Boise State at Air Force - 2014 Matchup Preview
Boise State logo Boise State Broncos at Air Force FalconsAir Force logo
Saturday, September 27th 2014 (7:00 PM EDT)
Boise State -15 (0)  Open: 0.0
Air Force 28 - Boise State: 14  (Mountain West)

 
Broncos (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 27 (45 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA coming off BYE
BSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: BSU: 31 - AFA: 31 (62)
BSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
BSU Travel: 669 miles
Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (35 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boise State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Boise State vs Ole Miss+9.552.0L 13 - 35UN
Sat 9/6 Boise State vs Colorado State-8.0
Sat 9/13 Boise State at UConn-16.0
Sat 9/20 Boise State vs Louisiana-18.561.0W 34 - 9UY
Sat 9/27 Boise State at Air Force-15.0
Sat 10/4 Boise State at Nevada-1.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/17 Boise State vs Fresno State-16.0
Fri 10/24 Boise State vs BYU-6.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Boise State at New Mexico-14.5
Sat 11/15 Boise State vs San Diego State-15.0
Sat 11/22 Boise State at Wyoming-16.0
Sat 11/29 Boise State vs Utah State-9.0
Sat 12/6 Boise State vs Fresno State-17.0
Wed 12/31 Boise State vs Arizona+2.566.0W 38 - 30OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boise State's Schedule
Air Force's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Nicholls-14.0
Sat 9/6 Air Force at Wyoming+1.0
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Georgia State-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Boise State+15.0
Sat 10/4 Air Force vs Navy+4.0
Sat 10/11 Air Force at Utah State+7.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs New Mexico-12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force at Army-5.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force at UNLV-4.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force vs Nevada+2.5
Fri 11/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.0
Fri 11/28 Air Force vs Colorado State+5.0
Sat 12/20 Air Force vs Western Michigan+2.559.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU.2546%39.745%2.9721447%2804.1.0736%26.833%36%3.0657.21.72.2
AFA.1846%31.544%3.0527346%1463.91.1338%24.234%39%3.2235.41.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BSU#3 (.36)48% (12)49% (17)3.22 (39)23448% (12)2044.83 (4)#59 (.16)38% (27)39% (33)37% (29)3.33 (24)39.80.61.1
AFA#103 (.13)42% (77)45% (60)3.03 (68)22531% (131)904.02 (56)#88 (.2)42% (68)41% (47)43% (89)3.97 (84)281.31



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1439.745.246.3%4.11.7244942142804.953%45%45%47%2%.25
AFA Defense1324.22437.7%3.221.4 - - - - - 48%50%34%39%1%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Defense1426.831.635.9%3.062.2 - - - - - 47%51%33%36%3%.07
AFA Offense1331.534.845.7%3.911.3224192731464.576%22%44%46%2%.18

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boise State1432:1324.144%48%6.657.21.72.200631.5
Air Force1331:2922.147%71%3.535.41.31.400030.9
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1453%45%43.5213.94.939.182.9775%0%1.1
AFA Defense1348%34% - - - - .022.4263%0%1.18
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Defense1447%33% - - - - .082.6862%0%1.24
AFA Offense1376%44%61.2273.14.535.133.0577%0%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1445%47%22.132.2280.48.712.72715.351.630%36%.342%1.7
AFA Defense1350%39% - - - - - - 10.261.837%35%.311%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Defense1451%36% - - - - - - 22.071.636%26%.13%1.8
AFA Offense1322%46%915.8145.69.216.2154.41.827%33%.272%1.7

Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boise State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Boise State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Air Force: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boise State:    Air Force:




Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Air Force's 2014 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Boise State Scoring
Offense: 39.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 45.2
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.6

Boise State's 2014 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boise State 31
Air Force 31

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Air Force 30
Boise State 29

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Boise State 33
Air Force 31

Total Points: 64
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 24.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Air Force's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Air Force37Boise State49Boise State -10.5Boise State51.5Over
202311/24Boise State27Air Force19Boise State -6.5Boise State44.5Over
202210/22Air Force14Boise State19Air Force -2.5Boise State46.5Under
202110/16Boise State17Air Force24Boise State -3Air Force52.0Under
202010/31Air Force30Boise State49Boise State -10.5Boise State0
201909/20Boise State30Air Force19Boise State -7.5Boise State53.0Under
201810/27Air Force38Boise State48Boise State -10NA58.0Over
201711/18Boise State44Air Force19Boise State -17.5Boise State60.5Over
201611/25Air Force27Boise State20Boise State -9Air Force63.5Under
201511/20Boise State30Air Force37Boise State -14.5Air Force55.0Over
201409/27Air Force28Boise State14Boise State -15Air Force0
201309/13Boise State42Air Force20Boise State -24Air Force0
201110/22Boise State37Air Force26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Air Force455 Overs
Boise State964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 65 - 63 - 42 - 2
Road Teams6 - 76 - 52 - 24 - 3

(#) BSU at (#) AFA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBSUAFA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boise State on Offense
CategoryCat
BSU OffAFA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boise State Run Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boise State Pass Game
CategoryCat
BSU OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCatAFA OffBSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffBSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCatAFA OffBSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Falcon Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 79° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 5
Boise State 15.0 (0)
Air Force won vs Boise State this year (28-14)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Air Force in 2023 (27-19)
Boise State beat Air Force in 2022 (19-14)

  
BSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Boise State's Full Roster

BSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD