Michigan State at Michigan - 2015 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo   Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines  Michigan logo
Saturday, October 17th 2015 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -7 (42.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 27 - Michigan: 23  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (12 - 2) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 2nd straight Road Game
MICH 2nd straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
MSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - MICH: 30 (50)
MICH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Wolverines (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Michigan State at Western Michigan-23.555.0W 37 - 24ON
Sat 9/12 Michigan State vs Oregon-5.066.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 9/19 Michigan State vs Air Force-27.554.5W 35 - 21ON
Sat 9/26 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-28.556.0W 30 - 10UN
Sat 10/3 Michigan State vs Purdue-24.553.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/10 Michigan State at Rutgers-17.056.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Michigan State at Michigan+7.042.5W 27 - 23OY
Sat 10/24 Michigan State vs Indiana-17.059.0W 52 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Nebraska-4.555.5L 38 - 39ON
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Maryland-16.054.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 11/21 Michigan State at Ohio State+13.053.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/28 Michigan State vs Penn State-11.043.5W 55 - 16OY
Sat 12/5 Michigan State vs Iowa-4.050.0W 16 - 13UN
Thu 12/31 Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Michigan's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Michigan at Utah+3.045.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Oregon State-14.046.0W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/19 Michigan vs UNLV-34.050.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 9/26 Michigan vs BYU-6.049.0W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/3 Michigan at Maryland-12.045.0W 28 - 0UY
Sat 10/10 Michigan vs Northwestern-10.037.0W 38 - 0OY
Sat 10/17 Michigan vs Michigan State-7.042.5L 23 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Michigan at Minnesota-10.039.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 11/7 Michigan vs Rutgers-21.549.0W 49 - 16OY
Sat 11/14 Michigan at Indiana-11.056.0W 48 - 41ON
Sat 11/21 Michigan at Penn State-5.043.0W 28 - 16OY
Sat 11/28 Michigan vs Ohio State+2.546.0L 13 - 42ON
Fri 1/1 Michigan vs Florida-4.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.3350%24.648%3.0723549%2664.34.0835%29.935%34%2.85581.22.6
MICH.0843%27.544%2.9516339%1702.96.0941%20.438%42%3.1431.82.20.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1324.621.649.5%4.341.2255012352665.254%44%48%49%2%.33
MICH Defense1220.413.341%3.140.8 - - - - - 50%48%38%42%2%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1329.932.835.2%2.852.6 - - - - - 40%58%35%34%2%.08
MICH Offense1227.529.242.7%2.962.2193331631704.653%45%44%39%3%.08

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1335:1424.750%53%6.2581.22.600433.8
Michigan1230:5518.539%38%3.531.82.20.800231.8
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1354%48%45.7235.25.244.183.0774%0%0.92
MICH Defense1250%38% - - - - 2.5773%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1340%35% - - - - .052.2676%0%1.18
MICH Offense1253%44%35.4162.84.617.12.9573%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1344%49%18.230.8265.68.614.6269.521.729%42%.552%2
MICH Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 5.211.434%32%.232%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1358%34% - - - - - - 18.11.741%25%.122%2
MICH Offense1245%39%15.827.2170.26.310.81018.071.434%29%.143%1.7

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Michigan: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Michigan:




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2015 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 30
Michigan State 20

Projected Total Points: 50
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Michigan State20Michigan31Michigan -13.5Michigan State47.5Over
202410/26Michigan24Michigan State17Michigan -3.5Michigan39.0Over
202310/21Michigan State0Michigan49Michigan -25.5Michigan47.0Over
202210/29Michigan29Michigan State7Michigan -22Push55.0Under
202110/30Michigan State37Michigan33Michigan -4Michigan State50.5Over
202010/31Michigan24Michigan State27Michigan -25.0Michigan State0
201911/16Michigan44Michigan State10Michigan -13.5Michigan43.5Over
201810/20Michigan State7Michigan21Michigan -7.5Michigan38.5Under
201710/07Michigan10Michigan State14Michigan -12.5Michigan State40.0Under
201610/29Michigan State23Michigan32Michigan -21Michigan State49.5Over
201510/17Michigan23Michigan State27Michigan -7Michigan State42.5Over
201410/25Michigan State35Michigan11Michigan State -15.5Michigan State0
201311/02Michigan State29Michigan6Michigan State -3.5Michigan State0
201210/20Michigan12Michigan State10
201110/15Michigan State28Michigan14
201010/09Michigan17Michigan State34
200910/03Michigan State26Michigan20
200810/25Michigan21Michigan State35
200711/03Michigan State24Michigan28
200610/07Michigan31Michigan State13
200510/01Michigan State31Michigan34
200410/30Michigan45Michigan State37
200311/01Michigan State20Michigan27
200211/02Michigan49Michigan State3
200111/03Michigan State26Michigan24
200010/20Michigan14Michigan State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1547 Overs
Michigan State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) MSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #23 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Michigan -7.0 (42.5)
Michigan State won at Michigan this year (27-23)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (31-20)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2024 (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)

  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD