Preseason projection — This game has not yet been played and 2024 in-season data is not yet available.
Edges are based on 2023 full-season performance.
Confidence will increase once in-season games are logged.
Matchup Prediction
Toss-up — no clear edge
Neither metric shows a meaningful pre-game edge in this matchup.
Momentum Control
58.4%
—
Lean
Game Control
76%
LSU wins
Strong
Vegas Spread
LSU -50.5
O/U 62.0
DraftKings
Nicholls 2024 Schedule
Nicholls's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 8/31 | Nicholls at Louisiana Tech | -3.5 | — | — | — | — |
| Sat 9/7 | Nicholls at LSU | +50.5L21–44 | 62.0 | L21–44 | O | Y |
LSU 2024 Schedule
LSU's 2024 Schedule
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 9/1 | LSU vs USC | -4.0L20–27 | 66.5 | L20–27 | U | N |
| Sat 9/7 | LSU vs Nicholls | -50.5W44–21 | 62.0 | W44–21 | O | N |
| Sat 9/14 | LSU at South Carolina | -7.0W36–33 | 50.0 | W36–33 | O | N |
| Sat 9/21 | LSU vs UCLA | -21.5W34–17 | 56.5 | W34–17 | U | N |
| Sat 9/28 | LSU vs South Alabama | -21.0W42–10 | 64.5 | W42–10 | U | Y |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 10/12 | LSU vs Ole Miss | +3.5W29–26 | 64.5 | W29–26 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/19 | LSU at Arkansas | -3.0W34–10 | 57.0 | W34–10 | U | Y |
| Sat 10/26 | LSU at Texas A&M | +2.0L23–38 | 54.5 | L23–38 | O | N |
| — Bye Week — | ||||||
| Sat 11/9 | LSU vs Alabama | +2.5L13–42 | 57.5 | L13–42 | U | N |
| Sat 11/16 | LSU at Florida | -3.0L16–27 | 57.0 | L16–27 | U | N |
| Sat 11/23 | LSU vs Vanderbilt | -10.0W24–17 | 53.0 | W24–17 | U | N |
| Sat 11/30 | LSU vs Oklahoma | -4.5W37–17 | 47.5 | W37–17 | O | Y |
| Tue 12/31 | LSU vs Baylor | +3.0W44–31 | 62.5 | W44–31 | O | Y |
Momentum Control (CSS)
Consecutive Scoring Sequences
Who builds scoring momentum?
Nicholls Edge
Nicholls +0.00
CSS Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 58.4% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
Game Control (GC)
Win Probability Dominance
Who controls games start to finish?
LSU Edge
LSU +48.3
GC Edge (season-to-date)
Teams with this edge win 76% of games historically
Based on 2023 full season · preseason estimate
About these metrics
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓
Advanced Stats shows matchup-adjusted factor edges (offense vs opponent defense). Combination signals — when PPA, PPO, Success Rate, and Havoc all point the same direction — have historically predicted the SU winner in 95–97% of games and the ATS winner in 82–83% of games (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS, regular season).
Impact: Advanced Stats are the best performance based metric used to predict the outcome of games. ✓
Momentum Control (CSS) measures consecutive scoring sequences — when a team scores, holds the opponent scoreless, then scores again. Teams entering a game with a CSS edge of +1.0 or more have won 71–78% of games historically (2021–2025, FBS vs FBS).
Impact: Momentum Control is a great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Game Control (GC) measures win probability dominance — how thoroughly a team controlled the game from start to finish. Teams with a GC edge of +12 or more have won 67–76% of games historically. When both metrics agree, combined confidence is higher. When they split, treat as a lean at best.
Impact: Game Control is another great measure for predicting game outcome but NOT an ATS advantage, data shows this is already considered when lines are set. ✗
Power Ratings are a custom-built composite of a Teams Talent, Experience & Production, Coaching & Performance Metrics. These are updated constantly with roster changes, performance once the games start for the 2026 season, injuries the team is dealing with and scheduling situations.
Impact: There are a wide range of power ratings available, we think ours is the best, you can decide for yourself ✓