Northern Illinois at Florida State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Northern Illinois Huskies at Florida State Seminoles

Saturday, September 22nd 2018 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida State -9.5 (44.5)
Florida State 37 - Northern Illinois: 19

Huskies (8 - 6) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU is playing their 4th straight game
NIU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4.5 (SP+ FSU -4)
Projected Score: NIU: 18 - FSU: 32 (50)
FSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
NIU Travel: 832 miles, 1 hrs behind

Seminoles (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NIU Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northern Illinois's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Northern Illinois at Iowa	+9.5	46.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/8	Northern Illinois vs Utah	+12.5	47.5	L 6 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Northern Illinois vs Central Michigan	-13.5	48.0	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/22	Northern Illinois at Florida State	+9.5	44.5	L 19 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/29	Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan	+3.5	50.5	W 26 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Northern Illinois at Ball State	-3.0	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/13	Northern Illinois vs Ohio	-5.5	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27	Northern Illinois at BYU	+6.5	43.5	W 7 - 6	U	Y
Thu 11/1	Northern Illinois at Akron	-6.0	37.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y
Wed 11/7	Northern Illinois vs Toledo	-3.5	54.0	W 38 - 15	U	Y
Wed 11/14	Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)	-6.5	48.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Tue 11/20	Northern Illinois at Western Michigan	-6.5	48.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Fri 11/30	Northern Illinois vs Buffalo	+3.0	51.0	W 30 - 29	O	Y
Tue 12/18	Northern Illinois vs UAB	+1.0	41.5	L 13 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Florida State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Mon 9/3	Florida State vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	54.0	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/8	Florida State vs Samford	-33.0	56.5	W 36 - 26	O	N
Sat 9/15	Florida State at Syracuse	-3.5	69.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/22	Florida State vs Northern Illinois	-9.5	44.5	W 37 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Florida State at Louisville	-4.5	47.5	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/6	Florida State at Miami	+14.0	48.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Florida State vs Wake Forest	-10.5	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/27	Florida State vs Clemson	+18.0	49.5	L 10 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/3	Florida State at NC State	+9.5	52.0	L 28 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/10	Florida State at Notre Dame	+16.5	49.5	L 13 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/17	Florida State vs Boston College	+2.5	47.5	W 22 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/24	Florida State vs Florida	+8.5	52.0	L 14 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU	.08	40%	17.1	42%	2.88	178	38%	200	3.1		35%	24.3	33%	33%	2.67	55.5	1.8	1.5
FSU	.11	44%	33	42%	2.68	156	42%	196	3.04	.08	40%	22	40%	38%	3.01	53.8	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Offense	13	17.1	16.3	40.4%	3.1	1.8	20	378	178	200	4.1	54%	45%	42%	38%	15%	.08
FSU Defense	13	22	16.1	40.1%	3.01	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	40%	38%	19%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NIU Defense	13	24.3	27.8	34.7%	2.67	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	33%	33%	20%
FSU Offense	13	33	43.3	43.5%	3.04	1.6	18	352	156	196	4.4	51%	47%	42%	42%	20%	.11

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northern Illinois	13	28:35	20.2	39%	29%	6.2	55.5	1.8	1.5	8.8	3.3	5	31.8
Florida State	13	30:02	18	35%	50%	6	53.8	1.6	1.2	7.2	2.2	2	34.8

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Offense	13	54%	42%	42.9	177.8	4.1	18	.08	2.88	76%	10%	0.93
FSU Defense	13	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.69	69%	11%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NIU Defense	13	50%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.05	2.2	58%	14%	0.9
FSU Offense	13	51%	42%	35.6	155.7	4.4	18	.04	2.68	66%	14%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Offense	13	45%	38%	17.8	31.2	199.9	6.4	11.3	25	11	.1	1.5	32%	28%	.22	5%	1.9
FSU Defense	13	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.15	1.6	34%	32%	.31	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NIU Defense	13	48%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.08	1.6	36%	26%	.1	6%	1.7
FSU Offense	13	47%	42%	15.5	26.5	196.2	7.4	12.6	21	13	.19	1.5	31%	34%	.13	6%	1.5

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2018 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.7 #89
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #117
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #23

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: Florida State: 3.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -2.7 Florida State: 1.4

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 3.2 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.4 #71
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #97
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #37

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2018 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 32
Northern Illinois 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2018 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/22	Florida State	37	Northern Illinois	19	Florida State -9.5	Florida State	44.5	Over
2012	01/01	Florida State	31	Northern Illinois	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	2	1	1 Overs
Northern Illinois	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) NIU at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NIU	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

Northern Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	NIU Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northern Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northern Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	NIU Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#97	#23
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NIU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	NIU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Florida State -9.5 (44.5)
Florida State won vs Northern Illinois this year (37-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NIU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD