Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State - 2012 Matchup Preview
 
Blue Raiders (8 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 31 (21 - 29 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - ARST: 29 (54)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 241 miles
Red Wolves (10 - 3) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 Middle Tennessee vs McNeese-23.5
Sat 9/8 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic-23.5
Sat 9/15 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 Middle Tennessee at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/6 Middle Tennessee vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 10/13 Middle Tennessee at Florida International+2.5
Sat 10/20 Middle Tennessee at Mississippi State+2.5
Sat 10/27 Middle Tennessee vs North Texas-23.5
Thu 11/1 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 Middle Tennessee at South Alabama+2.5
Sat 11/24 Middle Tennessee vs Troy-23.5
Sat 12/1 Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas State at Oregon+2.5
Sat 9/8 Arkansas State vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 9/15 Arkansas State at Nebraska+2.5
Sat 9/22 Arkansas State vs Alcorn State-23.5
Sat 9/29 Arkansas State vs Western Kentucky-23.5
Thu 10/4 Arkansas State at Florida International+2.5
Sat 10/13 Arkansas State vs South Alabama-23.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/23 Arkansas State at Louisiana+2.5
Sat 11/3 Arkansas State at North Texas+2.5
Thu 11/8 Arkansas State vs UL Monroe-23.5
Sat 11/17 Arkansas State at Troy+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/1 Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee-23.5
Sun 1/6 Arkansas State vs Kent State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU-.0739%22.440%2.6413837%234-0.18.0945%30.946%41%038.82.21.7
ARST.0844%25.240%3.0514445%280-0.27-.0535%27.437%33%054.321.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1222.420.839.1%-0.182.2203681382344.246%53%40%37%2%-.07
ARST Defense1327.427.235.3%01.9 - - - - - 44%54%37%33%2%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1230.929.344.7%01.7 - - - - - 60%39%46%41%1%.09
ARST Offense1325.22943.9%-0.272214101442803.944%53%40%45%2%.08

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1215:0419.840%27%4.338.82.21.700032.6
Arkansas State1318:0221.342%62%6.454.321.900233.8
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1246%40%32.7138.34.212-.122.6461%0%0.66
ARST Defense1344%37% - - - - -.12.2562%0%0.8
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1260%46% - - - - .022.9273%0%0.67
ARST Offense1344%40%36.51443.924.023.0565%0%0.74

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1253%37%22.638.7233.7610.42113-131%27%.142%1.7
ARST Defense1354%33% - - - - - - 17-.011.236%27%.182%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1239%41% - - - - - - 4.21.329%32%.291%1.7
ARST Offense1353%45%23.235.6279.57.912.11815.15132%35%.212%1.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2012 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 22.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 30.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Middle Tennessee's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arkansas State 29
Middle Tennessee 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201712/16Arkansas State30Middle Tennessee35Arkansas State -3.5Middle Tennessee61.0Over
201212/01Arkansas State45Middle Tennessee0
201111/19Middle Tennessee19Arkansas State45
201011/02Arkansas State51Middle Tennessee24
200911/21Middle Tennessee38Arkansas State14
200809/20Arkansas State31Middle Tennessee14
200710/20Middle Tennessee24Arkansas State7
200611/11Arkansas State10Middle Tennessee38
200511/05Middle Tennessee45Arkansas State7
200410/09Middle Tennessee45Arkansas State17
200311/20Arkansas State14Middle Tennessee24
200210/05Arkansas State13Middle Tennessee7
200111/03Middle Tennessee54Arkansas State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State501 Overs
Middle Tennessee810 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 40 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams4 - 91 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) MTSU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffMTSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
()
Arkansas State won vs Middle Tennessee this year (45-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MTSU's OC ()
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MTSU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARST's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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ARST's DC ()
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