigan State24Northwestern14
200810/11Northwestern20Michigan State37
200710/06Michigan State41Northwestern48
200610/21Northwestern38Michigan State41
200510/22Michigan State14Northwestern49
200209/28Michigan State39Northwestern24
200109/29Northwestern27Michigan State26
200009/29Michigan State17Northwestern37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1046 Overs
Northwestern830 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 132 - 50 - 32 - 2
Road Teams13 - 55 - 22 - 23 - 0

(#) NW at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNWMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #30 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #46 #33
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #93 #12
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCat
NW OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Top G5

NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
Northwestern 13.5 (40.0)
Michigan State won vs Northwestern this year (29-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD