Sat, Aug 30 2025
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Week 1
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🏟 Bridgeforth Stadium
Harrisonburg, VA
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Turf
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24,878 cap
Weber State✈ 1,754 mi+2 hr TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2025 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2024 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
James Madison wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
James Madison -26.5
O/U 54.5
Bovada
Weber State 2025 Schedule
Weber State's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | Weber State at James Madison | +26.5L10–45 | 54.5 | L10–45 | O | N |
| Sat 9/6 | Weber State at Arizona | +31.5L3–48 | 56.5 | L3–48 | U | N |
James Madison 2025 Schedule
James Madison's 2025 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/30 | James Madison vs Weber State | -26.5W45–10 | 54.5 | W45–10 | O | Y |
| Fri 9/5 | James Madison at Louisville | +15.0L14–28 | 57.0 | L14–28 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/20 | James Madison at Liberty | -7.5W31–13 | 46.5 | W31–13 | U | Y |
| Sat 9/27 | James Madison vs Georgia Southern | -14.5W35–10 | 54.5 | W35–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/4 | James Madison at Georgia State | -19.5W14–7 | 52.5 | W14–7 | U | N |
| Sat 10/11 | James Madison vs Louisiana | -18.5W24–14 | 44.5 | W24–14 | U | N |
| Sat 10/18 | James Madison vs Old Dominion | -3.0W63–27 | 47.5 | W63–27 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Tue 10/28 | James Madison at Texas State | -7.5W52–20 | 55.5 | W52–20 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/8 | James Madison at Marshall | -13.5W35–23 | 53.5 | W35–23 | O | N |
| Sat 11/15 | James Madison vs App State | -21.0W58–10 | 53.5 | W58–10 | O | Y |
| Sat 11/22 | James Madison vs Washington State | -15.0W24–20 | 44.5 | W24–20 | U | N |
| Sat 11/29 | James Madison at Coastal Carolina | -24.0W59–10 | 54.5 | W59–10 | O | Y |
| Fri 12/5 | James Madison vs Troy | -24.5W31–14 | 47.5 | W31–14 | U | N |
| Sat 12/20 | James Madison at Oregon | +22.5L34–51 | 47.5 | L34–51 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Weber State Edge
Weber State +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
James Madison Edge
James Madison +50.1
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2024 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓