UConn at SMU - 2017 Matchup Preview
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UConn Huskies at SMU Mustangs

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Saturday, September 30th 2017 (4:00 PM EDT)
SMU -16.5 (75.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
SMU 49 - UConn: 28  (American Athletic)

 
Huskies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Home Game
SMU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ SMU -16)

Projected Score: CONN: 27 - SMU: 32 (59)
SMU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
CONN Travel: 1458 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Mustangs (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (36 - 19 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UConn's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UConn vs Holy Cross-22.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/16 UConn at Virginia+11.051.0L 18 - 38ON
Sun 9/24 UConn vs East Carolina-5.063.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 9/30 UConn at SMU+16.575.0L 28 - 49ON
Fri 10/6 UConn vs Memphis+16.076.0L 31 - 70ON
Sat 10/14 UConn at Temple+10.557.5W 28 - 24UY
Sat 10/21 UConn vs Tulsa+4.077.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/28 UConn vs Missouri+13.575.5L 12 - 52UN
Sat 11/4 UConn vs South Florida+24.064.5L 20 - 37UY
Sat 11/11 UConn at UCF+38.064.0L 24 - 49OY
Sat 11/18 UConn vs Boston College+21.051.0L 16 - 39ON
Sat 11/25 UConn at Cincinnati+6.059.0L 21 - 22UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
SMU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-30.0
Sat 9/9 SMU vs North Texas-13.064.5W 54 - 32OY
Sat 9/16 SMU at TCU+22.064.5L 36 - 56OY
Sat 9/23 SMU vs Arkansas State-3.072.0W 44 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 SMU vs UConn-16.575.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 SMU at Houston+10.060.5L 22 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 SMU at Cincinnati-6.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 10/27 SMU vs Tulsa-11.576.5W 38 - 34UN
Sat 11/4 SMU vs UCF+14.075.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/11 SMU at Navy+1.566.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis+10.571.5L 45 - 66ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Tulane-7.565.0W 41 - 38ON
Wed 12/20 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-4.070.5L 10 - 51UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN.0439%35.336%2.611739%2032.54.2246%2743%49%3.4728.31.60.9
SMU.1340%32.239%2.9316339%2643.04.1544%20.545%41%3.545222.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Offense1235.333.538.5%2.541.6173201172033.450%48%36%39%20%.04
SMU Defense1220.519.244%3.542.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%41%15%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CONN Defense122732.246.3%3.470.9 - - - - - 49%50%43%49%13%.22
SMU Offense1232.23640.1%3.042224271632644.148%50%39%39%16%.13

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UConn1229:5217.134%48%3.628.31.60.94.51.4027.5
SMU1230:3721.843%38%5.85222.25.72.4430.4
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Offense1250%36%34.8117.33.4112.667%14%0.94
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - .193.275%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CONN Defense1249%43% - - - - .082.8470%8%0.93
SMU Offense1248%39%39.8163.34.114.062.9373%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Offense1248%39%17.831.7202.76.411.4811.11.534%28%.126%1.8
SMU Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 18.121.632%33%.176%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CONN Defense1250%49% - - - - - - 7.361.531%37%.355%1.7
SMU Offense1250%39%20.738264712.82217.241.735%32%.257%1.8

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: NR
UConn's Offense Rating: NR
UConn's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UConn's 2017 Expected Record: -
UConn's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.2  #119
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #104
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.7  #122

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn:    SMU: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: -19.2   SMU: -2.9




SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
SMU's 2017 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #25
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #110

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2017 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 32
UConn 27


Projected Total Points: 59
SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

SMU's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201811/10UConn50SMU62SMU -18UConn66.0Over
201709/30SMU49UConn28SMU -16.5SMU75.0Over
201412/06UConn20SMU27Connecticut -10.5SMU0
201311/16SMU38UConn21SMU -13.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
SMU432 Overs
UConn010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 23 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#) CONN at (#) SMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCONNSMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #82
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UConn on Offense
CategoryCat
CONN OffSMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UConn Run Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
CategoryCat
CONN OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCatSMU OffCONN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #122
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCatSMU OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
SMU -16.5 (75.0)
SMU won vs UConn this year (49-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
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SMU's OC ()
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SMU's DC ()
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