Western Kentucky at North Texas - 2015 Matchup Preview
Western Kentucky logo Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at North Texas Mean GreenNorth Texas logo
Thursday, October 15th 2015 (7:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -26.5 (71.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Kentucky 55 - North Texas: 28  (Conference USA)

 
Hilltoppers (12 - 2) (10 - 2 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 44 - 26 (42 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.9° (15% Hum)
Wind: 15 MPH
UNT 2nd straight Home Game
UNT is playing their 6th straight game
WKU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: WKU: 46 - UNT: 21 (67)
WKU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
WKU Travel: 658 miles
Mean Green (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 15 - 41 (21 - 40 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Kentucky's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt+17.560.0W 14 - 12UY
Thu 9/10 Western Kentucky vs Louisiana Tech-3.062.5W 41 - 38ON
Sat 9/19 Western Kentucky at Indiana+3.072.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 9/26 Western Kentucky vs Miami (OH)-21.567.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 10/3 Western Kentucky at Rice-5.069.0W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/10 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-7.569.5W 58 - 28OY
Thu 10/15 Western Kentucky at North Texas-26.571.5W 55 - 28OY
Sat 10/24 Western Kentucky at LSU+17.065.0L 20 - 48ON
Sat 10/31 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-24.066.0W 55 - 30OY
Sat 11/7 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-22.067.0W 35 - 19UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Western Kentucky at Florida International-14.065.5W 63 - 7OY
Fri 11/27 Western Kentucky vs Marshall-10.564.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 12/5 Western Kentucky vs Southern Miss-7.576.0W 45 - 28UY
Mon 12/21 Western Kentucky vs South Florida-3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
North Texas's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 North Texas at SMU+6.060.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/19 North Texas vs Rice+6.054.0L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/26 North Texas at Iowa+26.553.5L 16 - 62ON
Sat 10/3 North Texas at Southern Miss+13.566.5L 14 - 49UN
Sat 10/10 North Texas vs Portland State+1.5
Thu 10/15 North Texas vs Western Kentucky+26.571.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 10/24 North Texas at Marshall+31.057.0L 13 - 30UY
Sat 10/31 North Texas vs UTSA+12.054.5W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/7 North Texas at Louisiana Tech+30.062.0L 13 - 56ON
Sat 11/14 North Texas at Tennessee+40.566.0L 0 - 24UY
Sat 11/21 North Texas at Middle Tennessee+24.063.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 11/28 North Texas vs UTEP-4.053.0L 17 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU.3652%44.350%3.0715452%3724.44.1841%25.941%40%3.4157.91.22.2
UNT-.0639%15.244%2.7515932%1611.79.2849%41.352%45%4.456.82.11.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Offense1444.341.651.8%4.441.2255261543724.640%59%50%52%1%.36
UNT Defense1241.340.449.5%4.41.5 - - - - - 52%47%52%45%1%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WKU Defense1425.924.741.5%3.412.2 - - - - - 50%49%41%40%2%.18
UNT Offense1215.221.238.7%1.792.1193201591614.450%49%44%32%1%-.06

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Kentucky1430:1124.948%57%5.957.91.22.200231.1
North Texas1226:3618.732%44%6.256.82.11.500128.7
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Offense1440%50%33.2154.14.630.153.0781%0%0.9
UNT Defense1252%52% - - - - .23.2374%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WKU Defense1450%41% - - - - .112.8570%0%1.07
UNT Offense1250%44%36.3158.74.47-.012.7568%0%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Offense1459%52%28.439.6372.29.413.1509.521.629%41%.461%1.8
UNT Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 4.421.628%44%.541%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WKU Defense1449%40% - - - - - - 17.261.835%33%.422%2.2
UNT Offense1249%32%15.833.9161.44.810.21211-.091.436%25%.031%1.6

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Kentucky's 2015 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    North Texas: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky:    North Texas:




North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Texas's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.7

Western Kentucky's 2015 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 2 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 46
North Texas 21


Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 49
North Texas 19

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 42
North Texas 22

Total Points: 64
North Texas Scoring
Offense: 15.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 41.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 40.4

North Texas's 2015 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/29Western Kentucky13North Texas40Western Kentucky -10North Texas70.0Under
201611/12Western Kentucky45North Texas7Western Kentucky -30Western Kentucky66.5Under
201510/15North Texas28Western Kentucky55Western Kentucky -26.5Western Kentucky71.5Over
201211/24Western Kentucky25North Texas24
201111/19North Texas21Western Kentucky31
201010/30Western Kentucky6North Texas33
200910/31North Texas68Western Kentucky49
200811/01Western Kentucky40North Texas51
200711/24North Texas27Western Kentucky26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Texas511 Overs
Western Kentucky422 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 51 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams5 - 42 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) WKU at (#) UNT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWKUUNT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #106 #97
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCat
WKU OffUNT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCatUNT OffWKU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffWKU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCatUNT OffWKU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Apogee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 92° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Western Kentucky 26.5 (71.5)
Western Kentucky won at North Texas this year (55-28)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Western Kentucky in 2022 (40-13)

  
WKU's OC ()
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WKU's DC ()
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UNT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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UNT's DC ()
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