Southern Miss at UCF - 2012 Matchup Preview
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles at UCF Knights

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Saturday, October 13th 2012 (8:00 PM EDT)
UCF 38 - Southern Miss: 31  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Eagles (0 - 12) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF 4th straight Home Game
USM is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: USM: 24 - UCF: 28 (52)
USM Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USM Travel: 522 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (10 - 4) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'12 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Southern Miss at Nebraska+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Southern Miss vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/22 Southern Miss at Western Kentucky+2.5
Sat 9/29 Southern Miss vs Louisville-23.5
Sat 10/6 Southern Miss vs Boise State-23.5
Sat 10/13 Southern Miss at UCF+2.5
Sat 10/20 Southern Miss vs Marshall-23.5
Sat 10/27 Southern Miss at Rice+2.5
Sat 11/3 Southern Miss vs UAB-23.5
Sat 11/10 Southern Miss at SMU+2.5
Sat 11/17 Southern Miss vs UTEP-23.5
Sat 11/24 Southern Miss at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
UCF's 2012 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/30 UCF at Akron+2.5
Sat 9/8 UCF at Ohio State+2.5
Sat 9/15 UCF vs Florida International-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/29 UCF vs Missouri-23.5
Thu 10/4 UCF vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 10/13 UCF vs Southern Miss-23.5
Sat 10/20 UCF at Memphis+2.5
Sat 10/27 UCF at Marshall+2.5
Sat 11/3 UCF vs SMU-23.5
Sat 11/10 UCF at UTEP+2.5
Sat 11/17 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Sat 11/24 UCF vs UAB-23.5
Sat 12/1 UCF at Tulsa+2.5
Fri 12/21 UCF vs Ball State-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2011)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.1143%28.844%3.220540%265-0.19-.0239%27.437%38%-0.7462.82.31.9
UCF.1145%24.343%2.9716946%251-0.0838%23.636%36%-0.2248.91.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1428.828.443.3%-0.192.3234612052655.249%49%44%40%2%.11
UCF Defense1223.615.737.7%-0.221.2 - - - - - 43%54%36%36%2%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1427.427.638.7%-0.741.9 - - - - - 46%53%37%38%3%-.02
UCF Offense1224.332.645.3%-0.081.5214071692514.452%46%43%46%3%.11

Additional Stats 2011
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1417:5523.442%61%7.762.82.31.9001232.9
UCF1221:072144%48%5.748.91.51.200233.5
Run Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1449%44%39.5205.15.217.073.279%0%0.75
UCF Defense1243%36% - - - - -.042.6870%0%0.76
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1446%37% - - - - -.112.4555%0%0.69
UCF Offense1252%43%38.8168.84.427.012.9757%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2012)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1449%40%20.934.9265.47.612.73212.161.336%38%.342%1.6
UCF Defense1254%36% - - - - - - 9.051.237%26%.142%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1453%38% - - - - - - 19.061.135%32%.213%1.5
UCF Offense1246%46%19.628.8250.88.712.8118.251.229%35%.273%1.4

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2012 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UCF: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2012 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2012 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2012 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2012 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 28
Southern Miss 24

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2012 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 14
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201210/13UCF38Southern Miss31
201111/12Southern Miss30UCF29
201011/13UCF21Southern Miss31
200909/12Southern Miss26UCF19
200811/08UCF6Southern Miss17
200710/28Southern Miss17UCF34
200609/26UCF14Southern Miss19
200510/15Southern Miss52UCF31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF200 Overs
Southern Miss600 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams4 - 40 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#) USM at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'12 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
()
UCF won vs Southern Miss this year (38-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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USM's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UCF's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD