Air Force at Army - 2014 Matchup Preview
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Air Force Falcons at Army Black Knights

Army logo
Saturday, November 1st 2014 (11:30 AM EDT)
Air Force -5.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Air Force 23 - Army: 6

 
Falcons (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (32 - 33 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AFA coming off BYE
ARMY coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: AFA: 27 - ARMY: 28 (55)
AFA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
AFA Travel: 1630 miles, 2 hrs behind
Black Knights (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (26 - 24 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Air Force's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Air Force vs Nicholls-14.0
Sat 9/6 Air Force at Wyoming+1.0
Sat 9/13 Air Force at Georgia State-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Air Force vs Boise State+15.0
Sat 10/4 Air Force vs Navy+4.0
Sat 10/11 Air Force at Utah State+7.5
Sat 10/18 Air Force vs New Mexico-12.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Air Force at Army-5.5
Sat 11/8 Air Force at UNLV-4.5
Sat 11/15 Air Force vs Nevada+2.5
Fri 11/21 Air Force at San Diego State+2.0
Fri 11/28 Air Force vs Colorado State+5.0
Sat 12/20 Air Force vs Western Michigan+2.559.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Air Force's Schedule
Army's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/6 Army vs Buffalo+1.0
Sat 9/13 Army at Stanford+27.5
Sat 9/20 Army at Wake Forest+3.0
Sat 9/27 Army at Yale-14.5
Sat 10/4 Army vs Ball State-3.0
Sat 10/11 Army vs Rice-2.0
Sat 10/18 Army at Kent State-5.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army vs Air Force+5.5
Sat 11/8 Army vs UConn+1.0
Sat 11/15 Army at Western Kentucky+10.5
Sat 11/22 Army vs Fordham+9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+15.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA.1145%29.845%3.2126341%105-0.1.2252%30.349%58%035.71.10.8
ARMY.1344%23.845%3.2931036%780.1245%21.643%46%-0.0832.51.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AFA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARMY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1229.832.245.2%-0.11.119368263105577%22%45%41%2%.11
ARMY Defense1221.624.245.3%-0.081.4 - - - - - 65%33%43%46%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Defense1230.332.852.4%00.8 - - - - - 62%38%49%58%1%.22
ARMY Offense1223.825.643.9%01.421387310785.480%19%45%36%3%.13

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1228:1019.244%59%4.435.71.10.800027.2
Army1231:4220.943%50%3.832.51.41.400026.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1277%45%53.1262.7530.113.2177%0%0.77
ARMY Defense1265%43% - - - - .043.1361%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Defense1262%49% - - - - .13.3277%0%0.76
ARMY Offense1280%45%57.8309.85.434.133.2980%0%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1222%41%7.814.5104.97.213.584.121.226%31%.242%1.4
ARMY Defense1233%46% - - - - - - 7.351.527%33%.282%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Defense1238%58% - - - - - - 4.421.126%39%.371%1.6
ARMY Offense1219%36%6.312.877.66.112.444.141.328%30%.273%1.6

Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Air Force's 2014 Expected Record: -
Air Force's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Army: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Army:




Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Army's Offense Rating: NR
Army's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Army's 2014 Expected Record: -
Army's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Air Force Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Air Force's 2014 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Army 28
Air Force 27

Projected Total Points: 55
Army Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Army's 2014 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Air Force17Army20Army -1.5Army48.5Under
202411/02Army20Air Force3Army -18Air Force38.5Under
202311/04Air Force3Army23Air Force -18.5Army32.0Under
202211/05Army7Air Force13Air Force -7Army40.5Under
202111/06Air Force14Army21Air Force -2.5Army37.5Under
202012/19Army10Air Force7Air Force -3Army37.0Under
201911/02Air Force17Army13Air Force -17Army44.5Under
201811/03Army17Air Force14Army -4.5Air Force41.5Under
201711/04Air Force0Army21Air Force -6.5Army54.5Under
201611/05Army12Air Force31Air Force -3Air Force46.5Under
201511/07Air Force20Army3Air Force -17.5Army50.5Under
201411/01Army6Air Force23Air Force -5.5Air Force0
201311/02Air Force42Army28Air Force -1.5Air Force0
201211/03Army41Air Force21
201111/05Air Force24Army14
201011/06Army22Air Force42
200911/07Air Force35Army7
200811/01Army7Air Force16
200711/03Air Force30Army10
200611/03Army7Air Force43
200511/05Air Force24Army27
200411/06Army22Air Force31
200311/08Air Force31Army3
200211/09Army30Air Force49
200111/03Air Force34Army24
200011/03Army27Air Force41
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Army980 Overs
Air Force17511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 143 - 101 - 72 - 3
Road Teams14 - 1210 - 33 - 27 - 1

(#) AFA at (#) ARMY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAFAARMY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Air Force on Offense
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Air Force Run Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Air Force Pass Game
CategoryCat
AFA OffARMY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Army on Offense
CategoryCatARMY OffAFA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Army Run Game
CategoryCat
ARMY OffAFA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Army Pass Game
CategoryCatARMY OffAFA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AFA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Blaik Field at Michie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Air Force 5.5 (0)
Air Force won at Army this year (23-6)

Previous Matchups
Army beat Air Force last year (20-17)
Army beat Air Force in 2024 (20-3)
Army beat Air Force in 2023 (23-3)

  
AFA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Air Force's Full Roster

AFA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARMY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD