Minnesota at Illinois - 2012 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo Minnesota Golden Gophers at Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois logo
Saturday, November 10th 2012 (3:30 PM EST)
Minnesota 17 - Illinois: 3  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (6 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (17 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 26.4 MPH
MINN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MINN: 25 - ILL: 23 (48)
MINN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MINN Travel: 422 miles
Fighting Illini (2 - 10) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 17 - 32 (19 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Minnesota at UNLV+2.5
Sat 9/8 Minnesota vs New Hampshire-23.5
Sat 9/15 Minnesota vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/22 Minnesota vs Syracuse-23.5
Sat 9/29 Minnesota at Iowa+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 Minnesota vs Northwestern-23.5
Sat 10/20 Minnesota at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/27 Minnesota vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 11/3 Minnesota vs Michigan-23.5
Sat 11/10 Minnesota at Illinois+2.5
Sat 11/17 Minnesota at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 11/24 Minnesota vs Michigan State-23.5
Fri 12/28 Minnesota vs Texas Tech+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Illinois's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Illinois vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/8 Illinois at Arizona State+2.5
Sat 9/15 Illinois vs Charleston Southern-23.5
Sat 9/22 Illinois vs Louisiana Tech-23.5
Sat 9/29 Illinois vs Penn State-23.5
Sat 10/6 Illinois at Wisconsin+2.5
Sat 10/13 Illinois at Michigan+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/27 Illinois vs Indiana-23.5
Sat 11/3 Illinois at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 11/10 Illinois vs Minnesota-23.5
Sat 11/17 Illinois vs Purdue-23.5
Sat 11/24 Illinois at Northwestern+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN38%22.137%2.915236%169-0.2.0543%24.745%39%050.21.71.5
ILL41%16.742%2.9212539%1690.0544%32.148%37%-0.2349.62.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN#64 (.2)45% (39)44% (65)2.7 (119)10346% (29)2044.38 (27)#16 (.08)39% (35)36% (8)42% (80)3.32 (23)35.60.81.5
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1322.117.438%-0.21.7183211521693.858%41%37%36%3%
ILL Defense1232.123.144.3%-0.231.5 - - - - - 58%41%48%37%3%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1324.727.443.2%01.5 - - - - - 50%48%45%39%3%.05
ILL Offense1216.719.441.1%02.5172941251693.451%47%42%39%3%

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4817.636%44%6.250.21.71.500231.4
Illinois1231:4416.534%40%5.949.62.51.500127.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1358%37%39.8151.93.814-.042.958%0%0.71
ILL Defense1258%48% - - - - .053.0873%0%0.7
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1350%45% - - - - .073.0859%0%0.77
ILL Offense1251%42%36.9125.33.412-.022.9254%0%0.66

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1341%36%13.525.4169.56.712.61915.091.334%31%.133%1.2
ILL Defense1241%37% - - - - - - 7.081.228%29%.163%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1348%39% - - - - - - 13.041.129%31%.183%1.4
ILL Offense1247%39%18.629.5168.85.79.11114.02132%27%.083%1.3

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2012 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Illinois: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2012 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.4
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.4

Minnesota's 2012 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Minnesota 25
Illinois 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Minnesota 26
Illinois 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota 24
Illinois 22

Total Points: 46
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 16.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.4
Defense: 32.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.1

Illinois's 2012 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Illinois17Minnesota25Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.0Under
202311/04Minnesota26Illinois27Minnesota -1.5Illinois43.0Over
202210/15Illinois26Minnesota14Minnesota -4.5Illinois40.0Push
202111/06Minnesota6Illinois14Minnesota -14.5Illinois44.5Under
202011/07Illinois14Minnesota41Minnesota -7.5Minnesota64.5Under
201910/05Minnesota40Illinois17Minnesota -14Minnesota58.0Under
201811/03Illinois55Minnesota31Minnesota -8.5Illinois61.5Over
201710/21Minnesota24Illinois17Minnesota -14.5Illinois48.5Under
201610/29Illinois17Minnesota40Minnesota -10Minnesota46.5Over
201511/21Minnesota32Illinois23Minnesota -4.5Minnesota47.0Over
201410/25Illinois28Minnesota24Minnesota -6.5Illinois0
201211/10Illinois3Minnesota17
201111/26Minnesota27Illinois7
201011/13Illinois34Minnesota38
200911/07Minnesota32Illinois35
200810/11Illinois20Minnesota27
200711/03Minnesota17Illinois44
200410/23Minnesota45Illinois0
200310/25Illinois10Minnesota36
200210/03Minnesota31Illinois10
200110/06Illinois25Minnesota14
200009/29Minnesota44Illinois10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois864 Overs
Minnesota1455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams11 - 116 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#) MINN at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffILL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffILL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffMINN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffMINN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 74° - Wind: 26 mph
Rematch from Week 11
()
Minnesota won at Illinois this year (17-3)

Previous Matchups
Minnesota beat Illinois last year (25-17)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2023 (27-26)
Illinois beat Minnesota in 2022 (26-14)

  
MINN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MINN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD