SMU at TCU - 2017 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs  TCU logo
Saturday, September 16th 2017 (3:30 PM EDT)
TCU -22 (64.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
TCU 56 - SMU: 36

 
Mustangs (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ TCU -22)
Projected Score: SMU: 28 - TCU: 28 (56)
TCU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (11 - 3) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'17 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 SMU vs Stephen F. Austin-30.0
Sat 9/9 SMU vs North Texas-13.064.5W 54 - 32OY
Sat 9/16 SMU at TCU+22.064.5L 36 - 56OY
Sat 9/23 SMU vs Arkansas State-3.072.0W 44 - 21UY
Sat 9/30 SMU vs UConn-16.575.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 10/7 SMU at Houston+10.060.5L 22 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 SMU at Cincinnati-6.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Fri 10/27 SMU vs Tulsa-11.576.5W 38 - 34UN
Sat 11/4 SMU vs UCF+14.075.0L 24 - 31UY
Sat 11/11 SMU at Navy+1.566.0L 40 - 43ON
Sat 11/18 SMU at Memphis+10.571.5L 45 - 66ON
Sat 11/25 SMU vs Tulane-7.565.0W 41 - 38ON
Wed 12/20 SMU vs Louisiana Tech-4.070.5L 10 - 51UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 TCU vs Jackson State-60.0
Sat 9/9 TCU at Arkansas-3.056.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 TCU vs SMU-22.064.5W 56 - 36ON
Sat 9/23 TCU at Oklahoma State+10.568.0W 44 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 TCU vs West Virginia-12.567.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/14 TCU at Kansas State-7.549.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 10/21 TCU vs Kansas-37.561.5W 43 - 0UY
Sat 10/28 TCU at Iowa State-7.048.5L 7 - 14UN
Sat 11/4 TCU vs Texas-7.545.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/11 TCU at Oklahoma+6.063.5L 20 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 TCU at Texas Tech-6.553.5W 27 - 3UY
Fri 11/24 TCU vs Baylor-25.553.0W 45 - 22ON
Sat 12/2 TCU vs Oklahoma+7.563.5L 17 - 41UN
Thu 12/28 TCU vs Stanford-3.049.5W 39 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.1340%32.239%2.9316339%2643.04.1544%20.545%41%3.545222.2
TCU.246%30.748%3.2919542%2683.3.1641%25.342%36%3.4761.31.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.840.1%3.042224271632644.148%50%39%39%16%.13
TCU Defense1325.324.240.8%3.471.2 - - - - - 52%46%42%36%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.244%3.542.2 - - - - - 51%48%45%41%15%.15
TCU Offense1330.73645.9%3.31.5234631952685.245%53%48%42%15%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1230:3721.843%38%5.85222.25.72.4430.4
TCU1328:0722.840%59%6.861.31.51.26.53.3229.4
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1248%39%39.8163.34.114.062.9373%9%0.86
TCU Defense1352%42% - - - - .183.182%10%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1251%45% - - - - .193.275%9%1.02
TCU Offense1345%48%37.51955.230.253.2968%9%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1250%39%20.738264712.82217.241.735%32%.257%1.8
TCU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 8.171.734%34%.36%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 18.121.632%33%.176%1.6
TCU Offense1353%42%22.738.7268.26.911.81814.171.432%33%.317%1.7

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2017 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #82
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.4  #25
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #110

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: -2.9   TCU: 18.9




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2017 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #16
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.7  #21
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #19

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2017 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2017 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #82 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #73 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #110
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

SMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
TCU -22.0 (64.5)
TCU won vs SMU this year (56-36)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat SMU last year (35-24)
SMU beat TCU in 2024 (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View TCU's Full Roster

TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD