Western Michigan at Buffalo - 2017 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos at Buffalo Bulls

Saturday, October 7th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -7 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 71 - Buffalo: 68 (Mid-American)

Broncos (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (30 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.7 MPH
BUFF is playing their 6th straight game
WMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ WMU -9)
Projected Score: WMU: 26 - BUFF: 30 (56)
WMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 350 miles

Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WMU Players
BUFF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Michigan at USC	+28.0	59.0	L 31 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Michigan at Michigan State	+7.0	51.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/16	Western Michigan vs Idaho	-17.5	54.0	W 37 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Michigan vs Wagner	-37.0
Sat 9/30	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-13.0	53.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-7.0	51.0	W 71 - 68	O	N
Sun 10/15	Western Michigan vs Akron	-12.5	54.5	L 13 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/21	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-2.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-3.5	48.5	L 28 - 35	O	N
Wed 11/8	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-20.5	45.5	W 48 - 20	O	Y
Wed 11/15	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	+9.0	49.5	L 31 - 35	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Western Michigan at Toledo	+12.0	62.0	L 10 - 37	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Buffalo at Minnesota	+23.0	51.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Buffalo at Army	+15.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Buffalo vs Colgate	-23.5
Sat 9/23	Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	59.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Buffalo at Kent State	-7.5	41.0	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/7	Buffalo vs Western Michigan	+7.0	51.0	L 68 - 71	O	Y
Sat 10/14	Buffalo vs Northern Illinois	+8.0	50.0	L 13 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Buffalo at Miami (OH)	+3.0	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/28	Buffalo at Akron	-3.0	49.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7	Buffalo vs Bowling Green	-7.0	61.0	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Thu 11/16	Buffalo at Ball State	-18.5	54.5	W 40 - 24	O	N
Fri 11/24	Buffalo vs Ohio	+7.0	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.14	45%	33.9	46%	3.04	225	41%	165	3.24	.17	40%	29	41%	38%	3.72	53.3	1.5	2.2
BUFF	.21	43%	28.5	39%	2.91	141	44%	291	3.6	.17	45%	24.8	47%	41%	3.22	49.8	1.1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6
BUFF	#77 (.17)	40% (104)		38% (115)	2.7 (117)	153	42% (70)	176	4.22 (41)	#72 (.17)	43% (82)		43% (71)	43% (97)	3.84 (74)	39.3	1	1.5

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	12	33.9	29.5	45.3%	3.24	1.5	21	390	225	165	4.8	61%	37%	46%	41%	15%	.14
BUFF Defense	12	24.8	29.7	45.2%	3.22	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	39%	47%	41%	13%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	12	29	39	40.1%	3.72	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	38%	19%	.17
BUFF Offense	12	28.5	36.2	42.6%	3.6	1.1	21	432	141	291	4	49%	49%	39%	44%	14%	.21

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	12	30:38	20.8	39%	60%	5.7	53.3	1.5	2.2	6.6	1.7	4	37.2
Buffalo	12	29:47	21	41%	67%	5.6	49.8	1.1	1.2	4.4	1.6	0	32.4

Run Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	12	61%	46%	46.8	224.8	4.8	26	.15	3.04	76%	10%	0.94
BUFF Defense	12	59%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.09	82%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	12	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.58	80%	13%	1.06
BUFF Offense	12	49%	39%	35.7	141.1	4	18	.05	2.91	77%	7%	0.8

Pass Game Stats (2017)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	12	37%	41%	14.3	24.5	164.8	6.7	11.5	19	8	.14	1.5	31%	36%	.3	4%	1.8
BUFF Defense	12	39%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.23	1.5	28%	34%	.35	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	12	47%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	35%	31%	.27	6%	1.7
BUFF Offense	12	49%	44%	19.5	33.3	290.8	8.7	14.9	24	6	.4	1.7	32%	36%	.37	7%	1.7

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #84
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #73

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Buffalo: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -2.4 Buffalo: -11.2

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9 #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 33.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.5
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 39

Western Michigan's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Buffalo 30
Western Michigan 26

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Buffalo 27
Western Michigan 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo 33
Western Michigan 29

Total Points: 62

Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Buffalo	41	Western Michigan	48	Western Michigan -1	Western Michigan	49.5	Over
2021	10/02	Buffalo	17	Western Michigan	24	Western Michigan -7	NA	59.5	Under
2017	10/07	Buffalo	68	Western Michigan	71	Western Michigan -7	Buffalo	51.0	Over
2016	11/19	Western Michigan	38	Buffalo	0	Western Michigan -34	Western Michigan	55.5	Under
2013	10/12	Western Michigan	0	Buffalo	33	Buffalo -11	Buffalo	0
2012	11/10	Buffalo	29	Western Michigan	24
2009	10/24	Western Michigan	34	Buffalo	31
2008	10/11	Buffalo	28	Western Michigan	34
2005	10/01	Western Michigan	31	Buffalo	21
2002	10/05	Buffalo	17	Western Michigan	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Buffalo	2	2	2 Overs
Western Michigan	8	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	2 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 4	2 - 2	2 - 1	0 - 1

(#) WMU at (#) BUFF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	BUFF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#105
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#83	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Buffalo Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BUFF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#99
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BUFF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	BUFF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Buffalo on Offense


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#92	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Buffalo Run Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Buffalo Pass Game


CategoryCat	BUFF Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 6
Western Michigan 7.0 (51.0)
Western Michigan won at Buffalo this year (71-68)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Buffalo last year (48-41)

WMU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

BUFF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Buffalo's Full Roster

BUFF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD