Southern Miss at Marshall - 2017 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, November 25th 2017 (2:30 PM EST)
Marshall -1.5 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Southern Miss 28 - Marshall: 27  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (29 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MRSH is playing their 9th straight game
USM is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ USM -1)

Projected Score: USM: 27 - MRSH: 27 (54)
MRSH Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
USM Travel: 627 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (29 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss vs Kentucky+10.057.0L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss vs Southern-28.5
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss at UL Monroe-7.055.5W 28 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Southern Miss vs North Texas-8.056.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 10/7 Southern Miss at UTSA+10.550.0W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/14 Southern Miss vs UTEP-23.052.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/21 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+1.555.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss vs UAB-11.050.5L 12 - 30UN
Sat 11/4 Southern Miss at Tennessee+7.048.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/11 Southern Miss at Rice-11.049.0W 43 - 34ON
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss vs Charlotte-18.548.5W 66 - 21OY
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss at Marshall+1.547.5W 28 - 27OY
Wed 12/27 Southern Miss vs Florida State+12.548.0L 13 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Marshall's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Marshall vs Miami (OH)+4.048.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 9/9 Marshall at NC State+21.055.0L 20 - 37OY
Sat 9/16 Marshall vs Kent State-14.050.0W 21 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Marshall at Cincinnati+3.052.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Marshall at Charlotte-14.551.0W 14 - 3UN
Sat 10/14 Marshall vs Old Dominion-12.548.0W 35 - 3UY
Fri 10/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-1.549.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Marshall vs Florida International-14.547.5L 30 - 41ON
Fri 11/3 Marshall at Florida Atlantic+6.563.0L 25 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Marshall vs Western Kentucky-10.553.0W 30 - 23UN
Sat 11/18 Marshall at UTSA+3.045.0L 7 - 9UY
Sat 11/25 Marshall vs Southern Miss-1.547.5L 27 - 28ON
Sat 12/16 Marshall vs Colorado State+3.058.5W 31 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.1642%29.243%2.9918538%2403.48.0839%24.537%38%3.5467.11.51.3
MRSH.1340%26.734%2.4614044%2403.15.0738%19.935%39%3.1359.81.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1329.22941.6%3.481.5214251852404.850%48%43%38%17%.16
MRSH Defense1319.920.237.9%3.131.2 - - - - - 49%50%35%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1324.526.338.8%3.541.3 - - - - - 52%46%37%38%20%.08
MRSH Offense1326.72939.8%3.151.820380140240448%51%34%44%15%.13

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1330:1721.237%52%7.667.11.51.37.41.8328.9
Marshall1331:0120.444%43%6.559.81.81.27.22.5531.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1350%43%38.3184.54.819.12.9969%10%0.95
MRSH Defense1349%35% - - - - -.032.3570%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1352%37% - - - - -.012.3257%13%1.04
MRSH Offense1348%34%35140.2414-.042.4672%9%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1348%38%18.933.7240.17.112.7247.251.735%35%.327%1.7
MRSH Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 6.181.637%31%.26%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1346%38% - - - - - - 9.191.737%33%.187%1.5
MRSH Offense1351%44%20.534.1239.6711.72514.291.635%33%.286%1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2017 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #84
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #92
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #70

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Marshall: 0.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -3.4   Marshall: -4.5




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 0.25 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2017 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5  #85
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #115
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Southern Miss's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 27
Marshall 27


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Southern Miss 29
Marshall 27

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 27
Southern Miss 25

Total Points: 52
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Marshall's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Southern Miss3Marshall37Marshall -13.5Marshall53.5Under
201811/03Southern Miss26Marshall24Marshall -3Southern Miss47.5Over
201711/25Marshall27Southern Miss28Marshall -1.5Southern Miss47.5Over
201610/29Southern Miss24Marshall14Southern Mississippi -10Push67.0Under
201510/09Marshall31Southern Miss10Marshall -6.5Marshall58.0Under
201411/08Southern Miss17Marshall63Marshall -24.5Marshall0
201311/02Marshall61Southern Miss13Marshall -28.5Marshall0
201210/20Southern Miss24Marshall59
201109/10Marshall26Southern Miss20
201010/02Southern Miss41Marshall16
200911/14Marshall20Southern Miss27
200809/20Southern Miss27Marshall34
200710/21Marshall24Southern Miss33
200611/25Southern Miss42Marshall7
200511/08Marshall24Southern Miss27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall742 Overs
Southern Miss823 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 83 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams8 - 73 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#) USM at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #85
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #87 #77
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #92 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffMRSH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Marshall -1.5 (47.5)
Southern Miss won at Marshall this year (28-27)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Southern Miss last year (37-3)

  
USM's OC ()
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USM's DC ()
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MRSH's OC ()
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MRSH's DC ()
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