North Carolina at Boston College - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (19 - 18 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UNC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)

Projected Score: UNC: 19 - BC: 25 (44)
UNC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UNC Travel: 612 miles
Eagles (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 20 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Carolina vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/12 North Carolina at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/26 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/26 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Boston College's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Boston College vs Northeastern-23.5
Sat 9/12 Boston College vs Kent State-23.5
Sat 9/19 Boston College at Clemson+2.5
Sat 9/26 Boston College vs Wake Forest-23.5
Sat 10/3 Boston College vs Florida State-23.5
Sat 10/10 Boston College at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/17 Boston College vs NC State-23.5
Sat 10/24 Boston College at Notre Dame+2.5
Sat 10/31 Boston College vs Central Michigan-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Boston College at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/21 Boston College vs North Carolina-23.5
Sat 11/28 Boston College at Maryland+2.5
Sat 12/26 Boston College vs USC+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.0139%23.840%2.7513335%187-0.37-.0538%17.135%37%-0.1956.52.12.2
BC-38%24.836%2.513739%198-0.1-.0239%19.831%43%-0.1841.121.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1323.819.439.4%-0.372.1183081331873.651%46%40%35%3%.01
BC Defense1319.816.138.9%-0.181.8 - - - - - 46%52%31%43%3%-.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1317.118.437.9%-0.192.2 - - - - - 48%50%35%37%5%-.05
BC Offense1324.834.138.1%-0.12163241371983.854%44%36%39%3%-

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1320:0117.537%60%6.256.52.12.200432
Boston College1317:4316.530%64%4.941.121.800230.4
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1351%40%36.7132.83.614-.022.7582%0%0.69
BC Defense1346%31% - - - - -.192.2864%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1348%35% - - - - -.072.2865%0%0.82
BC Offense1354%36%36.3136.93.817-.072.545%0%0.79

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1346%35%16.928.3186.76.6111417.071.234%29%.163%1.3
BC Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 15.151.135%28%.053%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 19-.02133%29%.095%1.2
BC Offense1344%39%13.627198.27.314.62118.11.232%32%.193%1.5

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2009 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Boston College: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Boston College:




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Boston College's 2009 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.4
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.4

North Carolina's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 25
North Carolina 19


Total Points: 44

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 27
North Carolina 19

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 24
North Carolina 20

Total Points: 44
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.1
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Boston College's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Boston College41North Carolina21North Carolina -2Boston College50.5Over
202010/03Boston College22North Carolina26North Carolina -14.5Boston College52.5Under
201310/26North Carolina34Boston College10North Carolina -10North Carolina0
200911/21Boston College13North Carolina31
200810/25North Carolina45Boston College24
200511/05North Carolina16Boston College14
200412/30North Carolina24Boston College37
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College221 Overs
North Carolina511 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 33 - 01 - 02 - 0
Road Teams3 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1

(#) UNC at (#) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCBC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffBC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCatBC OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCatBC OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 56° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 12
()
North Carolina won at Boston College this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat North Carolina last year (41-21)

  
UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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BC's OC ()
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BC's DC ()
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