Buffalo at Ball State - 2017 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals  Ball State logo
Thursday, November 16th 2017 (7:00 PM EST)
Buffalo -18.5 (54.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Buffalo 40 - Ball State: 24  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BALL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BUFF -8.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 25 - BALL: 22 (47)
BUFF Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
BUFF Travel: 393 miles
Cardinals (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Buffalo at Minnesota+23.051.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo at Army+15.553.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Colgate-23.5
Sat 9/23 Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic-2.059.0W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Kent State-7.541.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+7.051.0L 68 - 71OY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+8.050.0L 13 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+3.047.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Buffalo at Akron-3.049.5L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-7.061.0W 38 - 28OY
Thu 11/16 Buffalo at Ball State-18.554.5W 40 - 24ON
Fri 11/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.056.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Ball State's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Ball State at Illinois+5.055.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 9/9 Ball State vs UAB-14.054.0W 51 - 31OY
Sat 9/16 Ball State vs Tennessee Tech-22.5
Sat 9/23 Ball State at Western Kentucky+12.550.5L 21 - 33OY
Sat 9/30 Ball State at Western Michigan+13.053.5L 3 - 55ON
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Akron+4.552.0L 3 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Central Michigan+3.048.0L 9 - 56ON
Thu 10/26 Ball State vs Toledo+26.555.5L 17 - 58ON
Thu 11/2 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+24.547.0L 14 - 56ON
Thu 11/9 Ball State at Northern Illinois+28.551.5L 17 - 63ON
Thu 11/16 Ball State vs Buffalo+18.554.5L 24 - 40OY
Tue 11/21 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+17.554.5L 7 - 28UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.0739%2439%2.8715336%2012.43.1646%23.547%41%3.38431.61.1
BALL.1449%15.853%3.3822043%2293.45.2144%29.840%46%3.3435.521.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.238.5%2.431.6183541532014.348%51%39%36%16%.07
BALL Defense1229.821.644.1%3.341.2 - - - - - 42%56%40%46%17%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.645.8%3.381.1 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%13%.16
BALL Offense1215.824.449.2%3.452254492202295.152%46%53%43%15%.14

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1226:5818.336%44%5.3431.61.15.11.8030.7
Ball State1231:0324.545%52%435.521.272.7130.5
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1248%39%35.5153.34.312.042.8773%8%0.96
BALL Defense1242%40% - - - - .082.7665%11%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1264%47% - - - - .153.1169%9%0.95
BALL Offense1252%53%43.32205.125.23.3873%7%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1251%36%17.733.1200.56.111.41111.11.535%30%.128%1.6
BALL Defense1256%46% - - - - - - 7.311.533%38%.456%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1234%41% - - - - - - 5.231.629%29%.164%1.6
BALL Offense1246%43%21.936.3229.26.310.51415.091.327%39%.247%1.4

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ball State: -7.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -11.2   Ball State: -19.7




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -7.35 NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ball State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7  #120
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #113
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #112

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Ball State 22

Projected Total Points: 47
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/12Buffalo51Ball State48Buffalo -3.5Ball State55.5Over
202111/23Ball State20Buffalo3Ball State -6Ball State59.5Under
202012/18Buffalo28Ball State38Buffalo -13Ball State69.5Under
201711/16Ball State24Buffalo40Buffalo -18.5Ball State54.5Over
201610/15Buffalo21Ball State31Ball State -9Ball State52.5Under
201109/17Ball State28Buffalo25
201011/12Buffalo3Ball State20
200812/05Buffalo42Ball State24
200709/29Ball State49Buffalo14
200610/07Buffalo25Ball State55
200010/20Buffalo35Ball State44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State852 Overs
Buffalo303 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 62 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 53 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) BUFF at (#) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #120
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #117 #114
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #92 #112
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBALL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ball State on Offense
CategoryCatBALL OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ball State Run Game
CategoryCat
BALL OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ball State Pass Game
CategoryCatBALL OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Buffalo 18.5 (54.5)
Buffalo won at Ball State this year (40-24)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Ball State in 2024 (51-48)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BALL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BALL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD