USC at Arizona State - 2017 Matchup Preview
USC logo USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils(#24)Arizona State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2017 (10:45 PM EDT)
USC -4.5 (58.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 48 - Arizona State: 17  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (3 - 10 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 26 (31 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Road Game
USC is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ USC -17)

Projected Score: USC: 27 - ASU: 29 (56)
USC Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs behind
Sun Devils (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 33 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 USC vs Western Michigan-28.059.0W 49 - 31ON
Sat 9/9 USC vs Stanford-4.054.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 9/16 USC vs Texas-17.067.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 9/23 USC at California-17.063.0W 30 - 20UN
Fri 9/29 USC at Washington State-4.560.0L 27 - 30UN
Sat 10/7 USC vs Oregon State-33.057.0W 38 - 10UN
Sat 10/14 USC vs Utah-13.052.0W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/21 USC at Notre Dame+4.061.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 10/28 USC at Arizona State-4.558.5W 48 - 17OY
Sat 11/4 USC vs Arizona-6.576.0W 49 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 USC at Colorado-14.063.0W 38 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 USC vs UCLA-14.570.5W 28 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 12/1 USC vs Stanford-3.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Fri 12/29 USC vs Ohio State+9.565.5L 7 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Arizona State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Arizona State vs New Mexico State-24.069.0W 37 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 Arizona State vs San Diego State-3.054.5L 20 - 30UN
Sat 9/16 Arizona State at Texas Tech+7.074.0L 45 - 52OY
Sat 9/23 Arizona State vs Oregon+14.576.5W 37 - 35UY
Sat 9/30 Arizona State at Stanford+17.060.5L 24 - 34UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Arizona State vs Washington+18.060.0W 13 - 7UY
Sat 10/21 Arizona State at Utah+10.054.5W 30 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Arizona State vs USC+4.558.5L 17 - 48ON
Sat 11/4 Arizona State vs Colorado-6.558.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 11/11 Arizona State at UCLA+3.066.0L 37 - 44ON
Sat 11/18 Arizona State at Oregon State-7.559.0W 40 - 24OY
Sat 11/25 Arizona State vs Arizona+2.076.0W 42 - 30UY
Fri 12/29 Arizona State vs NC State+5.062.5L 31 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.2447%32.645%2.9918546%2993.45.1441%26.144%36%3.3469.61.91.8
ASU.244%31.843%2.9317542%2564.13.2145%32.847%41%3.9437.51.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
ASU#13 (.31)50% (8)52% (6)3.35 (19)18747% (21)2084.14 (48)#36 (.12)42% (79)41% (49)44% (106)3.64 (51)50.10.61.4



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1432.631.446.6%3.451.9244841852994.848%50%45%46%14%.24
ASU Defense1332.830.145%3.941.3 - - - - - 46%52%47%41%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1426.12840.6%3.341.8 - - - - - 47%52%44%36%18%.14
ASU Offense1331.829.643.6%4.131.222431175256452%46%43%42%14%.2

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1430:5424.341%44%7.669.61.91.85.83.1529.6
Arizona State1331:2421.744%56%3.837.51.21.36.22.8328.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1448%45%38.8185.14.829.122.9971%9%0.97
ASU Defense1346%47% - - - - .222.9377%10%1.09
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1447%44% - - - - .143.0165%10%1
ASU Offense1352%43%43.5175.1427.142.9378%9%0.95

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1450%46%22.135.12998.513.62613.361.631%35%.385%2
ASU Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 11.221.532%33%.365%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1452%36% - - - - - - 16.141.735%32%.288%1.9
ASU Offense1346%42%20.332255.7812.6219.281.731%35%.355%1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2017 Expected Record: -
USC's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.9  #17
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.5  #12
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #24

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Arizona State: 3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 17.9   Arizona State: 1.0




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 3 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #68
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #35
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1  #98

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


USC Scoring
Offense: 32.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

USC's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona State 29
USC 27


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Arizona State 30
USC 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
USC 32
Arizona State 29

Total Points: 61
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.1

Arizona State's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Arizona State28USC42USC -34.5Arizona State62.0Over
202210/01USC42Arizona State25USC -24.5Arizona State61.0Over
202111/06Arizona State31USC16Arizona State -10Arizona State61.0Under
202011/07USC28Arizona State27USC -11.5Arizona State56.5Under
201911/09Arizona State26USC31USC -5NA54.0Over
201810/27USC35Arizona State38USC -3Arizona State52.5Over
201710/28Arizona State17USC48USC -4.5USC58.5Over
201610/01USC41Arizona State20USC -8USC63.5Under
201509/26Arizona State14USC42USC -6USC62.0Under
201410/04USC34Arizona State38USC -10.5Arizona State0
201309/28Arizona State62USC41Arizona State -5Arizona State0
201211/10USC38Arizona State17
201109/24Arizona State43USC22
201011/06USC34Arizona State33
200911/07Arizona State9USC14
200810/11USC28Arizona State0
200711/22Arizona State24USC44
200610/14USC28Arizona State21
200510/01Arizona State28USC38
200410/16USC45Arizona State7
200310/04Arizona State17USC37
200110/13USC48Arizona State17
200011/03Arizona State38USC44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State575 Overs
USC1834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#) USC at (#) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #68
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #3 #21
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84°
Rematch from Week 9
USC 4.5 (58.5)
USC won at Arizona State this year (48-17)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)
USC beat Arizona State in 2022 (42-25)

  
USC's OC ()
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USC's DC ()
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ASU's OC ()
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ASU's DC ()
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