Boise State at Florida State - 2019 Matchup Preview

Boise State Broncos at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, August 31st 2019 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida State -6.5 (55.0)
Boise State 36 - Florida State: 31

Broncos (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 24 (20 - 24 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -0.5 (SP+ BSU -6.5)
Projected Score: BSU: 22 - FSU: 31 (53)
FSU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BSU Travel: 1964 miles, 2 hrs behind

Seminoles (6 - 7) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BSU Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boise State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Boise State at Florida State	+6.5	55.0	W 36 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/6	Boise State vs Marshall	-14.0	58.0	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/14	Boise State vs Portland State	-32.5	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/20	Boise State vs Air Force	-7.5	53.0	W 30 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5	Boise State at UNLV	-24.0	57.0	W 38 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Boise State vs Hawai'i	-11.5	60.5	W 59 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Boise State at BYU	-7.0	45.0	L 25 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Boise State at San José State	-16.0	60.0	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/9	Boise State vs Wyoming	-16.0	49.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/16	Boise State vs New Mexico	-27.5	59.0	W 42 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Boise State at Utah State	-9.5	53.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/29	Boise State at Colorado State	-13.5	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/7	Boise State vs Hawai'i	-14.0	65.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/21	Boise State vs Washington	+4.0	48.0	L 7 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule

Florida State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Florida State vs Boise State	-6.5	55.0	L 31 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/7	Florida State vs UL Monroe	-22.5	65.5	W 45 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/14	Florida State at Virginia	+7.0	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/21	Florida State vs Louisville	-6.5	61.0	W 35 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Florida State vs NC State	-7.0	62.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Florida State at Clemson	+25.5	60.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/19	Florida State at Wake Forest	-3.0	69.0	L 20 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/26	Florida State vs Syracuse	-12.0	60.0	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Florida State vs Miami	-3.0	50.0	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/9	Florida State at Boston College	+1.0	64.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Florida State vs Alabama State	-41.0	53.0	W 49 - 12	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Florida State at Florida	+16.5	55.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Tue 12/31	Florida State vs Arizona State	+3.5	51.5	L 14 - 20	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU	.24	48%	29.9	46%	2.78	168	49%	292	3.75	.12	41%	24.1	42%	38%	3.14	53.8	1	1.6
FSU	.09	35%	33	32%	2.15	91	35%	271	3.42	.08	41%	22	40%	39%	3.37	70.3	2.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Offense	13	29.9	19.8	48.4%	3.75	1	24	460	168	292	4.2	48%	51%	46%	49%	13%	.24
FSU Defense	12	22	16.1	40.6%	3.37	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	40%	39%	16%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BSU Defense	13	24.1	23.8	41.4%	3.14	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	42%	38%	16%	.12
FSU Offense	12	33	43.3	34.6%	3.42	2.2	17	362	91	271	2.8	44%	55%	32%	35%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boise State	13	32:52	24.2	52%	59%	5.8	53.8	1	1.6	5.8	2.8	3	30.7
Florida State	12	27:35	17.3	29%	50%	9	70.3	2.2	1.3	5.7	2.3	2	26

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Offense	13	48%	46%	39.8	167.5	4.2	24	.08	2.78	72%	9%	0.89
FSU Defense	12	47%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.74	59%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BSU Defense	13	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.72	67%	12%	0.86
FSU Offense	12	44%	32%	32.7	91	2.8	11	-.08	2.15	66%	14%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Offense	13	51%	49%	23.8	35.4	292	8.3	12.3	31	8	.42	1.6	30%	39%	.46	4%	2
FSU Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.18	1.6	34%	31%	.24	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BSU Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.16	1.6	34%	26%	.08	4%	1.8
FSU Offense	12	55%	35%	21.7	37.9	270.6	7.1	12.5	20	13	.25	1.8	39%	27%	.24	6%	2

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #37
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #38
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #48

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State: Florida State: 3.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State: 8.1 Florida State: 1.8

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 3.4 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.8 #57
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2 #48
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boise State Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Boise State's 2019 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 31
Boise State 22

Projected Total Points: 53

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2019 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	08/31	Florida State	31	Boise State	36	Florida State -6.5	Boise State	55.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	0	0	1 Overs
Boise State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) BSU at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BSU	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#37	#57
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#62	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boise State Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Boise State on Offense


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boise State Run Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Boise State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BSU Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	BSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

BSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Florida State -6.5 (55.0)
Boise State won at Florida State this year (36-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD