NC State at Duke - 2013 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, November 9th 2013 (4:00 PM EST)
Duke -9 (0)  Open: 0.0
Duke 38 - NC State: 20  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (18 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: NCST: 20 - DUKE: 35 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
NCST Travel: 18 miles
Blue Devils (10 - 4) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 27 (39 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 NC State vs Louisiana Tech-10.5
Sat 9/7 NC State vs Richmond-23.0
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/19 NC State vs Clemson+13.0
Sat 9/28 NC State vs Central Michigan-24.0
Sat 10/5 NC State at Wake Forest-8.0
Sat 10/12 NC State vs Syracuse-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 NC State at Florida State+27.5
Sat 11/2 NC State vs North Carolina+3.0
Sat 11/9 NC State at Duke+9.0
Sat 11/16 NC State at Boston College+7.5
Sat 11/23 NC State vs East Carolina+6.0
Sat 11/30 NC State vs Maryland+3.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Duke's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Duke vs North Carolina Central-35.0
Sat 9/7 Duke at Memphis-6.0
Sat 9/14 Duke vs Georgia Tech+9.0
Sat 9/21 Duke vs Pittsburgh+6.0
Sat 9/28 Duke vs Troy-10.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Duke vs Navy-3.5
Sat 10/19 Duke at Virginia+4.0
Sat 10/26 Duke at Virginia Tech+13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Duke vs NC State-9.0
Sat 11/16 Duke vs Miami+3.0
Sat 11/23 Duke at Wake Forest-5.5
Sat 11/30 Duke at North Carolina+5.5
Sat 12/7 Duke vs Florida State+27.5
Tue 12/31 Duke vs Texas A&M+13.575.5L 48 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.0540%22.838%2.9216339%241-0.09.1243%30.242%42%-0.2643.31.81.8
DUKE.144%32.844%3.1317843%248-0.34.145%26.646%42%-0.1640.71.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1222.817.839.8%-0.091.8214041632413.851%47%38%39%2%.05
DUKE Defense1426.626.344.9%-0.161.9 - - - - - 54%44%46%42%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1230.238.342.7%-0.261.8 - - - - - 50%48%42%42%3%.12
DUKE Offense1432.83944.4%-0.341.8214261782484.652%47%44%43%3%.1

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1231:3620.838%45%5.843.31.81.800328.4
Duke1429:3721.340%70%4.640.71.81.900630
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1251%38%43.3162.73.814.012.9260%0%0.8
DUKE Defense1454%46% - - - - .083.2772%0%0.69
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1250%42% - - - - .072.7974%0%0.91
DUKE Offense1452%44%38.91784.628.043.1369%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1247%39%20.835.5240.86.811.61415.121.232%31%.272%1.7
DUKE Defense1444%42% - - - - - - 18.131.230%30%.173%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 12.161.230%32%.273%1.5
DUKE Offense1447%43%21.333.7248.17.411.72619.181.227%36%.33%1.5

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2013 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Duke: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2013 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 30.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

NC State's 2013 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 35
NC State 20

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 34
NC State 17

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Duke 35
NC State 24

Total Points: 59
Duke Scoring
Offense: 32.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 39
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Duke's 2013 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Duke45NC State33Duke -3Duke57.5Over
202411/09NC State19Duke29NC State -3.5Duke51.5Under
202310/14Duke24NC State3Duke -3.5Duke44.0Under
202010/17NC State31Duke20NC State -3.5NC State59.5Under
201311/09Duke38NC State20Duke -9Duke0
200910/10NC State28Duke49
200811/08Duke17NC State27
200310/25Duke21NC State28
200210/19NC State24Duke22
200111/03Duke31NC State55
200011/10NC State35Duke31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke541 Overs
NC State613 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 54 - 14 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 61 - 40 - 01 - 4

(#) NCST at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55°
Rematch from Week 11
Duke -9.0 (0)
Duke won vs NC State this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)

  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD