SMU at Arkansas State - 2007 Matchup Preview
 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 40 (24 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - ARST: 28 (57)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 406 miles
Red Wolves (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 SMU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/4 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas State at Texas+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Arkansas State vs SMU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Arkansas State at Tennessee+2.5
Thu 9/27 Arkansas State vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 10/6 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 10/13 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/20 Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/27 Arkansas State vs Troy-23.5
Sat 11/3 Arkansas State vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 11/10 Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Thu 11/15 Arkansas State vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Arkansas State at Southern Miss+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2007)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0245%28.343%2.8717145%2690.1143%39.843%43%068.22.91.8
ARST.0138%24.345%3.2317631%2250.0644%27.645%39%-0.1260.12.11.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU#38 (.24)44% (53)44% (62)2.97 (83)16944% (45)2634.41 (25)#5 (.03)37% (9)39% (35)35% (10)3.09 (13)77.71.71.6
ARST#81 (.17)41% (91)43% (84)3.01 (77)14839% (96)2103.96 (63)#126 (.31)48% (124)51% (131)44% (110)4.62 (127)47.81.31.4



Overall Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1228.324.244.7%02.9234231712694.450%49%43%45%2%.02
ARST Defense1227.626.343.9%-0.121.8 - - - - - 55%42%45%39%2%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1239.83643.4%01.8 - - - - - 50%49%43%43%2%.11
ARST Offense1224.331.738.4%02.1203801762254.645%54%45%31%3%.01

Additional Stats 2007
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1217:5223.443%38%7.668.22.91.800229.8
Arkansas State1217:4920.136%46%760.12.11.800328.6
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1250%43%39.1171.34.415-.012.8754%0%0.78
ARST Defense1255%45% - - - - .073.0867%0%0.77
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1250%43% - - - - .032.9278%0%0.75
ARST Offense1245%45%38.31764.616.093.2354%0%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1249%45%20.836269.27.512.92619.070.928%36%.212%1.3
ARST Defense1242%39% - - - - - - 13.071.230%34%.232%1.4
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1249%43% - - - - - - 12.191.232%40%.422%1.6
ARST Offense1254%31%17.132.3224.56.913.11616-.051.337%29%.183%1.5

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2007 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


SMU Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.2
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 36

SMU's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
Arkansas State 28

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
SMU 31
Arkansas State 23

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State 33
SMU 27

Total Points: 60
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.7
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Arkansas State's 2007 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/31Arkansas State30SMU37Arkansas State -1.5SMU58.5Over
201709/23SMU44Arkansas State21SMU -3SMU72.0Under
200709/15Arkansas State45SMU28
200609/23SMU55Arkansas State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State101 Overs
SMU321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
()
Arkansas State won vs SMU this year (45-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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ARST's DC ()
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