SMU at TCU - 2007 Matchup Preview
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SMU Mustangs at TCU Horned Frogs

TCU logo
Saturday, September 22nd 2007 (8:30 PM EDT)
TCU 21 - SMU: 7

 
Mustangs (1 - 11) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SMU 2nd straight Road Game
TCU is playing their 4th straight game
SMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ -0)
Projected Score: SMU: 28 - TCU: 28 (56)
SMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SMU Travel: 35 miles
Horned Frogs (8 - 5) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 25 (36 - 24 @ Home)
'07 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
SMU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Mon 9/3 SMU vs Texas Tech-23.5
Sat 9/8 SMU vs North Texas-23.5
Sat 9/15 SMU at Arkansas State+2.5
Sat 9/22 SMU at TCU+2.5
Sat 9/29 SMU vs UTEP-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13 SMU at Southern Miss+2.5
Sat 10/20 SMU vs Tulane-23.5
Sat 10/27 SMU at Tulsa+2.5
Sun 11/4 SMU at Houston+2.5
Sat 11/10 SMU vs Rice-23.5
Sat 11/17 SMU vs UCF-23.5
Sat 11/24 SMU at Memphis+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule
TCU's 2007 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/1 TCU vs Baylor-23.5
Sat 9/8 TCU at Texas+2.5
Thu 9/13 TCU at Air Force+2.5
Sat 9/22 TCU vs SMU-23.5
Sat 9/29 TCU vs Colorado State-23.5
Sat 10/6 TCU at Wyoming+2.5
Sat 10/13 TCU at Stanford+2.5
Thu 10/18 TCU vs Utah-23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3 TCU vs New Mexico-23.5
Thu 11/8 TCU at BYU+2.5
Sat 11/17 TCU vs UNLV-23.5
Sat 11/24 TCU at San Diego State+2.5
Fri 12/28 TCU at Houston+2.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for TCU's Schedule
Important Stats (2006)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU.0340%32.238%2.6212540%214-0.37.0644%20.538%47%-0.1953.11.92.1
TCU.1347%30.744%3.2819547%221-0.08-.0732%25.324%35%-0.23601.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TCU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Offense1232.229.839.7%-0.371.9173201252143.752%46%38%40%4%.03
TCU Defense1325.324.231.8%-0.232.1 - - - - - 39%59%24%35%3%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SMU Defense1220.522.243.7%-0.192.1 - - - - - 45%53%38%47%2%.06
TCU Offense1330.73647.1%-0.081.6224081952214.554%43%44%47%2%.13

Additional Stats 2006
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
SMU1216:4917.140%38%6.453.11.92.100133.1
TCU1319:0522.144%45%7.2601.62.100232.5
Run Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Offense1252%38%33.7125.33.77-.072.6246%0%0.79
TCU Defense1339%24% - - - - -.21.9143%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SMU Defense1245%38% - - - - -.052.4564%0%0.72
TCU Offense1354%44%42.8194.64.528.093.2871%0%0.72

Pass Game Stats (2007)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Offense1246%40%16.926.3213.68.112.62710.161.233%29%.184%1.5
TCU Defense1359%35% - - - - - - 16.021.340%30%.223%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SMU Defense1253%47% - - - - - - 11.171.132%35%.192%1.5
TCU Offense1343%47%16.627.1221.28.213.3156.191.130%42%.322%1.2

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2007 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU: 2.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU:    TCU:




TCU's Power Ratings
TCU's Power Rating: 2.5 NR
TCU's Offense Rating: NR
TCU's Defense Rating: NR
2007 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
TCU's 2007 Expected Record: -
TCU's 2007 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
TCU's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2007 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 12
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
SMU 28
TCU 28

Projected Total Points: 56
TCU Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

TCU's 2007 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 13
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20TCU35SMU24TCU -6.5TCU63.5Under
202409/21SMU66TCU42TCU -1SMU58.5Over
202309/23TCU34SMU17TCU -7TCU63.5Under
202209/24SMU34TCU42TCU -2.5TCU72.0Over
202109/25TCU34SMU42TCU -8SMU66.0Over
201909/21TCU38SMU41TCU -7.5SMU54.5Over
201809/07SMU12TCU42TCU -23.5TCU59.5Under
201709/16TCU56SMU36TCU -22SMU64.5Over
201609/23SMU3TCU33TCU -24TCU68.0Under
201509/19TCU56SMU37TCU -38SMU68.5Over
201409/27SMU0TCU56TCU -31TCU0
201309/28TCU48SMU17TCU -19.5TCU0
201209/29SMU16TCU24
201110/01TCU33SMU40
201009/24SMU24TCU41
200910/03TCU39SMU14
200809/20SMU7TCU48
200709/22TCU21SMU7
200509/10SMU21TCU10
200409/11TCU44SMU0
200311/29SMU13TCU20
200209/14TCU17SMU6
200109/08SMU10TCU38
200011/23SMU7TCU62
TeamWinsCoversO/U
TCU1976 Overs
SMU554 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 134 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams13 - 118 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) SMU at (#) TCU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSMUTCU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
SMU on Offense
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
SMU Run Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
SMU Pass Game
CategoryCat
SMU OffTCU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
TCU on Offense
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
TCU Run Game
CategoryCat
TCU OffSMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
TCU Pass Game
CategoryCatTCU OffSMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TCU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'07 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
()
TCU won vs SMU this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
TCU beat SMU last year (35-24)
SMU beat TCU in 2024 (66-42)
TCU beat SMU in 2023 (34-17)

  
SMU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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SMU's DC ()
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SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TCU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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TCU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD