South Florida at Maryland - 2015 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo (#18)South Florida Bulls at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, September 19th 2015 (12:00 PM EDT)
Maryland -7.5 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Maryland 35 - South Florida: 17

 
Bulls (8 - 5) (9 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 23 (24 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
MD 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: USF: 29 - MD: 29 (58)
MD Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 825 miles
Terrapins (3 - 9) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 34 (27 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida A&M-23.5
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Florida State+29.053.5L 14 - 34UY
Sat 9/19 South Florida at Maryland+7.551.5L 17 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/2 South Florida vs Memphis+10.558.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/10 South Florida vs Syracuse-5.047.0W 45 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 South Florida at UConn+1.544.0W 28 - 20OY
Sat 10/24 South Florida vs SMU-13.062.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/31 South Florida at Navy+11.051.0L 17 - 29UN
Sat 11/7 South Florida at East Carolina+3.055.0W 22 - 17UY
Sat 11/14 South Florida vs Temple+3.044.5W 44 - 23OY
Fri 11/20 South Florida vs Cincinnati+2.566.0W 65 - 27OY
Thu 11/26 South Florida at UCF-22.553.5W 44 - 3UY
Mon 12/21 South Florida vs Western Kentucky+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Maryland's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Maryland vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/12 Maryland vs Bowling Green-10.070.5L 27 - 48ON
Sat 9/19 Maryland vs South Florida-7.551.5W 35 - 17OY
Sat 9/26 Maryland at West Virginia+16.557.5L 6 - 45UN
Sat 10/3 Maryland vs Michigan+12.045.0L 0 - 28UN
Sat 10/10 Maryland at Ohio State+28.557.5L 28 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Maryland vs Penn State+7.546.5L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/31 Maryland at Iowa+16.051.0L 15 - 31UY
Sat 11/7 Maryland vs Wisconsin+13.049.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/14 Maryland at Michigan State+16.054.0L 7 - 24UN
Sat 11/21 Maryland vs Indiana+1.563.0L 28 - 47ON
Sat 11/28 Maryland at Rutgers-2.055.5W 46 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF.2444%33.645%3.1524740%1953.7.0939%22.937%38%2.8954.91.22
MD.0636%24.740%3.0220131%1743.04.1744%34.443%43%3.5462.231.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1333.623.744.2%3.71.2204422471955.463%36%45%40%3%.24
MD Defense1234.43243.7%3.541.5 - - - - - 53%45%43%43%2%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1322.92338.7%2.892 - - - - - 50%48%37%38%4%.09
MD Offense1224.727.336.3%3.043183752011745.550%49%40%31%4%.06

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1328:1320.237%58%6.154.91.2200231.7
Maryland1227:3618.129%33%7.162.231.500330.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1363%45%45.5246.55.428.193.1573%0%1.03
MD Defense1253%43% - - - - .062.8168%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1350%37% - - - - .042.5169%0%1.03
MD Offense1250%40%36.8200.75.520.173.0267%0%1.21

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1336%40%13.823.2195.18.414.2269.331.931%33%.433%2.1
MD Defense1245%43% - - - - - - 9.31.731%32%.32%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1348%38% - - - - - - 18.161.636%29%.194%1.8
MD Offense1249%31%15.332.3174.35.411.41529-.051.637%27%.224%2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
South Florida's 2015 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Maryland: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida:    Maryland:




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2015 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

South Florida's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 29
Maryland 29


Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 33
South Florida 27

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
South Florida 31
Maryland 25

Total Points: 56
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 24.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 34.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Maryland's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201509/19Maryland35South Florida17Maryland -7.5Maryland51.5Over
201409/06South Florida17Maryland24Maryland -10South Florida0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland211 Overs
South Florida010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 12 - 01 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 10 - 1

(#) USF at (#) MD
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSFMD
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #61 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
USF OffMD Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffMD Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
USF OffMD Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Maryland on Offense
CategoryCatMD OffUSF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Maryland Run Game
CategoryCat
MD OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Maryland Pass Game
CategoryCatMD OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 80° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Maryland -7.5 (51.5)
Maryland won vs South Florida this year (35-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USF's OC ()
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MD's OC ()
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MD's DC ()
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