Duke at North Carolina - 2009 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar HeelsNorth Carolina logo
Saturday, November 7th 2009 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina 19 - Duke: 6  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 28 (25 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 24 - UNC: 25 (49)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (28 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/12 Duke at Army+2.5
Sat 9/19 Duke at Kansas+2.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs North Carolina Central-23.5
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Duke at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Duke vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/31 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/7 Duke at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/14 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/21 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/28 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
North Carolina's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Carolina vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/12 North Carolina at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/26 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/26 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0338%25.231%2.196440%322-0.43.0743%28.343%40%-0.1841.21.31.5
UNC.0139%23.840%2.7513335%187-0.37-.0538%17.135%37%-0.1956.52.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1225.22538%-0.431.319369643222.336%62%31%40%2%.03
UNC Defense1317.115.937.9%-0.192.2 - - - - - 48%50%35%37%5%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1228.326.842.9%-0.181.5 - - - - - 54%44%43%40%1%.07
UNC Offense1323.827.939.4%-0.372.1183081331873.651%46%40%35%3%.01

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1218:3319.137%55%4.841.21.31.500232.1
North Carolina1320:0117.537%60%6.256.52.12.200432
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1236%31%28.363.52.36-.182.1962%0%0.65
UNC Defense1348%35% - - - - -.072.2865%0%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1254%43% - - - - .012.8876%0%0.67
UNC Offense1351%40%36.7132.83.614-.022.7582%0%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1262%40%25.741.8321.77.712.52410.151.334%31%.132%1.4
UNC Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 19-.02133%29%.095%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1244%40% - - - - - - 8.161.332%34%.231%1.4
UNC Offense1346%35%16.928.3186.76.6111417.071.234%29%.163%1.3

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2009 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2009 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.8

Duke's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 25
Duke 24

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Duke 27
North Carolina 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 27
Duke 21

Total Points: 48
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

North Carolina's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1766 Overs
Duke875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) DUKE at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65° - Wind: 11 mph
Rematch from Week 10
()
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (19-6)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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DUKE's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
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