Duke at North Carolina - 2009 Matchup Preview
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Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina logo
Saturday, November 7th 2009 (3:30 PM EST)
North Carolina 19 - Duke: 6  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: DUKE: 31 - UNC: 24 (55)
DUKE Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 9 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Duke vs Richmond-23.5
Sat 9/12 Duke at Army+2.5
Sat 9/19 Duke at Kansas+2.5
Sat 9/26 Duke vs North Carolina Central-23.5
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech-23.5
Sat 10/10 Duke at NC State+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Duke vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 10/31 Duke at Virginia+2.5
Sat 11/7 Duke at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 11/14 Duke vs Georgia Tech-23.5
Sat 11/21 Duke at Miami+2.5
Sat 11/28 Duke vs Wake Forest-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
North Carolina's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Carolina vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/12 North Carolina at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/26 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/26 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2008)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE-.0439%34.635%2.4910641%211-0.2-.0137%29.432%41%042.81.82.2
UNC-.0236%19.334%2.5312337%215-0.08.0341%24.542%39%-0.2542.31.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1234.63739.4%-0.21.818304106211347%51%35%41%4%-.04
UNC Defense1324.52641.2%-0.252.3 - - - - - 47%51%42%39%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.427.536.8%02.2 - - - - - 57%42%32%41%4%-.01
UNC Offense1319.32136.2%-0.081.8163211232153.554%45%34%37%2%-.02

Additional Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1218:3617.837%37%4.742.81.82.200133.3
North Carolina1316:3515.843%43%4.842.31.82.300635.9
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1247%35%34.9106.239-.152.4951%0%0.62
UNC Defense1347%42% - - - - -.012.8276%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1257%32% - - - - -.082.5461%0%0.8
UNC Offense1354%34%34.7122.63.518-.092.5363%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1251%41%20.734.2210.86.210.21712.071.131%30%.114%1.4
UNC Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 20.11.134%34%.292%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1242%41% - - - - - - 15.11.233%30%.184%1.4
UNC Offense1345%37%1424.6215.28.715.42112.071.435%30%.122%1.4

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2009 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2009 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2009 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Duke 31
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 55
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22North Carolina25Duke32Duke -6.5Duke50.5Over
202409/28Duke21North Carolina20North Carolina -1Duke55.5Under
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35Duke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27North Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27North Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45Duke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27North Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1766 Overs
Duke875 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 137 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) DUKE at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
()
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (19-6)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat North Carolina last year (32-25)
Duke beat North Carolina in 2024 (21-20)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2023 (47-45)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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DUKE's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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UNC's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD