Bowling Green at Buffalo - 2017 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 7th 2017 (7:30 PM EST)
Buffalo -7 (61.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Buffalo 38 - Bowling Green: 28 (Mid-American)

Falcons (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

BGSU 2nd straight Road Game
BUFF coming off BYE
Our Line: -2 (SP+ BGSU -1)
Projected Score: BGSU: 23 - BUFF: 25 (48)
BUFF Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 272 miles

Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Bowling Green at Michigan State	+17.0	56.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/9	Bowling Green vs South Dakota	-4.0
Sat 9/16	Bowling Green at Northwestern	+21.0	56.5	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 9/23	Bowling Green at Middle Tennessee	+7.0	54.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/30	Bowling Green vs Akron	+3.0	57.5	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/7	Bowling Green at Miami (OH)	+16.5	50.5	W 37 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Bowling Green vs Ohio	+9.5	62.0	L 30 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/21	Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois	+14.5	56.5	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31	Bowling Green at Kent State	-1.0	48.0	W 44 - 16	O	Y
Tue 11/7	Bowling Green at Buffalo	+7.0	61.0	L 28 - 38	O	N
Wed 11/15	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+17.5	66.0	L 37 - 66	O	N
Tue 11/21	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+14.5	62.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Buffalo at Minnesota	+23.0	51.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo at Army	+15.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Colgate	-23.5
Sat 9/23	Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	59.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Kent State	-7.5	41.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	51.0	L 68 - 71	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+8.0	50.0	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+3.0	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Buffalo at Akron	-3.0	49.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-7.0	61.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Thu 11/16	Buffalo at Ball State	-18.5	54.5	W 40 - 24	O	N
Fri 11/24	Buffalo vs Ohio	+7.0	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.06	43%	20.5	47%	3.09	181	37%	226	2.82	.24	45%	24.3	44%	44%	4.38	58	2.8	1.3
BUFF	.07	39%	24	39%	2.87	153	36%	201	2.43	.16	46%	23.5	47%	41%	3.38	43	1.6	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BUFF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	24	42.6%	2.82	2.8	23	407	181	226	4.3	52%	47%	47%	37%	17%	.06
BUFF Defense	12	23.5	24.1	45.8%	3.38	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	64%	34%	47%	41%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	29	44.9%	4.38	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	44%	44%	14%	.24
BUFF Offense	12	24	24.6	38.5%	2.43	1.6	18	354	153	201	4.3	48%	51%	39%	36%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	12	28:40	23.3	30%	59%	5.8	58	2.8	1.3	4.6	2	1	26.1
Buffalo	12	26:58	18.3	36%	44%	5.3	43	1.6	1.1	5.1	1.8	0	30.7

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	12	52%	47%	41.9	180.8	4.3	18	.17	3.09	71%	9%	0.95
BUFF Defense	12	64%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.11	69%	9%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	12	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.11	76%	9%	1
BUFF Offense	12	48%	39%	35.5	153.3	4.3	12	.04	2.87	73%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	12	47%	37%	20.3	37.4	226.1	6	11.2	19	25	-.03	1.4	29%	30%	.14	8%	1.7
BUFF Defense	12	34%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.6	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	12	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.35	1.6	30%	37%	.47	5%	1.9
BUFF Offense	12	51%	36%	17.7	33.1	200.5	6.1	11.4	11	11	.1	1.5	35%	30%	.12	8%	1.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2017 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #101
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #73
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Buffalo: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -10.0 Buffalo: -11.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2017 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Bowling Green 23

Projected Total Points: 48

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Bowling Green	3	Buffalo	28	Bowling Green -2.5	Buffalo	44.5	Under
2023	10/14	Buffalo	14	Bowling Green	24	Buffalo -3	Bowling Green	44.5	Under
2022	10/08	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo	38	Buffalo -2	Buffalo	55.5	Under
2021	10/30	Buffalo	44	Bowling Green	56	Buffalo -13.5	Bowling Green	51.5	Over
2020	11/17	Bowling Green	17	Buffalo	42	Buffalo -31.5	Bowling Green	57.5	Over
2019	11/29	Buffalo	49	Bowling Green	7	Buffalo -28	Buffalo	53.5	Over
2018	11/23	Bowling Green	14	Buffalo	44	Buffalo -16	Buffalo	62.0	Under
2017	11/07	Buffalo	38	Bowling Green	28	Buffalo -7	Buffalo	61.0	Over
2016	11/25	Bowling Green	27	Buffalo	19	Bowling Green -11	Buffalo	60.0	Under
2015	10/03	Buffalo	22	Bowling Green	28	Bowling Green -6.5	Buffalo	67.5	Under
2014	10/04	Bowling Green	36	Buffalo	35	Bowling Green -5	Buffalo	0
2013	11/29	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	24	Bowling Green -3.5	Bowling Green	52.0	Under
2012	11/23	Bowling Green	21	Buffalo	7
2011	11/25	Buffalo	28	Bowling Green	42
2010	10/02	Bowling Green	26	Buffalo	28
2009	11/03	Buffalo	29	Bowling Green	30
2008	11/21	Bowling Green	34	Buffalo	40
2007	11/17	Buffalo	17	Bowling Green	31
2006	09/09	Bowling Green	48	Buffalo	40
2005	10/15	Buffalo	7	Bowling Green	27
2001	09/08	Bowling Green	35	Buffalo	0
2000	09/22	Buffalo	20	Bowling Green	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	9	8	4 Overs
Bowling Green	13	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 14	4 - 8	2 - 5	2 - 3
Road Teams	14 - 8	8 - 4	3 - 2	5 - 2

(#) BGSU at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#105
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Buffalo -7.0 (61.0)
Buffalo won vs Bowling Green this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Bowling Green last year (28-3)
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD