Houston at Navy - 2018 Matchup Preview
Houston logo Houston Cougars at Navy MidshipmenNavy logo
Saturday, October 20th 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Houston -11 (59.5)
Houston 49 - Navy: 36  (American Athletic)

 
Cougars (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 37 (41 - 41 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
HOU 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ HOU -12.5)
Projected Score: HOU: 37 - NAVY: 34 (71)
HOU Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
HOU Travel: 1247 miles, 1 hrs behind
Midshipmen (3 - 10) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 34 (33 - 29 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Houston's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Houston at Rice-25.555.5W 45 - 27ON
Sat 9/8 Houston vs Arizona-3.071.0W 45 - 18UY
Sat 9/15 Houston at Texas Tech+1.068.0L 49 - 63ON
Sat 9/22 Houston vs Texas Southern-55.065.5W 70 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/4 Houston vs Tulsa-17.571.5W 41 - 26UN
Sat 10/13 Houston at East Carolina-16.069.5W 42 - 20UY
Sat 10/20 Houston at Navy-11.059.5W 49 - 36OY
Sat 10/27 Houston vs South Florida-10.076.0W 57 - 36OY
Sat 11/3 Houston at SMU-14.071.0L 31 - 45ON
Sat 11/10 Houston vs Temple-3.569.5L 49 - 59ON
Thu 11/15 Houston vs Tulane-7.568.0W 48 - 17UY
Fri 11/23 Houston at Memphis+9.575.5L 31 - 52ON
Sat 12/22 Houston vs Army+6.556.0L 14 - 70ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule
Navy's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Navy at Hawai'i-12.562.5L 41 - 59ON
Sat 9/8 Navy vs Memphis+7.067.0W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/15 Navy vs Lehigh-33.057.5W 51 - 21ON
Sat 9/22 Navy at SMU-6.557.5L 30 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6 Navy at Air Force-2.547.0L 7 - 35UN
Sat 10/13 Navy vs Temple+6.549.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 10/20 Navy vs Houston+11.059.5L 36 - 49ON
Sat 10/27 Navy vs Notre Dame+21.555.5L 22 - 44ON
Sat 11/3 Navy at Cincinnati+13.047.0L 0 - 42UN
Sat 11/10 Navy at UCF+23.568.0L 24 - 35UY
Sat 11/17 Navy vs Tulsa-5.050.5W 37 - 29OY
Sat 11/24 Navy at Tulane+5.051.5L 28 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/8 Navy vs Army+7.038.5L 10 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU.3345%43.945%3.1521744%2954.36.2246%37.245%45%4.1651.71.51.8
NAVY.1440%2542%3.0727625%734.17.2947%33.543%51%3.99301.31.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
HOU#133 (-)35% (129)35% (130)2.52 (129)13737% (115)1532.57 (134)#51 (.14)40% (41)40% (41)39% (49)3.52 (41)51.92.31.6
NAVY#12 (.31)44% (51)46% (43)3.27 (32)23139% (101)1174.39 (26)#28 (.1)41% (61)46% (95)37% (24)3.48 (35)41.91.11.8



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Offense1343.941.245.3%4.361.5265122172955.350%49%45%44%15%.33
NAVY Defense1333.528.847%3.991.6 - - - - - 56%43%43%51%11%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
HOU Defense1337.240.545.7%4.161.8 - - - - - 54%44%45%45%17%.22
NAVY Offense132532.640.3%4.171.318349276734.983%16%42%25%14%.14

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Houston1325:0025.646%50%6.651.71.51.86.71.8230.7
Navy1333:2217.938%61%3.7301.31.62.80.8029.2
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Offense1350%45%41.1216.55.329.233.1565%9%1.15
NAVY Defense1356%43% - - - - .143.0174%7%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
HOU Defense1354%45% - - - - .172.8775%10%1.03
NAVY Offense1383%42%56.3276.24.937.193.0774%11%1.12

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Offense1349%44%21.836.5295.58.113.5459.451.931%38%.636%2.4
NAVY Defense1343%51% - - - - - - 9.51.628%37%.454%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
HOU Defense1344%45% - - - - - - 14.291.632%35%.37%1.7
NAVY Offense1316%25%4.29.972.87.317.555-.082.332%26%.183%1.8

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2018 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3  #64
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #20
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #106

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston:    Navy: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 2.3   Navy: -10.2




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -2.6 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2018 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #101
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #82
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3  #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Houston Scoring
Offense: 43.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.2
Defense: 37.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.5

Houston's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Houston 37
Navy 34

Total Points: 71

Based on Last 4 Games
Houston 37
Navy 33

Total Points: 70

Based on Entire Season
Houston 37
Navy 34

Total Points: 71
Navy Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 33.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Navy's 2018 Record
Record: 3 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22Navy20Houston38Houston -3Houston51.0Over
202109/25Houston28Navy20Houston -20Navy47.0Over
202010/24Navy21Houston37Houston -14.5Houston56.0Over
201911/30Houston41Navy56Navy -9Navy56.5Over
201810/20Navy36Houston49Houston -11Houston59.5Over
201711/24Houston24Navy14Houston -6.5Houston55.0Under
201610/08Navy46Houston40Houston -17Navy52.0Over
201511/27Houston52Navy31Houston -1.5Houston59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy237 Overs
Houston651 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 43 - 52 - 11 - 4
Road Teams4 - 45 - 34 - 11 - 2

(#) HOU at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatHOUNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #64 #101
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #51 #115
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Houston on Offense
CategoryCat
HOU OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Houston Run Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Houston Pass Game
CategoryCat
HOU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffHOU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffHOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffHOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 66° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 8
Houston 11.0 (59.5)
Houston won at Navy this year (49-36)

Previous Matchups
Houston beat Navy in 2022 (38-20)

  
HOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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HOU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NAVY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD