UCF at Louisville - 2013 Matchup Preview
UCF logo UCF Knights at Louisville CardinalsLouisville logo
Friday, October 18th 2013 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisville -17.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
UCF 38 - Louisville: 35  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (12 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (32 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LOU 2nd straight Home Game
UCF coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: UCF: 21 - LOU: 30 (51)
LOU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
UCF Travel: 713 miles
Cardinals (12 - 1) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 12 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 UCF vs Akron-28.0
Fri 9/6 UCF at Florida International-22.0
Sat 9/14 UCF at Penn State+3.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 UCF vs South Carolina+7.5
Sat 10/5 UCF at Memphis-10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/18 UCF at Louisville+17.5
Sat 10/26 UCF vs UConn-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 UCF vs Houston-10.0
Sat 11/16 UCF at Temple-17.0
Thu 11/21 UCF vs Rutgers-14.5
Fri 11/29 UCF vs South Florida-26.0
Sat 12/7 UCF at SMU-10.0
Wed 1/1 UCF vs Baylor+17.074.0W 52 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Louisville's 2013 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/1 Louisville vs Ohio-16.0
Sat 9/7 Louisville vs Eastern Kentucky-40.0
Sat 9/14 Louisville at Kentucky-10.5
Sat 9/21 Louisville vs Florida International-41.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/5 Louisville at Temple-30.0
Thu 10/10 Louisville vs Rutgers-16.5
Fri 10/18 Louisville vs UCF-17.5
Sat 10/26 Louisville at South Florida-21.0
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/8 Louisville at UConn-26.5
Sat 11/16 Louisville vs Houston-16.5
Sat 11/23 Louisville vs Memphis-22.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/5 Louisville at Cincinnati-6.5
Sat 12/28 Louisville vs Miami-5.560.0W 36 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisville's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.1449%34.644%2.8216052%282-0.28.1140%21.339%40%041.61.62
LOU.2151%35.244%3.0114755%3140-.0136%12.235%35%-0.4764.30.82.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9
LOU#15 (.31)46% (26)48% (20)3.09 (56)17345% (30)2514.27 (31)#73 (.18)40% (49)40% (44)40% (65)3.98 (87)46.10.81.2



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1334.631.748.9%-0.281.6224421602824.449%48%44%52%3%.14
LOU Defense1312.213.136%-0.472.1 - - - - - 49%50%35%35%4%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1321.32240.1%02 - - - - - 42%57%39%40%2%.11
LOU Offense1335.238.350.8%00.8234611473144.248%50%44%55%2%.21

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1332:0822.449%38%4.841.61.6200032.4
Louisville1333:4323.456%33%7.164.30.82.100429.5
Run Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1349%44%36.2159.94.428.032.8270%0%0.72
LOU Defense1349%35% - - - - -.082.2743%0%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1342%39% - - - - 2.6457%0%0.92
LOU Offense1348%44%35146.84.2183.0168%0%0.7

Pass Game Stats (2013)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1348%52%20.731.1281.69.113.62611.291.128%43%.323%1.3
LOU Defense1350%35% - - - - - - 16.071.435%31%.214%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1357%40% - - - - - - 14.191.436%33%.312%1.8
LOU Offense1350%55%23.933.83149.313.1334.461.329%46%.482%1.5

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2013 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Louisville: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF:    Louisville:




Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2013 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2013 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2013 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


UCF Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.7
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

UCF's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Louisville 30
UCF 21


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisville 30
UCF 19

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Louisville 29
UCF 23

Total Points: 52
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 35.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.3
Defense: 12.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.1

Louisville's 2013 Record
Record: 12 - 1
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/09UCF14Louisville20UCF -5.5Louisville62.0Under
202109/17Louisville42UCF35UCF -7Louisville67.5Over
201310/18Louisville35UCF38Louisville -17.5UCF0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisville221 Overs
UCF111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 12 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) UCF at (#) LOU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFLOU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffLOU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Louisville on Offense
CategoryCatLOU OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Louisville Run Game
CategoryCat
LOU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Louisville Pass Game
CategoryCatLOU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'13 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Papa John's Cardinal Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 59°
Rematch from Week 8
Louisville -17.5 (0)
UCF won at Louisville this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat UCF in 2022 (20-14)

  
UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LOU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LOU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD