Ball State at Western Kentucky - 2017 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Saturday, September 23rd 2017 (7:00 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -12.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 33 - Ball State: 21

Cardinals (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU 2nd straight Home Game
WKU is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10 (SP+ WKU -15)
Projected Score: BALL: 17 - WKU: 33 (50)
WKU Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
BALL Travel: 230 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hilltoppers (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (35 - 19 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
WKU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Ball State at Illinois	+5.0	55.5	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Ball State vs UAB	-14.0	54.0	W 51 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Ball State vs Tennessee Tech	-22.5
Sat 9/23	Ball State at Western Kentucky	+12.5	50.5	L 21 - 33	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.0	53.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/7	Ball State at Akron	+4.5	52.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+3.0	48.0	L 9 - 56	O	N
Thu 10/26	Ball State vs Toledo	+26.5	55.5	L 17 - 58	O	N
Thu 11/2	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	+24.5	47.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Thu 11/9	Ball State at Northern Illinois	+28.5	51.5	L 17 - 63	O	N
Thu 11/16	Ball State vs Buffalo	+18.5	54.5	L 24 - 40	O	Y
Tue 11/21	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	+17.5	54.5	L 7 - 28	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Western Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky	-39.0
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky at Illinois	-6.5	52.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech	-4.5	62.0	L 22 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky vs Ball State	-12.5	50.5	W 33 - 21	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-16.5	53.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/14	Western Kentucky vs Charlotte	-17.5	47.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Fri 10/20	Western Kentucky at Old Dominion	-6.5	50.0	W 35 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	67.5	L 28 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt	+13.0	54.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky at Marshall	+10.5	53.0	L 23 - 30	U	Y
Fri 11/17	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	+1.0	56.0	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-3.0	56.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 12/16	Western Kentucky vs Georgia State	+5.0	54.5	L 17 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.14	49%	15.8	53%	3.38	220	43%	229	3.45	.21	44%	29.8	40%	46%	3.34	35.5	2	1.2
WKU	.4	53%	29.5	54%	3.31	186	51%	337	4.19	.17	40%	22.8	36%	42%	3.36	66.5	1.4	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WKU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	12	15.8	9.7	49.2%	3.45	2	25	449	220	229	5.1	52%	46%	53%	43%	15%	.14
WKU Defense	14	22.8	18.8	40.5%	3.36	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	39%	59%	36%	42%	20%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	12	29.8	35.7	44.1%	3.34	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	40%	46%	17%	.21
WKU Offense	14	29.5	35	53.3%	4.19	1.4	25	523	186	337	5.4	45%	53%	54%	51%	15%	.4

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	12	31:03	24.5	45%	52%	4	35.5	2	1.2	7	2.7	1	30.5
Western Kentucky	14	28:50	24.6	46%	41%	6.6	66.5	1.4	1.6	6.3	2.4	5	34.5

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	12	52%	53%	43.3	220	5.1	25	.2	3.38	73%	7%	0.86
WKU Defense	14	39%	36%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.39	63%	11%	1.05

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	12	42%	40%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.76	65%	11%	1.11
WKU Offense	14	45%	54%	34.8	186.4	5.4	35	.33	3.31	77%	9%	1.08

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	12	46%	43%	21.9	36.3	229.2	6.3	10.5	14	15	.09	1.3	27%	39%	.24	7%	1.4
WKU Defense	14	59%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.28	1.7	38%	32%	.36	9%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	12	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.31	1.5	33%	38%	.45	6%	1.9
WKU Offense	14	53%	51%	21.8	33.6	336.8	10	15.5	42	8	.5	1.7	29%	46%	.61	6%	2.1

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #114
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2017 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7 #120
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.3 #113
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.7 #112

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Western Kentucky: 0.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -19.7 Western Kentucky: -4.9

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 0.05 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9 #88
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #87
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0 #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 33
Ball State 17

Projected Total Points: 50

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

Western Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	09/22	Ball State	20	Western Kentucky	28	Ball State -3	Western Kentucky	52.5	Under
2017	09/23	Western Kentucky	33	Ball State	21	Western Kentucky -12.5	Ball State	50.5	Over
2008	10/11	Western Kentucky	7	Ball State	24
2007	10/13	Ball State	35	Western Kentucky	12

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Kentucky	2	1	1 Overs
Ball State	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#) BALL at (#) WKU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	WKU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#88
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#114	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#87	#112
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Western Kentucky -12.5 (50.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Ball State this year (33-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WKU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD