Florida State at North Carolina - 2009 Matchup Preview
 
Seminoles (7 - 6) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 30 (30 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU coming off BYE
UNC coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: FSU: 25 - UNC: 27 (52)
FSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
FSU Travel: 485 miles
Tar Heels (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (28 - 16 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida State's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/7 Florida State vs Miami-23.5
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-23.5
Sat 9/19 Florida State at BYU+2.5
Sat 9/26 Florida State vs South Florida-23.5
Sat 10/3 Florida State at Boston College+2.5
Sat 10/10 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 Florida State at North Carolina+2.5
Sat 10/31 Florida State vs NC State-23.5
Sat 11/7 Florida State at Clemson+2.5
Sat 11/14 Florida State at Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 11/21 Florida State vs Maryland-23.5
Sat 11/28 Florida State at Florida+2.5
Fri 1/1 Florida State vs West Virginia-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
North Carolina's 2009 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 North Carolina vs The Citadel-23.5
Sat 9/12 North Carolina at UConn+2.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs East Carolina-23.5
Sat 9/26 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+2.5
Sat 10/3 North Carolina vs Virginia-23.5
Sat 10/10 North Carolina vs Georgia Southern-23.5
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/22 North Carolina vs Florida State-23.5
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Virginia Tech+2.5
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-23.5
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-23.5
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Boston College+2.5
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State+2.5
Sat 12/26 North Carolina vs Pittsburgh-23.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2009)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU.1348%30.144%2.9414949%283-0.07.1241%3041%40%062.422.1
UNC.0139%23.840%2.7513335%187-0.37-.0538%17.135%37%-0.1956.52.12.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FSU#125 (.06)35% (128)40% (103)2.9 (92)9131% (130)1802.88 (131)#112 (.25)41% (56)42% (62)39% (52)3.62 (46)47.91.80.5
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2



Overall Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Offense1330.13048.3%-0.072224211492834.645%52%44%49%3%.13
UNC Defense1317.115.937.9%-0.192.2 - - - - - 48%50%35%37%5%-.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FSU Defense133031.341.1%02.1 - - - - - 56%43%41%40%3%.12
UNC Offense1323.827.939.4%-0.372.1183081331873.651%46%40%35%3%.01

Additional Stats 2009
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida State1318:5021.746%45%6.862.422.100432.9
North Carolina1320:0117.537%60%6.256.52.12.200432
Run Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Offense1345%44%32.5149.54.627-.012.9461%0%0.65
UNC Defense1348%35% - - - - -.072.2865%0%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FSU Defense1356%41% - - - - .082.7970%0%0.98
UNC Offense1351%40%36.7132.83.614-.022.7582%0%0.69

Pass Game Stats (2009)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Offense1352%49%22.833.6283.48.412.51613.271.127%38%.363%1.4
UNC Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 19-.02133%29%.095%1.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FSU Defense1343%40% - - - - - - 14.181.434%33%.273%1.7
UNC Offense1346%35%16.928.3186.76.6111417.071.234%29%.163%1.3

Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida State's 2009 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    North Carolina: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida State:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2009 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
North Carolina's 2009 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2009 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida State Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.3

Florida State's 2009 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
North Carolina 27
Florida State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
North Carolina 26
Florida State 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina 28
Florida State 24

Total Points: 52
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.9
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

North Carolina's 2009 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Florida State11North Carolina35North Carolina -2.5North Carolina50.5Under
202110/09North Carolina25Florida State35North Carolina -17.5Florida State64.5Under
202010/17Florida State31North Carolina28North Carolina -13.5Florida State65.0Under
201610/01Florida State35North Carolina37Florida State -12North Carolina72.5Under
201011/06Florida State35North Carolina37
200910/22North Carolina27Florida State30
200410/02Florida State38North Carolina16
200308/30North Carolina0Florida State37
200109/22North Carolina41Florida State9
200009/15Florida State63North Carolina14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina420 Overs
Florida State624 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 61 - 30 - 21 - 1
Road Teams6 - 43 - 11 - 12 - 0

(#) FSU at (#) UNC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFSUUNC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatUNC OffFSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatUNC OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

FSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'09 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 65°
Rematch from Week 8
()
Florida State won at North Carolina this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Florida State last year (35-11)

  
FSU's OC ()
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UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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