Samford at Florida State - 2018 Matchup Preview
Samford logo Samford Bulldogs at Florida State Seminoles(#14)Florida State logo
Saturday, September 8th 2018 (7:20 PM EDT)
Florida State -33 (56.5)
Florida State 36 - Samford: 26

 
Bulldogs (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 36 (26 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 15 MPH
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ FSU -1)
FSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 52%
Seminoles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 32 (23 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Samford's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/8 Samford at Florida State+33.056.5L 26 - 36OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Samford's Schedule
Florida State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-7.054.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 9/8 Florida State vs Samford-33.056.5W 36 - 26ON
Sat 9/15 Florida State at Syracuse-3.569.0L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/22 Florida State vs Northern Illinois-9.544.5W 37 - 19OY
Sat 9/29 Florida State at Louisville-4.547.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 10/6 Florida State at Miami+14.048.5L 27 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Florida State vs Wake Forest-10.557.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/27 Florida State vs Clemson+18.049.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 11/3 Florida State at NC State+9.552.0L 28 - 47ON
Sat 11/10 Florida State at Notre Dame+16.549.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/17 Florida State vs Boston College+2.547.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 11/24 Florida State vs Florida+8.552.0L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2018)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%260%000%000%360%0%0000
FSU.0935%21.932%2.159135%2713.42.0841%31.540%39%3.3770.32.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SAM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5



Overall Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Offense126260%00000000%0%0%0%0%
FSU Defense1231.529.640.6%3.371.3 - - - - - 47%51%40%39%16%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SAM Defense136360%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
FSU Offense1221.922.934.6%3.422.217362912712.844%55%32%35%20%.09

Additional Stats 2018
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Samford10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Florida State1227:3517.329%50%970.32.21.35.72.3226
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Offense10%0%000000%0%0
FSU Defense1247%40% - - - - .022.7459%9%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
FSU Offense1244%32%32.7912.811-.082.1566%14%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
FSU Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 12.181.634%31%.247%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SAM Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
FSU Offense1255%35%21.737.9270.67.112.52013.251.839%27%.246%2

Samford's Power Ratings
Samford's Power Rating: NR
Samford's Offense Rating: NR
Samford's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #151
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Samford's 2018 Expected Record: -
Samford's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Samford's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Southern Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Florida State: 3.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Samford:    Florida State: 1.4




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 3.2 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4  #71
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #97
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Samford Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

Samford's 2018 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 35
Samford 22

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 42
Samford 15

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 29
Samford 28

Total Points: 57
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 21.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.9
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.6

Florida State's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201809/08Florida State36Samford26Florida State -33Samford56.5Over
201009/04Florida State59Samford6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State201 Overs
Samford010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) SAM at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSAMFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #71
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #151 #7
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Samford on Offense
CategoryCat
SAM OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Samford Run Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Samford Pass Game
CategoryCat
SAM OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffSAM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffSAM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffSAM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

SAM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'18 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 82°( - Hum: 79%)
- Wind: 15 mph
Rain: 0.02
Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -33.0 (56.5)
Florida State won vs Samford this year (36-26)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SAM's OC ()
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SAM's DC ()
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FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD