Campbell at Florida Week 2 College Football Matchup Campbell at Florida Matchup - Week 2
Sat, Sep 12 2026 · Week 2 · 🏟 Ben Hill Griffin Stadium Gainesville, FL · Turf · 88,548 cap
Campbell✈ 449 miSame TZ
Away
VS
Home
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2026 in-season data is not yet available. Edges are based on 2025 full-season performance. Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
📊 Punt & Rally Projection
Campbell
22
Florida
32
P&R Line Florida -9.5
P&R Total O/U 54
Confidence 55 Early Season
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
Lean
Game Control
76%
Florida wins
Strong
🏠 Florida 2nd straight Home Game
Campbell 2026 Schedule
Campbell's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/12Campbell at Florida+9.5
Florida 2026 Schedule
Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 9/12Florida vs Campbell-29
Sat 9/19Florida at Auburn+4
Sat 9/26Florida vs Ole Miss+8
Sat 10/3Florida at Missouri+9
Sat 10/10Florida vs South Carolina-4
Sat 10/17Florida at Texas+22
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/31Florida at Georgia+22
Sat 11/7Florida vs Oklahoma+9
Sat 11/14Florida at Kentucky-3.5
Sat 11/21Florida vs Vanderbilt-2.5
Fri 11/27Florida at Florida State+2.5
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences Who builds scoring momentum? Campbell Edge
Avg sequences created per game
Campbell
0.00
Florida #61
0.82
Avg sequences allowed per game (lower is better)
Campbell
0.00
Florida #59
1.09
Campbell +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance Who controls games start to finish? Florida Edge
Avg GC score per game (offense)
Campbell #138
3.0
Florida #36
42.3
Avg GC score allowed per game (lower is better)
Campbell #140
95.1
Florida #87
43.6
Florida +39.4
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2025 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games.

Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set.

Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself