Western Michigan at Buffalo - 2017 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo   Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls  Buffalo logo
Saturday, October 7th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -7 (51.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 71 - Buffalo: 68  (Mid-American)

 
Broncos (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ WMU -9)
Projected Score: WMU: 23 - BUFF: 22 (45)
WMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 350 miles
Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Michigan at USC+28.059.0L 31 - 49OY
Sat 9/9 Western Michigan at Michigan State+7.051.5L 14 - 28UN
Sat 9/16 Western Michigan vs Idaho-17.554.0W 37 - 28ON
Sat 9/23 Western Michigan vs Wagner-37.0
Sat 9/30 Western Michigan vs Ball State-13.053.5W 55 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Western Michigan at Buffalo-7.051.0W 71 - 68ON
Sun 10/15 Western Michigan vs Akron-12.554.5L 13 - 14UN
Sat 10/21 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-2.051.5W 20 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-3.548.5L 28 - 35ON
Wed 11/8 Western Michigan vs Kent State-20.545.5W 48 - 20OY
Wed 11/15 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.049.5L 31 - 35OY
Fri 11/24 Western Michigan at Toledo+12.062.0L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Buffalo at Minnesota+23.051.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo at Army+15.553.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Colgate-23.5
Sat 9/23 Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic-2.059.0W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Kent State-7.541.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+7.051.0L 68 - 71OY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+8.050.0L 13 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+3.047.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Buffalo at Akron-3.049.5L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-7.061.0W 38 - 28OY
Thu 11/16 Buffalo at Ball State-18.554.5W 40 - 24ON
Fri 11/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.056.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.3453%24.951%3.222853%2524.68.1343%17.443%40%3.1344.90.61.9
BUFF.0739%2439%2.8715336%2012.43.1646%23.547%41%3.38431.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1424.918.352.9%4.680.625481228252558%40%51%53%11%.34
BUFF Defense1223.524.145.8%3.381.1 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%13%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1417.421.742.5%3.131.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%40%18%.13
BUFF Offense122424.638.5%2.431.6183541532014.348%51%39%36%16%.07

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1434:0225.254%88%4.944.90.61.95.62630.6
Buffalo1226:5818.336%44%5.3431.61.15.11.8030.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1458%51%45.3228.1536.23.278%8%0.86
BUFF Defense1264%47% - - - - .153.1169%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1448%43% - - - - .123.0770%11%0.96
BUFF Offense1248%39%35.5153.34.312.042.8773%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1440%53%18.827252.49.413.4334.611.627%41%.394%1.4
BUFF Defense1234%41% - - - - - - 5.231.629%29%.164%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1451%40% - - - - - - 15.151.732%37%.47%2
BUFF Offense1251%36%17.733.1200.56.111.41111.11.535%30%.128%1.6

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4  #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #84
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4  #73

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Buffalo: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -2.4   Buffalo: -11.2




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 23
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 45
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Buffalo41Western Michigan48Western Michigan -1Western Michigan49.5Over
202110/02Buffalo17Western Michigan24Western Michigan -7NA59.5Under
201710/07Buffalo68Western Michigan71Western Michigan -7Buffalo51.0Over
201611/19Western Michigan38Buffalo0Western Michigan -34Western Michigan55.5Under
201310/12Western Michigan0Buffalo33Buffalo -11Buffalo0
201211/10Buffalo29Western Michigan24
200910/24Western Michigan34Buffalo31
200810/11Buffalo28Western Michigan34
200510/01Western Michigan31Buffalo21
200210/05Buffalo17Western Michigan31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo222 Overs
Western Michigan822 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 62 - 21 - 01 - 2
Road Teams6 - 42 - 22 - 10 - 1

(#) WMU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #105
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #83 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #92 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Western Michigan 7.0 (51.0)
Western Michigan won at Buffalo this year (71-68)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Buffalo in 2024 (48-41)

  
WMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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WMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD