Southern Miss at East Carolina - 2013 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo Southern Miss Golden Eagles at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, October 19th 2013 (12:00 PM EDT)
East Carolina -21 (0)  Open: 0.0
East Carolina 55 - Southern Miss: 14  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (1 - 11) (1 - 10 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 42 (18 - 46 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM coming off BYE
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USM: 17 - ECU: 38 (55)
ECU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
USM Travel: 750 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 25 (45 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Southern Miss vs Texas State-9.5
Sat 9/7 Southern Miss at Nebraska+29.0
Sat 9/14 Southern Miss at Arkansas+21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Southern Miss at Boise State+28.0
Sat 10/5 Southern Miss vs Florida International-17.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Southern Miss at East Carolina+21.0
Sat 10/26 Southern Miss vs North Texas+9.5
Sat 11/2 Southern Miss at Marshall+28.5
Sat 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+14.0
Sat 11/16 Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic+14.5
Sat 11/23 Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee+20.5
Sat 11/30 Southern Miss at UAB+13.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
East Carolina's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 East Carolina vs Old Dominion-14.5
Thu 9/5 East Carolina vs Florida Atlantic-15.0
Sat 9/14 East Carolina vs Virginia Tech+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 East Carolina at North Carolina+10.0
Sat 10/5 East Carolina at Middle Tennessee-8.0
Sat 10/12 East Carolina at Tulane-9.0
Sat 10/19 East Carolina vs Southern Miss-21.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2 East Carolina at Florida International-20.0
Sat 11/9 East Carolina vs Tulsa-14.0
Sat 11/16 East Carolina vs UAB-25.0
Sat 11/23 East Carolina at NC State-6.0
Fri 11/29 East Carolina at Marshall+3.0
Mon 12/23 East Carolina vs Ohio+14.563.0W 37 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM-.0835%17.131%2.127336%243-0.32.143%41.940%45%-0.0742.33.21.6
ECU.1748%40.243%2.8914051%328-0.13.0640%24.834%42%044.91.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1217.117.935.2%-0.323.217316732432.636%62%31%36%3%-.08
ECU Defense1324.819.739.8%01.8 - - - - - 45%53%34%42%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1241.945.642.8%-0.071.6 - - - - - 59%40%40%45%2%.1
ECU Offense1340.244.848.3%-0.131.2274681403283.940%58%43%51%3%.17

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1226:5617.330%44%5.642.33.21.600029.1
East Carolina1329:1726.651%71%5.344.91.21.800232.3
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1236%31%27.972.92.65-.192.1259%0%0.75
ECU Defense1345%34% - - - - -.042.8670%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1259%40% - - - - .012.8667%0%0.75
ECU Offense1340%43%35.6140.13.930.032.8968%0%0.78

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1262%36%20.840.4242.6611.71926-.011.137%26%.013%1.1
ECU Defense1353%42% - - - - - - 18.161.231%37%.372%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1240%45% - - - - - - 6.261.330%32%.332%1.7
ECU Offense1358%51%30.543.5328.17.610.73510.291.130%38%.433%1.7

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2013 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    East Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    East Carolina:




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2013 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.9
Defense: 41.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.6

Southern Miss's 2013 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 1 - 10 - 1
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 38
Southern Miss 17

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
East Carolina 32
Southern Miss 15

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
East Carolina 43
Southern Miss 20

Total Points: 63
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.8
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

East Carolina's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201310/19East Carolina55Southern Miss14East Carolina -21East Carolina0
201209/15Southern Miss14East Carolina24
201111/05East Carolina28Southern Miss48
201010/09Southern Miss43East Carolina44
200911/28East Carolina25Southern Miss20
200811/15Southern Miss21East Carolina3
200709/15East Carolina21Southern Miss28
200610/28Southern Miss17East Carolina20
200510/01East Carolina7Southern Miss33
200410/23Southern Miss51East Carolina10
200311/29East Carolina21Southern Miss38
200111/23East Carolina21Southern Miss28
200011/23Southern Miss9East Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina610 Overs
Southern Miss700 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 91 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams9 - 40 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) USM at (#) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
East Carolina -21.0 (0)
East Carolina won vs Southern Miss this year (55-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD