Sat, Nov 23 2024
·
Week 13
·
🏟 Memorial Stadium
Clemson, SC
·
Turf
·
81,500 cap
The Citadel✈ 210 miSame TZ
Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
Clemson wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
Clemson -49.5
O/U 58.5
DraftKings
The Citadel 2024 Schedule
The Citadel's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/23 | The Citadel at Clemson | +49.5L14–51 | 58.5 | L14–51 | O | Y |
Clemson 2024 Schedule
Clemson's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Clemson vs Georgia | +10.5L3–34 | 49.0 | L3–34 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | Clemson vs App State | -13.5W66–20 | 53.5 | W66–20 | O | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 9/21 | Clemson vs NC State | -17.0W59–35 | 44.0 | W59–35 | O | Y |
| Sat 9/28 | Clemson vs Stanford | -24.0W40–14 | 58.0 | W40–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/5 | Clemson at Florida State | -16.5W29–13 | 47.0 | W29–13 | U | N |
| Sat 10/12 | Clemson at Wake Forest | -21.0W49–14 | 63.0 | W49–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/19 | Clemson vs Virginia | -20.0W48–31 | 57.5 | W48–31 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/2 | Clemson vs Louisville | -11.0L21–33 | 62.5 | L21–33 | U | N |
| Sat 11/9 | Clemson at Virginia Tech | -6.5W24–14 | 54.5 | W24–14 | U | Y |
| Sat 11/16 | Clemson at Pittsburgh | -12.0W24–20 | 52.0 | W24–20 | U | N |
| Sat 11/23 | Clemson vs The Citadel | -49.5W51–14 | 58.5 | W51–14 | O | N |
| Sat 11/30 | Clemson vs South Carolina | -2.5L14–17 | 48.5 | L14–17 | U | N |
| Sat 12/7 | Clemson vs SMU | +2.5W34–31 | 56.5 | W34–31 | O | Y |
| Sat 12/21 | Clemson at Texas | +13.5L24–38 | 49.5 | L24–38 | O | N |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
The Citadel Edge
The Citadel +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
Clemson Edge
Clemson +52.7
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓