East Carolina at UCF - 2012 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at UCF KnightsUCF logo
Thursday, October 4th 2012 (8:00 PM EDT)
UCF 40 - East Carolina: 20  (Conference USA)

 
Pirates (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (22 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 3rd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: ECU: 22 - UCF: 30 (52)
ECU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 532 miles
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 22 (36 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 East Carolina vs App State-23.5
Sat 9/8 East Carolina at South Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/15 East Carolina at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 9/22 East Carolina at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 9/29 East Carolina vs UTEP-23.5
Thu 10/4 East Carolina at UCF+2.5
Sat 10/13 East Carolina vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 10/20 East Carolina at UAB+2.5
Sat 10/27 East Carolina vs Navy-23.5
Sat 11/3 East Carolina vs Houston-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/17 East Carolina at Tulane+2.5
Fri 11/23 East Carolina vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 12/22 East Carolina vs Louisiana+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UCF's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at Akron+2.5
Sat 9/8 UCF at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Florida International-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Missouri-23.5
Thu 10/4 UCF vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/13 UCF vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/20 UCF at Memphis+2.5
Sat 10/27 UCF at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs SMU-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UTEP+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UAB-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Fri 12/21 UCF vs Ball State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2012)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.0944%31.542%3.213544%273-0.09.1244%31.643%44%0.0942.61.71.7
UCF.1144%35.444%2.9318241%226-0.08.0140%22.141%38%-0.3436.21.11.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
UCF#58 (.21)46% (28)52% (8)3.62 (2)24838% (103)2003.75 (86)#63 (.16)40% (45)37% (12)42% (84)4.37 (118)54.41.60.9



Overall Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1331.521.744.1%-0.091.7224091352733.843%56%42%44%2%.09
UCF Defense1422.122.240.3%-0.341.9 - - - - - 51%48%41%38%1%.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1331.631.244.4%0.091.7 - - - - - 45%53%43%44%2%.12
UCF Offense1435.436.343.6%-0.081.1224071822264.851%48%44%41%3%.11

Additional Stats 2012
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1330:372243%73%4.242.61.71.700230.4
UCF1431:4221.549%60%4.336.21.11.900530.9
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1343%42%35.3135.43.823.043.272%0%0.71
UCF Defense1451%41% - - - - .022.8764%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1345%43% - - - - .043.1462%0%0.68
UCF Offense1451%44%37.6181.84.833.052.9364%0%0.73

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1356%44%24.537.5273.27.311.12514.141.230%35%.342%1.7
UCF Defense1448%38% - - - - - - 11.021.132%33%.231%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1353%44% - - - - - - 10.21.231%36%.292%1.5
UCF Offense1448%41%18.429.4225.67.712.3287.191.330%38%.363%1.6

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2012 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2012 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.7
Defense: 31.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

East Carolina's 2012 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 30
East Carolina 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UCF 27
East Carolina 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
UCF 34
East Carolina 25

Total Points: 59
UCF Scoring
Offense: 35.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.2

UCF's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1044 Overs
East Carolina754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 75° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 6
()
UCF won vs East Carolina this year (40-20)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat UCF in 2022 (34-13)

  
ECU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ECU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD