Florida State at North Carolina - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Seminoles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (19 - 30 on Road)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU coming off BYE
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: FSU: 26 - UNC: 23 (49)
FSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 485 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (21 - 26 @ Home)
'09 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 Florida State vs Miami-23.5
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-23.5
Sat 9/19 Florida State at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/26 Florida State vs South Florida-23.5
Sat 10/3 Florida State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 10/10 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 Florida State at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs NC State-23.5
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/14 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/28 Florida State at Florida+2.5
Fri 1/1 Florida State vs West Virginia-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
North Carolina's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Carolina vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/12 North Carolina at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/26 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/26 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2008)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.0644%3343%2.717941%207-0.21-.0435%2237%29%071.72.22.2
UNC-.0236%19.334%2.5312337%215-0.08.0341%24.542%39%-0.2542.31.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense133318.644.2%-0.212.2203721792074.850%47%43%41%2%.06
UNC Defense1324.52641.2%-0.252.3 - - - - - 47%51%42%39%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense132230.234.6%02.2 - - - - - 50%47%37%29%2%-.04
UNC Offense1319.32136.2%-0.081.8163211232153.554%45%34%37%2%-.02

Additional Stats 2008
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1319:1020.446%33%7.871.72.22.200234.7
North Carolina1316:3515.843%43%4.842.31.82.300635.9
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1350%43%37.2179.14.827.052.765%0%0.87
UNC Defense1347%42% - - - - -.012.8276%0%0.68
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1350%37% - - - - -.012.4758%0%0.88
UNC Offense1354%34%34.7122.63.518-.092.5363%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1347%41%16.229.8207.2712.81816.051.134%40%.272%1.4
UNC Defense1351%39% - - - - - - 20.11.134%34%.292%1.5
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1347%29% - - - - - - 9-.031.438%30%.172%1.3
UNC Offense1345%37%1424.6215.28.715.42112.071.435%30%.122%1.4

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2009 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.6
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Florida State's 2009 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 26
North Carolina 23

Projected Total Points: 49
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

North Carolina's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Florida State11North Carolina35North Carolina -2.5North Carolina50.5Under
202110/09North Carolina25Florida State35North Carolina -17.5Florida State64.5Under
202010/17Florida State31North Carolina28North Carolina -13.5Florida State65.0Under
201610/01Florida State35North Carolina37Florida State -12North Carolina72.5Under
201011/06Florida State35North Carolina37
200910/22North Carolina27Florida State30
200410/02Florida State38North Carolina16
200308/30North Carolina0Florida State37
200109/22North Carolina41Florida State9
200009/15Florida State63North Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina420 Overs
Florida State624 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 61 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 43 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#) FSU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
()
Florida State won at North Carolina this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Florida State in 2024 (35-11)

  
FSU's OC ()
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FSU's DC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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