Fresno State at Air Force - 2015 Matchup Preview

Fresno State Bulldogs at Air Force Falcons

Saturday, October 24th 2015 (2:00 PM EDT)
Air Force -17 (54.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Air Force 42 - Fresno State: 14 (Mountain West)

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 19 (26 - 25 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

AFA is playing their 4th straight game
FRES is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: FRES: 28 - AFA: 25 (53)
AFA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
FRES Travel: 826 miles, 1 hrs behind

Falcons (8 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (28 - 28 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FRES Players
AFA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Fresno State's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/3	Fresno State vs Abilene Christian	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Fresno State at Ole Miss	+23.0	56.0	L 21 - 73	O	N
Sat 9/19	Fresno State vs Utah	+15.5	53.0	L 24 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/26	Fresno State at San José State	+4.0	52.0	L 23 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/3	Fresno State at San Diego State	+9.5	51.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/10	Fresno State vs Utah State	+10.0	50.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Fri 10/16	Fresno State vs UNLV	+5.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/24	Fresno State at Air Force	+17.0	54.0	L 14 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5	Fresno State vs Nevada	+3.5	54.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/14	Fresno State at Hawai'i	+4.0	53.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/21	Fresno State at BYU	+24.5	57.0	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/28	Fresno State vs Colorado State	+8.5	60.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Fresno State's Schedule

Air Force's 2015 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Air Force vs Morgan State	-23.5
Sat 9/12	Air Force vs San José State	-7.0	58.0	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/19	Air Force at Michigan State	+27.5	54.5	L 21 - 35	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/3	Air Force at Navy	+6.0	49.5	L 11 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/10	Air Force vs Wyoming	-21.5	57.0	W 31 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/17	Air Force at Colorado State	-3.5	54.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/24	Air Force vs Fresno State	-17.0	54.0	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/31	Air Force at Hawai'i	-7.5	50.0	W 58 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/7	Air Force vs Army	-17.5	50.5	W 20 - 3	U	N
Sat 11/14	Air Force vs Utah State	+1.5	50.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/20	Air Force at Boise State	+14.5	55.0	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/28	Air Force at New Mexico	-10.5	53.5	L 35 - 47	O	N
Sat 12/5	Air Force at San Diego State	+3.5	46.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Tue 12/29	Air Force vs California	+6.5

Important Stats (2014)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES	.09	38%	25.8	41%	2.82	182	34%	224	3.28	.23	41%	18.8	39%	42%	3.84	39	1.9	1.5
AFA	.18	46%	29.8	44%	3.05	273	46%	146	3.91	.13	38%	30.3	34%	39%	3.22	35.4	1.3	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FRES		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
AFA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2014

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Offense	14	25.8	26.3	38%	3.28	1.9	21	406	182	224	4.5	49%	50%	41%	34%	2%	.09
AFA Defense	13	30.3	27.8	37.7%	3.22	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	34%	39%	1%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FRES Defense	14	18.8	24.8	41.4%	3.84	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	39%	42%	2%	.23
AFA Offense	13	29.8	27.5	45.7%	3.91	1.3	22	419	273	146	4.5	76%	22%	44%	46%	2%	.18

Additional Stats 2014

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Fresno State	14	28:31	21.1	37%	47%	4.2	39	1.9	1.5	0	0	2	28.8
Air Force	13	31:29	22.1	47%	71%	3.5	35.4	1.3	1.4	0	0	0	30.9

Run Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Offense	14	49%	41%	40.4	182.4	4.5	22	.13	2.82	76%	0%	1.09
AFA Defense	13	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.42	63%	0%	1.18

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FRES Defense	14	55%	39%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.91	71%	0%	0.95
AFA Offense	13	76%	44%	61.2	273.1	4.5	35	.13	3.05	77%	0%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2015)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Offense	14	50%	34%	21.4	37.9	223.7	5.9	10.5	25	21	.05	1.6	36%	30%	.19	2%	1.8
AFA Defense	13	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.8	37%	35%	.31	1%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FRES Defense	14	43%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.44	2	31%	35%	.42	2%	1.8
AFA Offense	13	22%	46%	9	15.8	145.6	9.2	16.2	15	4	.4	1.8	27%	33%	.27	2%	1.7

Fresno State's Power Ratings
Fresno State's Power Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #88
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Fresno State's 2015 Expected Record: -
Fresno State's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Fresno State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Fresno State: Air Force:

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating: #149
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2015 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Fresno State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 18.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Fresno State's 2015 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Fresno State 28
Air Force 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Air Force's 2015 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Air Force	36	Fresno State	28	Fresno State -9.5	Air Force	40.5	Over
2019	10/12	Air Force	43	Fresno State	24	Air Force -2.5	Air Force	50.5	Over
2016	10/28	Fresno State	21	Air Force	31	Air Force -13.5	Fresno State	51.0	Over
2015	10/24	Air Force	42	Fresno State	14	Air Force -17	Air Force	54.0	Over
2012	11/24	Fresno State	48	Air Force	15
2000	12/30	Air Force	37	Fresno State	34

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Air Force	5	3	4 Overs
Fresno State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 1	4 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 5	0 - 4	0 - 2	0 - 2

(#) FRES at (#) AFA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FRES	AFA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#88	#149
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Fresno State Injury Report

Air Force Injury Report

Fresno State on Offense


CategoryCat	FRES Off	AFA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Fresno State Run Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	AFA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Fresno State Pass Game


CategoryCat	FRES Off	AFA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Air Force on Offense


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FRES Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	NR	NR
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Air Force Run Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FRES Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Air Force Pass Game


CategoryCat	AFA Off	FRES Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FRES 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Air Force -17.0 (54.0)
Air Force won vs Fresno State this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Fresno State in 2024 (36-28)

FRES's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Fresno State's Full Roster

FRES's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

AFA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD