Massachusetts at UConn - 2018 Matchup Preview

Massachusetts Minutemen at UConn Huskies

Saturday, October 27th 2018 (12:00 PM EDT)
UMass -3.5 (63.5)
Massachusetts 22 - UConn: 17

Minutemen (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 43 (25 - 49 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Rain Predicted
Wind: 18 MPH
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ UMASS -10.5)
Projected Score: UMASS: 42 - CONN: 33 (75)
UMASS Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
UMASS Travel: 43 miles

Huskies (1 - 11) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 50 (26 - 49 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UMASS Players
CONN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Massachusetts's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/25	Massachusetts vs Duquesne	-21.0	68.0	W 63 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/1	Massachusetts at Boston College	+20.5	62.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 9/8	Massachusetts at Georgia Southern	+1.5	61.0	L 13 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/15	Massachusetts at Florida International	+3.5	65.5	L 24 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/22	Massachusetts vs Charlotte	-6.5	55.5	W 49 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Massachusetts at Ohio	+11.5	70.0	L 42 - 58	O	N
Sat 10/6	Massachusetts vs South Florida	+15.0	71.5	L 42 - 58	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Massachusetts vs Coastal Carolina	-2.5	74.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/27	Massachusetts at UConn	-3.5	63.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Massachusetts vs Liberty	+1.5	66.0	W 62 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Massachusetts vs BYU	+14.0	57.0	L 16 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/17	Massachusetts at Georgia	+41.5	67.5	L 27 - 66	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

UConn's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/30	UConn vs UCF	+24.0	70.0	L 17 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/8	UConn at Boise State	+34.0	63.5	L 7 - 62	O	N
Sat 9/15	UConn vs Rhode Island	-10.5
Sat 9/22	UConn at Syracuse	+30.5	74.5	L 21 - 51	U	Y
Sat 9/29	UConn vs Cincinnati	+15.5	62.5	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/6	UConn at Memphis	+36.0	77.5	L 14 - 55	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	UConn at South Florida	+33.0	67.5	L 30 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/27	UConn vs Massachusetts	+3.5	63.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/3	UConn at Tulsa	+18.5	60.0	L 19 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/10	UConn vs SMU	+18.0	66.0	L 50 - 62	O	Y
Sat 11/17	UConn at East Carolina	+17.0	71.5	L 21 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/24	UConn vs Temple	+30.5	68.0	L 7 - 57	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	.21	45%	32.8	45%	2.94	140	44%	298	3.9	.28	50%	42.9	51%	46%	4.49	48.5	2	1.7
CONN	.18	42%	22.2	43%	3.04	198	39%	178	3.51	.54	57%	50.4	55%	58%	4.62	38.3	2.3	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UMASS	#69 (.19)	41% (94)		43% (78)	3.1 (50)	164	38% (110)	182	3.73 (89)	#114 (.26)	46% (116)		51% (128)	40% (71)	4.66 (129)	63.2	0.8	0.8
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Offense	12	32.8	24.8	45%	3.9	2	22	438	140	298	4.1	44%	54%	45%	44%	19%	.21
CONN Defense	12	50.4	49.2	57.5%	4.62	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	55%	58%	11%	.54

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UMASS Defense	12	42.9	48.8	50.2%	4.49	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	63%	35%	51%	46%	14%	.28
CONN Offense	12	22.2	25.7	41.7%	3.51	2.3	21	376	198	178	4.8	55%	44%	43%	39%	18%	.18

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Massachusetts	12	27:21	21.7	37%	48%	5.7	48.5	2	1.7	5.3	0.9	3	29.4
UConn	12	31:42	20.8	42%	54%	4.5	38.3	2.3	0.9	4.3	0.9	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense	12	44%	45%	34.1	139.5	4.1	22	.11	2.94	65%	12%	1
CONN Defense	12	54%	55%	-	-	-	-	.48	3.57	84%	7%	1.32

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense	12	63%	51%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.05	71%	9%	1.1
CONN Offense	12	55%	43%	41.7	198.2	4.8	16	.15	3.04	74%	12%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense	12	54%	44%	21.8	34.3	298	8.7	13.7	27	10	.32	1.7	31%	34%	.37	7%	2
CONN Defense	12	44%	58%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.67	1.6	25%	50%	.73	3%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense	12	35%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.4	1.8	28%	41%	.51	4%	2
CONN Offense	12	44%	39%	16.6	29.3	178	6.1	10.7	20	17	.21	1.6	33%	31%	.24	6%	1.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2018 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.1 #112
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #79
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.2 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: UConn: -10.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -16.1 UConn: -26.4

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -10.7 NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UConn's 2018 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -26.4 #128
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #99
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 51.9 #130

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 42.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.8

Massachusetts's 2018 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Massachusetts 42
UConn 33

Total Points: 75

Based on Last 4 Games
Massachusetts 44
UConn 31

Total Points: 75

Based on Entire Season
Massachusetts 40
UConn 35

Total Points: 75

UConn Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 50.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 49.2

UConn's 2018 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Massachusetts	42	UConn	47	UConn -9.5	Massachusetts	49.5	Over
2023	11/25	Massachusetts	18	UConn	31	UMass -2.5	UConn	51.0	Under
2022	11/04	UConn	27	Massachusetts	10	Connecticut -15	UConn	39.5	Under
2021	10/09	Massachusetts	27	UConn	13	Connecticut -3	Massachusetts	57.0	Under
2019	10/26	Massachusetts	35	UConn	56	Connecticut -9.5	UConn	62.0	Over
2018	10/27	UConn	17	Massachusetts	22	UMass -3.5	Massachusetts	63.5	Under
2012	08/30	UConn	37	Massachusetts	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UConn	5	3	2 Overs
Massachusetts	2	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 4	3 - 3	1 - 1	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 3	3 - 3	2 - 2	1 - 1

(#) UMASS at (#) CONN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UMASS	CONN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#128
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#99	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Massachusetts Injury Report

UConn Injury Report

Massachusetts on Offense


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#79	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Massachusetts Run Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Massachusetts Pass Game


CategoryCat	UMASS Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UConn on Offense


CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#99	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UConn Run Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

UConn Pass Game


CategoryCat	CONN Off	UMASS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 46° - Wind: 18 mph
Rain: 0.122

Rematch from Week 9
Massachusetts 3.5 (63.5)
Massachusetts won at UConn this year (22-17)

Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts last year (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2022 (27-10)

UMASS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CONN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD