Florida Atlantic at Buffalo - 2017 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 23rd 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
Buffalo -2 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 34 - Florida Atlantic: 31

Owls (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 36 (22 - 37 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 4th straight game
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ FAU -16.5)
Projected Score: FAU: 25 - BUFF: 30 (55)
BUFF Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
FAU Travel: 1151 miles

Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FAU Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida Atlantic's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Florida Atlantic vs Navy	+9.0	64.0	L 19 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida Atlantic at Wisconsin	+34.5	59.5	L 14 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida Atlantic vs Bethune-Cookman	-20.0
Sat 9/23	Florida Atlantic at Buffalo	+2.0	59.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Florida Atlantic vs Middle Tennessee	-2.5	60.0	W 38 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion	-5.5	57.5	W 58 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Florida Atlantic vs North Texas	-3.5	66.5	W 69 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky	-6.5	67.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/3	Florida Atlantic vs Marshall	-6.5	63.0	W 30 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/11	Florida Atlantic at Louisiana Tech	-3.5	68.5	W 48 - 23	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Florida Atlantic vs Florida International	-14.5	65.5	W 52 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida Atlantic at Charlotte	-24.5	65.0	W 31 - 12	U	N
Sat 12/2	Florida Atlantic vs North Texas	-12.0	71.5	W 41 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/19	Florida Atlantic vs Akron	-23.5	65.5	W 50 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule

Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Buffalo at Minnesota	+23.0	51.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo at Army	+15.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Colgate	-23.5
Sat 9/23	Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	59.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Kent State	-7.5	41.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	51.0	L 68 - 71	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+8.0	50.0	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+3.0	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Buffalo at Akron	-3.0	49.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-7.0	61.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Thu 11/16	Buffalo at Ball State	-18.5	54.5	W 40 - 24	O	N
Fri 11/24	Buffalo vs Ohio	+7.0	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU	.18	43%	29.5	45%	3.08	188	40%	210	3.53	.35	50%	36.3	51%	48%	4.51	47.5	1.7	1.3
BUFF	.07	39%	24	39%	2.87	153	36%	201	2.43	.16	46%	23.5	47%	41%	3.38	43	1.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FAU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Offense	12	29.5	21.8	43.3%	3.53	1.7	21	398	188	210	4.8	52%	47%	45%	40%	15%	.18
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	24.1	45.8%	3.38	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	64%	34%	47%	41%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FAU Defense	12	36.3	37.2	50.5%	4.51	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	51%	48%	11%	.35
BUFF Offense	12	24	24.6	38.5%	2.43	1.6	18	354	153	201	4.3	48%	51%	39%	36%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic	12	27:43	20.6	34%	39%	5.3	47.5	1.7	1.3	4.8	1.9	1	29.6
Buffalo	12	26:58	18.3	36%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	1.1	5.1	1.8	0	30.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Offense	12	52%	45%	39.3	188.2	4.8	31	.18	3.08	75%	9%	1.01
BUFF Defense	12	64%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.11	69%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FAU Defense	12	57%	51%	-	-	-	-	.34	3.48	83%	7%	1.12
BUFF Offense	12	48%	39%	35.5	153.3	4.3	12	.04	2.87	73%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Offense	12	47%	40%	17.9	30.5	210.1	6.9	11.7	9	13	.18	1.5	31%	30%	.21	6%	1.5
BUFF Defense	12	34%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FAU Defense	12	42%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.39	1.6	27%	39%	.66	4%	2.4
BUFF Offense	12	51%	36%	17.7	33.1	200.5	6.1	11.4	11	11	.1	1.5	35%	30%	.12	8%	1.6

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: NR
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida Atlantic's 2017 Expected Record: -
Florida Atlantic's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #50
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #30
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #88

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: Buffalo: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: 5.1 Buffalo: -11.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Florida Atlantic's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Florida Atlantic 25

Projected Total Points: 55

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2017	09/23	Buffalo	34	Florida Atlantic	31	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	59.0	Over
2015	09/19	Florida Atlantic	15	Buffalo	33	Florida Atlantic -2.5	Buffalo	59.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	2	2	1 Overs
Florida Atlantic	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) FAU at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FAU	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#50	#105
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#75	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Florida Atlantic on Offense


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Atlantic Run Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Atlantic Pass Game


CategoryCat	FAU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	FAU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#88
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	FAU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	FAU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FAU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Buffalo -2.0 (59.0)
Buffalo won vs Florida Atlantic this year (34-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FAU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster

FAU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD