South Florida at Florida State - 2015 Matchup Preview

South Florida Bulls at Florida State Seminoles(#14)

Saturday, September 12th 2015 (11:30 AM EDT)
Florida State -29 (53.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida State 34 - South Florida: 14

Bulls (8 - 5) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (24 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USF: 23 - FSU: 32 (55)
FSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
USF Travel: 202 miles

Seminoles (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 18 (42 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
FSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-23.5
Sat 9/12	South Florida at Florida State	+29.0	53.5	L 14 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/19	South Florida at Maryland	+7.5	51.5	L 17 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2	South Florida vs Memphis	+10.5	58.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/10	South Florida vs Syracuse	-5.0	47.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/17	South Florida at UConn	+1.5	44.0	W 28 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/24	South Florida vs SMU	-13.0	62.0	W 38 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/31	South Florida at Navy	+11.0	51.0	L 17 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/7	South Florida at East Carolina	+3.0	55.0	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/14	South Florida vs Temple	+3.0	44.5	W 44 - 23	O	Y
Fri 11/20	South Florida vs Cincinnati	+2.5	66.0	W 65 - 27	O	Y
Thu 11/26	South Florida at UCF	-22.5	53.5	W 44 - 3	U	Y
Mon 12/21	South Florida vs Western Kentucky	+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Florida State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Florida State vs Texas State	-37.0	60.0	W 59 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/12	Florida State vs South Florida	-29.0	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/18	Florida State at Boston College	-10.5	47.5	W 14 - 0	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Florida State at Wake Forest	-18.0	45.5	W 24 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/10	Florida State vs Miami	-9.0	54.0	W 29 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/17	Florida State vs Louisville	-9.0	47.0	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Florida State at Georgia Tech	-6.5	56.0	L 16 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/31	Florida State vs Syracuse	-19.5	53.0	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Florida State at Clemson	+12.0	54.5	L 13 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/14	Florida State vs NC State	-10.5	55.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/21	Florida State vs Chattanooga	-30.5
Sat 11/28	Florida State at Florida	+3.0	44.0	W 27 - 2	U	Y
Thu 12/31	Florida State vs Houston	-6.5

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.24	44%	33.6	45%	3.15	247	40%	195	3.7	.09	39%	22.9	37%	38%	2.89	54.9	1.2	2
FSU	.21	45%	31.7	43%	2.84	168	44%	256	3.72	.08	38%	17.5	39%	35%	2.8	54	1.2	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	#83 (.17)	38% (118)		39% (112)	3.06 (60)	181	38% (106)	227	3.88 (74)	#66 (.16)	39% (36)		38% (17)	40% (69)	4 (88)	70.9	1.4	2.1
FSU	#125 (.06)	35% (128)		40% (103)	2.9 (92)	91	31% (130)	180	2.88 (131)	#112 (.25)	41% (56)		42% (62)	39% (52)	3.62 (46)	47.9	1.8	0.5

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	13	33.6	23.7	44.2%	3.7	1.2	20	442	247	195	5.4	63%	36%	45%	40%	3%	.24
FSU Defense	13	17.5	18	38%	2.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	39%	35%	2%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	13	22.9	23	38.7%	2.89	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	38%	4%	.09
FSU Offense	13	31.7	42	44.8%	3.72	1.2	21	424	168	256	5.2	45%	52%	43%	44%	4%	.21

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	13	28:13	20.2	37%	58%	6.1	54.9	1.2	2	0	0	2	31.7
Florida State	13	29:24	20.6	38%	44%	6.8	54	1.2	1.2	0	0	0	32.9

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	13	63%	45%	45.5	246.5	5.4	28	.19	3.15	73%	0%	1.03
FSU Defense	13	48%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.02	78%	0%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.51	69%	0%	1.03
FSU Offense	13	45%	43%	32.7	168.2	5.2	27	.12	2.84	58%	0%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	13	36%	40%	13.8	23.2	195.1	8.4	14.2	26	9	.33	1.9	31%	33%	.43	3%	2.1
FSU Defense	13	50%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.1	1.5	35%	31%	.22	2%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	13	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	18	.16	1.6	36%	29%	.19	4%	1.8
FSU Offense	13	52%	44%	20.3	32.2	255.8	7.9	12.6	22	9	.35	1.6	34%	41%	.43	4%	1.8

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Florida State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: Florida State:

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

South Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida State 32
South Florida 23

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida State 33
South Florida 23

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Florida State 30
South Florida 23

Total Points: 53

Florida State Scoring
Offense: 31.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 42
Defense: 17.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Florida State's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/24	South Florida	35	Florida State	55	Florida State -5.5	Florida State	64.0	Over
2015	09/12	Florida State	34	South Florida	14	Florida State -29	South Florida	53.5	Under
2012	09/29	South Florida	17	Florida State	30
2009	09/26	Florida State	7	South Florida	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida State	3	1	1 Overs
South Florida	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#) USF at (#) FSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	FSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#61	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

South Florida Injury Report

Florida State Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	FSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida State on Offense


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida State Run Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FSU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°Rain: 0.24

Rematch from Week 2
Florida State -29.0 (53.5)
Florida State won vs South Florida this year (34-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida State's Full Roster

FSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD