Western Kentucky at Marshall - 2017 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, November 11th 2017 (6:30 PM EST)
Marshall -10.5 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Marshall 30 - Western Kentucky: 23  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (19 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Road Game
MRSH is playing their 7th straight game
WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ MRSH -0)
Projected Score: WKU: 23 - MRSH: 30 (53)
MRSH Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
WKU Travel: 242 miles, 1 hrs behind
Thundering Herd (8 - 5) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 20 (29 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Western Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-39.0
Sat 9/9 Western Kentucky at Illinois-6.552.0L 7 - 20UN
Sat 9/16 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-4.562.0L 22 - 23UN
Sat 9/23 Western Kentucky vs Ball State-12.550.5W 33 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 Western Kentucky at UTEP-16.553.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 10/14 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-17.547.5W 45 - 14OY
Fri 10/20 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-6.550.0W 35 - 31ON
Sat 10/28 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic+6.567.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 11/4 Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt+13.054.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/11 Western Kentucky at Marshall+10.553.0L 23 - 30UY
Fri 11/17 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee+1.056.0W 41 - 38OY
Fri 11/24 Western Kentucky at Florida International-3.056.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 12/16 Western Kentucky vs Georgia State+5.054.5L 17 - 27UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Marshall's 2017 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Marshall vs Miami (OH)+4.048.0W 31 - 26OY
Sat 9/9 Marshall at NC State+21.055.0L 20 - 37OY
Sat 9/16 Marshall vs Kent State-14.050.0W 21 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/30 Marshall at Cincinnati+3.052.5W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/7 Marshall at Charlotte-14.551.0W 14 - 3UN
Sat 10/14 Marshall vs Old Dominion-12.548.0W 35 - 3UY
Fri 10/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-1.549.0W 38 - 10UY
Sat 10/28 Marshall vs Florida International-14.547.5L 30 - 41ON
Fri 11/3 Marshall at Florida Atlantic+6.563.0L 25 - 30UY
Sat 11/11 Marshall vs Western Kentucky-10.553.0W 30 - 23UN
Sat 11/18 Marshall at UTSA+3.045.0L 7 - 9UY
Sat 11/25 Marshall vs Southern Miss-1.547.5L 27 - 28ON
Sat 12/16 Marshall vs Colorado State+3.058.5W 31 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2017)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.1646%25.544%2.396146%3353.15.1743%26.841%44%3.3348.71.81.2
MRSH.1340%26.734%2.4614044%2403.15.0738%19.935%39%3.1359.81.81.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1325.51945.8%3.151.82339661335236%64%44%46%17%.16
MRSH Defense1319.920.237.9%3.131.2 - - - - - 49%50%35%39%18%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1326.827.843.5%3.331.2 - - - - - 54%44%41%44%16%.17
MRSH Offense1326.72939.8%3.151.820380140240448%51%34%44%15%.13

Additional Stats 2017
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1329:2222.644%41%5.748.71.81.25.30.9131.4
Marshall1331:0120.444%43%6.559.81.81.27.22.5531.6
Run Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1336%44%30.160.8215-.042.3965%13%0.75
MRSH Defense1349%35% - - - - -.032.3570%12%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1354%41% - - - - .092.771%10%1.04
MRSH Offense1348%34%35140.2414-.042.4672%9%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2017)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1364%46%29.344.43357.611.42710.281.431%37%.465%2
MRSH Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 6.181.637%31%.26%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1344%44% - - - - - - 10.271.433%38%.446%1.8
MRSH Offense1351%44%20.534.1239.6711.72514.291.635%33%.286%1.9

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2017 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.9  #88
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #87
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    Marshall: 0.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -4.9   Marshall: -4.5




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 0.25 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2017 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2017 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2017 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5  #85
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #115
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 25.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

Western Kentucky's 2017 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 30
Western Kentucky 23

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Marshall 31
Western Kentucky 25

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 28
Western Kentucky 21

Total Points: 49
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.2

Marshall's 2017 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/27Marshall21Western Kentucky53Western Kentucky -1Western Kentucky75.5Under
202010/10Western Kentucky14Marshall38Marshall -7.0Marshall43.0Over
201910/26Marshall26Western Kentucky23Marshall -4Western Kentucky44.5Over
201809/29Western Kentucky17Marshall20Marshall -3.5Western Kentucky52.0Under
201711/11Marshall30Western Kentucky23Marshall -10.5Western Kentucky53.0Push
201611/26Marshall6Western Kentucky60Western Kentucky -21Western Kentucky62.5Over
201511/27Western Kentucky49Marshall28Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky64.0Over
201411/28Marshall66Western Kentucky67Marshall -23Western Kentucky0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall414 Overs
Western Kentucky472 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 52 - 61 - 31 - 3
Road Teams5 - 36 - 23 - 13 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #88 #85
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #77
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'17 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 42°
Rematch from Week 11
Marshall -10.5 (53.0)
Marshall won vs Western Kentucky this year (30-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
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