Florida State at NC State - 2018 Matchup Preview
Florida State logo   Florida State Seminoles at NC State Wolfpack  NC State logo
Saturday, November 3rd 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
NC State -9.5 (52.0)
NC State 47 - Florida State: 28  (ACC)

 
Seminoles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ NCST -8)
Projected Score: FSU: 25 - NCST: 29 (54)
NCST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
FSU Travel: 491 miles
Wolfpack (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 27 (35 - 21 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 Florida State vs Virginia Tech-7.054.0L 3 - 24UN
Sat 9/8 Florida State vs Samford-33.056.5W 36 - 26ON
Sat 9/15 Florida State at Syracuse-3.569.0L 7 - 30UN
Sat 9/22 Florida State vs Northern Illinois-9.544.5W 37 - 19OY
Sat 9/29 Florida State at Louisville-4.547.5W 28 - 24ON
Sat 10/6 Florida State at Miami+14.048.5L 27 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 Florida State vs Wake Forest-10.557.5W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/27 Florida State vs Clemson+18.049.5L 10 - 59ON
Sat 11/3 Florida State at NC State+9.552.0L 28 - 47ON
Sat 11/10 Florida State at Notre Dame+16.549.5L 13 - 42ON
Sat 11/17 Florida State vs Boston College+2.547.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 11/24 Florida State vs Florida+8.552.0L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
NC State's 2018 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 NC State vs James Madison-14.556.5W 24 - 13UN
Sat 9/8 NC State vs Georgia State-25.056.5W 41 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22 NC State at Marshall-6.056.0W 37 - 20OY
Sat 9/29 NC State vs Virginia-5.552.5W 35 - 21OY
Sat 10/6 NC State vs Boston College-6.560.5W 28 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20 NC State at Clemson+17.558.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 10/27 NC State at Syracuse-2.065.0L 41 - 51ON
Sat 11/3 NC State vs Florida State-9.552.0W 47 - 28OY
Thu 11/8 NC State vs Wake Forest-17.069.0L 23 - 27UN
Sat 11/17 NC State at Louisville-16.065.0W 52 - 10UY
Sat 11/24 NC State at North Carolina-7.561.5W 34 - 28ON
Sat 12/1 NC State vs East Carolina-24.559.5W 58 - 3OY
Mon 12/31 NC State vs Texas A&M+7.558.5L 13 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.1144%3342%2.6815642%1963.04.0840%2240%38%3.0153.81.61.2
NCST.2245%30.243%2.7817746%2753.63.1341%27.241%40%3.5454.811.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NCST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense133318.643.5%3.041.6183521561964.451%47%42%42%20%.11
NCST Defense1327.22141.2%3.541.6 - - - - - 44%55%41%40%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense132230.240.1%3.011.2 - - - - - 48%50%40%38%19%.08
NCST Offense1330.235.344.9%3.631234521772754.648%51%43%46%15%.22

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1330:021835%50%653.81.61.27.22.2234.8
NC State1332:4523.245%56%654.811.66.52.3433.7
Run Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1351%42%35.6155.74.418.042.6866%14%0.84
NCST Defense1344%41% - - - - .072.5970%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1348%40% - - - - .062.6969%11%0.98
NCST Offense1348%43%38.2176.74.635.112.7876%10%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2018)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1347%42%15.526.5196.27.412.62113.191.531%34%.136%1.5
NCST Defense1355%40% - - - - - - 14.181.634%32%.227%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1350%38% - - - - - - 9.151.634%32%.318%2
NCST Offense1351%46%24.237.2275.17.411.4176.341.532%38%.446%2

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4  #71
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #97
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    NC State: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State: 1.4   NC State: 9.4




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating:  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2018 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #35
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #29
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 29
Florida State 25


Projected Total Points: 54
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21

NC State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/21NC State21Florida State11Florida State -7NC State58.5Under
202210/08NC State19Florida State17NC State -3.5Florida State50.5Under
202111/06Florida State14NC State28NC State -3NC State55.0Under
202011/14NC State38Florida State22NC State -12.0NC State61.0Under
201909/28Florida State31NC State13Florida State -7Florida State62.0Under
201811/03NC State47Florida State28NC State -9.5NC State52.0Over
201709/23Florida State21NC State27Florida State -11.5NC State50.0Under
201611/05NC State20Florida State24Florida State -6.5NC State58.0Under
201511/14Florida State34NC State17Florida State -10.5Florida State55.0Under
201409/27NC State41Florida State56Florida State -23NC State0
201310/26Florida State49NC State17Florida State -27.5Florida State0
201210/06NC State17Florida State16
201110/29Florida State34NC State0
201010/28NC State28Florida State24
200910/31Florida State45NC State42
200810/16NC State17Florida State26
200710/06Florida State27NC State10
200610/05NC State24Florida State20
200511/05Florida State15NC State20
200411/11NC State10Florida State17
200311/15Florida State50NC State44
200111/10Florida State28NC State34
200010/27NC State14Florida State58
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State1171 Overs
Florida State1248 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 98 - 35 - 23 - 1
Road Teams9 - 143 - 81 - 32 - 5

(#) FSU at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #35
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #7 #41
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #97 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
NC State -9.5 (52.0)
NC State won vs Florida State this year (47-28)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Florida State last year (21-11)

  
FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD