SMU at Arkansas State - 2007 Matchup Preview
 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARST coming off BYE
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 29 - ARST: 24 (53)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 406 miles
Red Wolves (5 - 7) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (29 - 27 @ Home)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 SMU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/4 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
Arkansas State's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 Arkansas State at Texas+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/15 Arkansas State vs SMU-23.5
Sat 9/22 Arkansas State at Tennessee+2.5
Thu 9/27 Arkansas State vs Memphis-23.5
Sat 10/6 Arkansas State at UL Monroe+2.5
Sat 10/13 Arkansas State vs Louisiana-23.5
Sat 10/20 Arkansas State at Middle Tennessee+2.5
Sat 10/27 Arkansas State vs Troy-23.5
Sat 11/3 Arkansas State vs Florida International-23.5
Sat 11/10 Arkansas State at Florida Atlantic+2.5
Thu 11/15 Arkansas State vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 11/24 Arkansas State at Southern Miss+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0340%32.238%2.6212540%214-0.37.0644%20.538%47%-0.1953.11.92.1
ARST-.0537%25.241%2.7316827%1650.0342%27.441%37%-0.2449.52.82.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.839.7%-0.371.9173201252143.752%46%38%40%4%.03
ARST Defense1227.427.241.6%-0.242.3 - - - - - 57%39%41%37%4%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.243.7%-0.192.1 - - - - - 45%53%38%47%2%.06
ARST Offense1225.22936.6%02.819312168165460%38%41%27%2%-.05

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1216:4917.140%38%6.453.11.92.100133.1
Arkansas State1220:2518.743%24%5.749.52.82.300122.7
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1252%38%33.7125.33.77-.072.6246%0%0.79
ARST Defense1257%41% - - - - .023.1367%0%0.65
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1245%38% - - - - -.052.4564%0%0.72
ARST Offense1260%41%42.3167.7412-2.7358%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1246%40%16.926.3213.68.112.62710.161.233%29%.184%1.5
ARST Defense1239%37% - - - - - - 19.111.829%36%.314%1.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1253%47% - - - - - - 11.171.132%35%.192%1.5
ARST Offense1238%27%1225164.76.613.7815-.1135%27%.092%1.1

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2007 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Arkansas State: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas State's 2007 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 29
Arkansas State 24

Projected Total Points: 53
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 25.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Arkansas State's 2007 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201908/31Arkansas State30SMU37Arkansas State -1.5SMU58.5Over
201709/23SMU44Arkansas State21SMU -3SMU72.0Under
200709/15Arkansas State45SMU28
200609/23SMU55Arkansas State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State101 Overs
SMU321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 31 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) SMU at (#) ARST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUARST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffARST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas State on Offense
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
ARST OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arkansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatARST OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
()
Arkansas State won vs SMU this year (45-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
SMU's OC ()
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ARST's OC ()
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ARST's DC ()
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