Purdue at Illinois - 2012 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, November 17th 2012 (3:30 PM EST)
Purdue 20 - Illinois: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PUR 2nd straight Road Game
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
PUR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: PUR: 27 - ILL: 23 (50)
PUR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (2 - 10) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (19 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Purdue vs Eastern Kentucky-23.5
Sat 9/8 Purdue at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 9/15 Purdue vs Eastern Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Purdue vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/6 Purdue vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 10/13 Purdue vs Wisconsin-23.5
Sat 10/20 Purdue at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Purdue at Minnesota+2.5
Sat 11/3 Purdue vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 11/10 Purdue at Iowa+2.5
Sat 11/17 Purdue at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/24 Purdue vs Indiana-23.5
Tue 1/1 Purdue vs Oklahoma State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Illinois's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Illinois vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/8 Illinois at Arizona State+2.5
Sat 9/15 Illinois vs Charleston Southern-23.5
Sat 9/22 Illinois vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 9/29 Illinois vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Illinois at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/13 Illinois at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Illinois vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/3 Illinois at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Illinois vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 11/17 Illinois vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 11/24 Illinois at Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR-39%28.737%2.8216438%238-0.24.0743%31.245%40%-0.3150.92.11.9
ILL41%16.742%2.9212539%1690.0544%32.148%37%-0.2349.62.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1328.722.838.5%-0.242.1204021642384.547%52%37%38%2%-
ILL Defense1232.123.144.3%-0.231.5 - - - - - 58%41%48%37%3%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1331.226.843.2%-0.311.9 - - - - - 46%52%45%40%3%.07
ILL Offense1216.719.441.1%02.5172941251693.451%47%42%39%3%

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1331:1920.540%59%5.750.92.11.900430.8
Illinois1231:4416.534%40%5.949.62.51.500127.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1347%37%36.5163.94.516-.032.8265%0%0.77
ILL Defense1258%48% - - - - .053.0873%0%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1346%45% - - - - .022.8877%0%0.75
ILL Offense1251%42%36.9125.33.412-.022.9254%0%0.66

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1352%38%22.837.1238.56.410.53014.041.132%32%.182%1.4
ILL Defense1241%37% - - - - - - 7.081.228%29%.163%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1352%40% - - - - - - 14.141.233%35%.253%1.4
ILL Offense1247%39%18.629.5168.85.79.11114.02132%27%.083%1.3

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2012 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2012 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.8
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Purdue's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Purdue 27
Illinois 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 27
Illinois 21

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 27
Illinois 24

Total Points: 51
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 16.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.4
Defense: 32.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.1

Illinois's 2012 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Purdue27Illinois43Illinois -7.5Illinois55.5Over
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49Illinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19Purdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31Illinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9Purdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31Purdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24Purdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46Purdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10Purdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34Illinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48Illinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38Illinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20Illinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois846 Overs
Purdue1584 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 109 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 55° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
Purdue won at Illinois this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2022 (31-24)

  
PUR's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PUR's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD