South Florida at Florida State - 2015 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo   South Florida Bulls at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, September 12th 2015 (11:30 AM EDT)
Florida State -29 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida State 34 - South Florida: 14

 
Bulls (8 - 5) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USF: 28 - FSU: 33 (61)
FSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
USF Travel: 202 miles
Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida A&M-23.5
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Florida State+29.053.5L 14 - 34UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Maryland+7.551.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2 South Florida vs Memphis+10.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs Syracuse-5.047.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 South Florida at UConn+1.544.0W 28 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 South Florida vs SMU-13.062.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/31 South Florida at Navy+11.051.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 11/7 South Florida at East Carolina+3.055.0W 22 - 17UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida vs Temple+3.044.5W 44 - 23OY
Fri 11/20 South Florida vs Cincinnati+2.566.0W 65 - 27OY
Thu 11/26 South Florida at UCF-22.553.5W 44 - 3UY
Mon 12/21 South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Florida State's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Florida State vs Texas State-37.060.0W 59 - 16OY
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs South Florida-29.053.5W 34 - 14UN
Fri 9/18 Florida State at Boston College-10.547.5W 14 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3 Florida State at Wake Forest-18.045.5W 24 - 16UN
Sat 10/10 Florida State vs Miami-9.054.0W 29 - 24UN
Sat 10/17 Florida State vs Louisville-9.047.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 10/24 Florida State at Georgia Tech-6.556.0L 16 - 22UN
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs Syracuse-19.553.0W 45 - 21OY
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Clemson+12.054.5L 13 - 23UY
Sat 11/14 Florida State vs NC State-10.555.0W 34 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs Chattanooga-30.5
Sat 11/28 Florida State at Florida+3.044.0W 27 - 2UY
Thu 12/31 Florida State vs Houston-6.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.0234%40.530%2.1910836%1972.35.1346%23.442%49%3.5760.71.71.7
FSU.2449%3343%2.7713852%3033.88.1144%2243%41%3.4147.72.31.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1240.53534.3%2.351.7153051081973.448%50%30%36%2%.02
FSU Defense142216.143.5%3.411.9 - - - - - 53%45%43%41%2%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1223.432.346.2%3.571.7 - - - - - 53%45%42%49%2%.13
FSU Offense143343.349.3%3.882.3234411383034.343%54%43%52%3%.24

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1228:0715.237%47%6.360.71.71.700129.5
Florida State1430:162345%0%6.247.72.31.900229.9
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1248%30%31.3107.93.411-.082.1958%0%1.07
FSU Defense1453%43% - - - - .072.7270%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1253%42% - - - - .012.8165%0%0.79
FSU Offense1443%43%32.2138.14.327.082.7772%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1250%36%14.930.3196.86.513.21111.151.639%32%.232%1.7
FSU Defense1445%41% - - - - - - 14.171.632%36%.22%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1245%49% - - - - - - 6.291.330%31%.212%1.6
FSU Offense1454%52%23.636.9303.38.212.92620.391.430%40%.43%1.7

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Florida State:




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 33
South Florida 28

Projected Total Points: 61
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/24South Florida35Florida State55Florida State -5.5Florida State64.0Over
201509/12Florida State34South Florida14Florida State -29South Florida53.5Under
201209/29South Florida17Florida State30
200909/26Florida State7South Florida17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State311 Overs
South Florida111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 30 - 20 - 10 - 1
Road Teams3 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0

(#) USF at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #4
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -29.0 (53.5)
Florida State won vs South Florida this year (34-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
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FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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