Purdue at Michigan State - 2015 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans  Michigan State logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2015 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -24.5 (53.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 24 - Purdue: 21  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 4th straight Home Game
MSU is playing their 5th straight game
PUR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 23 - MSU: 29 (52)
MSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 202 miles
Spartans (12 - 2) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/6 Purdue at Marshall-2.560.5L 31 - 41ON
Sat 9/12 Purdue vs Indiana State-15.0
Sat 9/19 Purdue vs Virginia Tech+5.549.0L 24 - 51ON
Sat 9/26 Purdue vs Bowling Green-1.574.0L 28 - 35UN
Sat 10/3 Purdue at Michigan State+24.553.0L 21 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 Purdue vs Minnesota+2.547.5L 13 - 41ON
Sat 10/17 Purdue at Wisconsin+20.551.5L 7 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Purdue vs Nebraska+10.054.5W 55 - 45OY
Sat 11/7 Purdue vs Illinois+1.550.0L 14 - 48ON
Sat 11/14 Purdue at Northwestern+13.048.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 11/21 Purdue at Iowa+24.054.5L 20 - 40OY
Sat 11/28 Purdue vs Indiana+5.068.5L 36 - 54ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Michigan State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Michigan State at Western Michigan-23.555.0W 37 - 24ON
Sat 9/12 Michigan State vs Oregon-5.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 9/19 Michigan State vs Air Force-27.554.5W 35 - 21ON
Sat 9/26 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-28.556.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 10/3 Michigan State vs Purdue-24.553.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Michigan State at Rutgers-17.056.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Michigan State at Michigan+7.042.5W 27 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Indiana-17.059.0W 52 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Nebraska-4.555.5L 38 - 39ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Maryland-16.054.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/21 Michigan State at Ohio State+13.053.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Penn State-11.043.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Iowa-4.050.0W 16 - 13UN
Thu 12/31 Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.0739%18.843%2.8515733%1872.92.1445%31.846%40%3.5643.221.6
MSU.3350%24.648%3.0723549%2664.34.0835%29.935%34%2.85581.22.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1218.815.838.7%2.922173451571874.746%52%43%33%3%.07
MSU Defense1329.927.835.2%2.852.6 - - - - - 40%58%35%34%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.834.444.7%3.561.6 - - - - - 54%45%46%40%2%.14
MSU Offense1324.624.849.5%4.341.2255012352665.254%44%48%49%2%.33

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1228:5317.236%39%543.221.600132.2
Michigan State1335:1424.750%53%6.2581.22.600433.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1246%43%33.5157.24.717.112.8569%0%1.05
MSU Defense1340%35% - - - - .052.2676%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1254%46% - - - - .12373%0%0.86
MSU Offense1354%48%45.7235.25.244.183.0774%0%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1252%33%19.436.2187.45.29.71616.041.536%32%.213%1.7
MSU Defense1358%34% - - - - - - 18.11.741%25%.122%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1245%40% - - - - - - 10.181.732%37%.332%1.7
MSU Offense1344%49%18.230.8265.68.614.6269.521.729%42%.552%2

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2015 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Michigan State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Michigan State:




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2015 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 29
Purdue 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/22Michigan State24Purdue17Michigan State -14Purdue49.0Under
202111/06Purdue40Michigan State29Michigan State -2.5Purdue53.0Over
201810/27Michigan State23Purdue13Purdue -2.5Michigan State48.5Under
201510/03Michigan State24Purdue21Michigan State -24.5Purdue53.0Under
201410/11Purdue31Michigan State45Michigan State -21.5Purdue0
201310/19Michigan State14Purdue0Michigan State -21Purdue0
201011/20Michigan State35Purdue31
200911/14Purdue37Michigan State40
200811/08Michigan State21Purdue7
200711/10Purdue31Michigan State48
200611/04Michigan State15Purdue17
200511/05Purdue28Michigan State21
200211/16Michigan State42Purdue45
200111/17Purdue24Michigan State14
200011/10Michigan State30Purdue10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1011 Overs
Purdue553 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 53 - 30 - 33 - 0
Road Teams5 - 103 - 30 - 33 - 0

(#) PUR at (#) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #59 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCatMSU OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCatMSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Michigan State -24.5 (53.0)
Michigan State won vs Purdue this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Purdue in 2024 (24-17)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD