Northern Illinois at Buffalo - 2017 Matchup Preview
Northern Illinois logo   Northern Illinois Huskies at Buffalo Bulls  Buffalo logo
Saturday, October 14th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -8 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Northern Illinois 14 - Buffalo: 13  (Mid-American)

 
Huskies (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (16 - 28 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BUFF 2nd straight Home Game
BUFF is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ NIU -10)
Projected Score: NIU: 20 - BUFF: 25 (45)
NIU Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
NIU Travel: 515 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (6 - 6) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Illinois's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Northern Illinois vs Boston College+3.547.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 9/9 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Illinois-14.0
Sat 9/16 Northern Illinois at Nebraska+10.556.5W 21 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Northern Illinois at San Diego State+9.547.5L 28 - 34OY
Sat 10/7 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-23.544.5W 24 - 3UN
Sat 10/14 Northern Illinois at Buffalo-8.050.0W 14 - 13UN
Sat 10/21 Northern Illinois at Bowling Green-14.556.5W 48 - 17OY
Thu 10/26 Northern Illinois vs Eastern Michigan-7.547.0W 30 - 27ON
Thu 11/2 Northern Illinois at Toledo+7.556.5L 17 - 27UN
Thu 11/9 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-28.551.5W 63 - 17OY
Wed 11/15 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-9.049.5W 35 - 31ON
Fri 11/24 Northern Illinois at Central Michigan-3.051.5L 24 - 31ON
Tue 12/26 Northern Illinois vs Duke+4.548.0L 14 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Buffalo's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 Buffalo at Minnesota+23.051.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 9/9 Buffalo at Army+15.553.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Colgate-23.5
Sat 9/23 Buffalo vs Florida Atlantic-2.059.0W 34 - 31OY
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Kent State-7.541.0W 27 - 13UY
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Western Michigan+7.051.0L 68 - 71OY
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois+8.050.0L 13 - 14UY
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+3.047.0L 14 - 24UN
Sat 10/28 Buffalo at Akron-3.049.5L 20 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-7.061.0W 38 - 28OY
Thu 11/16 Buffalo at Ball State-18.554.5W 40 - 24ON
Fri 11/24 Buffalo vs Ohio+7.056.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU.244%17.145%3.1924042%2243.62.2145%24.345%44%3.4169.51.41.3
BUFF.0739%2439%2.8715336%2012.43.1646%23.547%41%3.38431.61.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1217.116.344.5%3.621.4244642402245.355%44%45%42%15%.2
BUFF Defense1223.524.145.8%3.381.1 - - - - - 64%34%47%41%13%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Defense1224.327.844.6%3.411.3 - - - - - 53%46%45%44%17%.21
BUFF Offense122424.638.5%2.431.6183541532014.348%51%39%36%16%.07

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Illinois1227:4523.741%47%769.51.41.36.31.8128.4
Buffalo1226:5818.336%44%5.3431.61.15.11.8030.7
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1255%45%45.7239.85.327.183.1973%8%1.04
BUFF Defense1264%47% - - - - .153.1169%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Defense1253%45% - - - - .173.0168%10%0.99
BUFF Offense1248%39%35.5153.34.312.042.8773%8%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1244%42%19.333.32246.711.62013.231.529%33%.367%1.9
BUFF Defense1234%41% - - - - - - 5.231.629%29%.164%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Defense1246%44% - - - - - - 14.261.632%33%.297%1.8
BUFF Offense1251%36%17.733.1200.56.111.41111.11.535%30%.128%1.6

Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Illinois's 2017 Expected Record: -
Northern Illinois's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #75
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #111
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #26

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois:    Buffalo: -3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Illinois: -1.4   Buffalo: -11.2




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: -3.1 NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Buffalo's 2017 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2  #105
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.9  #92
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9  #99

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Northern Illinois's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 25
Northern Illinois 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.6
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.1

Buffalo's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Northern Illinois20Buffalo23Northern Illinois -13.0Buffalo42.5Over
202111/17Buffalo27Northern Illinois33Northern Illinois -2Northern Illinois59.5Over
202011/04Northern Illinois30Buffalo49Buffalo -14Buffalo53.0Over
201811/30Buffalo29Northern Illinois30Buffalo -3Northern Illinois51.0Over
201710/14Buffalo13Northern Illinois14Northern Illinois -8Buffalo50.0Under
201610/22Northern Illinois44Buffalo7Northern Illinois -20Northern Illinois61.0Under
201511/11Buffalo30Northern Illinois41Northern Illinois -5Northern Illinois55.5Over
201210/13Northern Illinois45Buffalo3
201110/22Buffalo30Northern Illinois31
201010/16Northern Illinois45Buffalo14
200609/16Northern Illinois31Buffalo13
200311/08Buffalo9Northern Illinois40
200010/27Northern Illinois73Buffalo10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo235 Overs
Northern Illinois1142 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 82 - 51 - 21 - 3
Road Teams8 - 55 - 23 - 12 - 1

(#) NIU at (#) BUFF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNIUBUFF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #105
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #117
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
NIU OffBUFF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northern Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
NIU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCatBUFF OffNIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #92 #26
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffNIU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCatBUFF OffNIU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Northern Illinois 8.0 (50.0)
Northern Illinois won at Buffalo this year (14-13)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (23-20)

  
NIU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NIU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD