SMU at South Florida - 2015 Matchup Preview
SMU logo   SMU Mustangs at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, October 24th 2015 (4:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -13 (62.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
South Florida 38 - SMU: 14  (American Athletic)

 
Mustangs (2 - 10) (3 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU coming off BYE
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - USF: 34 (59)
USF Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
SMU Travel: 914 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (8 - 5) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 SMU vs Baylor+20.071.0L 21 - 56ON
Sat 9/12 SMU vs North Texas-6.060.0W 31 - 13UY
Sat 9/19 SMU at TCU+38.068.5L 37 - 56OY
Sat 9/26 SMU vs James Madison-14.5
Sat 10/3 SMU vs East Carolina+6.564.5L 23 - 49ON
Thu 10/8 SMU at Houston+21.070.0L 28 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 SMU at South Florida+13.062.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/31 SMU vs Tulsa+1.575.5L 31 - 40UN
Fri 11/6 SMU vs Temple+11.549.5L 40 - 60ON
Sat 11/14 SMU at Navy+20.059.5L 14 - 55ON
Sat 11/21 SMU vs Tulane-3.055.5W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/28 SMU at Memphis+24.570.0L 0 - 63UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
South Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida A&M-23.5
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Florida State+29.053.5L 14 - 34UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Maryland+7.551.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2 South Florida vs Memphis+10.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs Syracuse-5.047.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 South Florida at UConn+1.544.0W 28 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 South Florida vs SMU-13.062.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/31 South Florida at Navy+11.051.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 11/7 South Florida at East Carolina+3.055.0W 22 - 17UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida vs Temple+3.044.5W 44 - 23OY
Fri 11/20 South Florida vs Cincinnati+2.566.0W 65 - 27OY
Thu 11/26 South Florida at UCF-22.553.5W 44 - 3UY
Mon 12/21 South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU-.0335%32.240%2.5510031%1691.98.2949%20.546%50%4.0352.72.51.3
USF.0234%40.530%2.1910836%1972.35.1346%23.442%49%3.5760.71.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.835.4%1.982.5152691001693.339%59%40%31%2%-.03
USF Defense1223.414.346.2%3.571.7 - - - - - 53%45%42%49%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.249.2%4.031.3 - - - - - 55%43%46%50%2%.29
USF Offense1240.55134.3%2.351.7153051081973.448%50%30%36%2%.02

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1231:2514.633%50%6.252.72.51.300029.5
South Florida1228:0715.237%47%6.360.71.71.700129.5
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1239%40%30.2100.33.39.022.5568%0%0.91
USF Defense1253%42% - - - - .012.8165%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1255%46% - - - - .23.4674%0%0.95
USF Offense1248%30%31.3107.93.411-.082.1958%0%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1259%31%19.235.8168.74.78.8614-.061.338%25%.132%1.7
USF Defense1245%49% - - - - - - 6.291.330%31%.212%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1243%50% - - - - - - 6.431.528%40%.422%1.7
USF Offense1250%36%14.930.3196.86.513.21111.151.639%32%.232%1.7

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2015 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    South Florida: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    South Florida:




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2015 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
SMU 25

Projected Total Points: 59
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/12South Florida23SMU41SMU -17.5SMU72.5Under
202110/02SMU41South Florida17SMU -21.5SMU68.5Under
201909/28South Florida21SMU48SMU -7SMU62.0Over
201611/19SMU27South Florida35South Florida -12.5SMU73.0Under
201510/24South Florida38SMU14South Florida -13South Florida62.0Under
201411/15SMU13South Florida14South Florida -12SMU0
201311/23South Florida6SMU16SMU -5.5SMU0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida311 Overs
SMU464 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 54 - 32 - 02 - 3
Road Teams5 - 23 - 43 - 20 - 2

(#) SMU at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #75 #61
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
South Florida -13.0 (62.0)
South Florida won vs SMU this year (38-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
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