Toledo at Eastern Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
Toledo logo

Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles

Eastern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 17th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rynearson Stadium - Ypsilanti, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Rockets (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Jacobs (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (17 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#8)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
EMU is playing their 7th straight game
TOL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Toledo -13  (SP+ TOL -20.5)

Projected Score: TOL: 30 - EMU: 17 (46)
TOL Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
TOL Travel: 41 miles
Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Chris Creighton (61 - 83)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (24 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8 (#71)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Toledo's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5Toledo at Michigan State-4
Sat 9/12Toledo vs Central Connecticut-27.5
Sat 9/19Toledo vs Temple-11
Sat 9/26Toledo vs San Diego State-1.5
Sat 10/3Toledo at Ball State-23.5
Sat 10/10Toledo vs Buffalo-15.5
Sat 10/17Toledo at Eastern Michigan-13
Sat 10/24Toledo vs Western Michigan-10
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Toledo at Sacramento State-6.5
Wed 11/11Toledo vs Massachusetts-32
Wed 11/18Toledo vs Bowling Green-17.5
Fri 11/27Toledo at Ohio-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Eastern Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/29Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento State+4
Fri 9/4Eastern Michigan vs San José State-8
Sat 9/12Eastern Michigan at Michigan State+11.5
Sat 9/19Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin+12
Sat 9/26Eastern Michigan vs Lindenwood-12
Sat 10/3Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts-18
Sat 10/10Eastern Michigan at Akron+1
Sat 10/17Eastern Michigan vs Toledo+13
Sat 10/24Eastern Michigan at Ohio+7
— Bye Week —
Wed 11/4Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan+2.5
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/17Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan+11
Tue 11/24Eastern Michigan vs Kent State-9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 5, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Eastern Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL#63 (.18)44% (53)30.843% (70)2.91 (73)17844% (40)2383.86 (55)#2 (-.07)33% (4)13.339% (29)28% (1)2.45 (4)74.61.21.6
EMU#51 (.19)42% (69)24.145% (49)3.09 (43)14340% (86)2353.95 (45)#119 (.24)44% (96)29.844% (89)44% (104)3.88 (87)48.81.20.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
EMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1330.817.343.6%3.861.2214161782384.949%49%43%44%13%.18
EMU Defense1229.824.843.7%3.880.8 - - - - - 60%39%44%44%11%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Defense1313.316.733.3%2.451.6 - - - - - 52%45%39%28%20%-.07
EMU Offense1224.123.742.3%3.951.2203781432354.448%51%45%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1330:2621.240%24%8.574.61.21.67.12.8331.2
Eastern Michigan1228:0320.341%61%5.748.81.20.84.11.1024.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1349% (69)43% (70)36.2177.74.922 (40).12 (64)2.91 (73)78% (27)9% (53)0.9 (95)
EMU Defense1260% (135)44% (89) - - - - .19 (117)3.14 (108)72% (74)7% (133)1.06 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Defense1352% (98)39% (29) - - - - -.01 (13)2.36 (7)67% (39)13% (7)0.87 (22)
EMU Offense1248% (82)45% (49)32.4142.84.416 (78).14 (59)3.09 (43)64% (111)7% (8)0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1349% (66)44% (40)19.730.7238.17.812.127 (22)10 (60).28 (55)1.6 (62)32% (71)29% (79).2 (112)4% (11)1.9 (115)
EMU Defense1239% (3)44% (104) - - - - - - 7 (100).35 (114)1.6 (96)31% (79)34% (119).32 (81)4% (131)1.6 (2)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Defense1345% (30)28% (1) - - - - - - 13 (55)-.08 (1)1.6 (108)35% (22)19% (1)-.01 (1)7% (15)2.2 (124)
EMU Offense1251% (53)40% (86)20.633.7234.8711.418 (50)11 (88).28 (56)1.5 (70)31% (60)32% (46).4 (31)6% (78)2.1 (57)

Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 1.83  #59
Toledo's Offense Rating: 15.75  #68
Toledo's Defense Rating: 13.92  #56
2026 Talent Rating: 544.00  #93
Blue Chip Ratio: 125%  #81
Toledo's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
Toledo's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.0  #48
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #75
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.5  #21

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7

Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 1.83   Eastern Michigan: -9.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 6.0   Eastern Michigan: -14.7




Eastern Michigan's Power Ratings
Eastern Michigan's Power Rating: -9.125  #110
Eastern Michigan's Offense Rating: 10.21  #109
Eastern Michigan's Defense Rating: 18.76  #108
2026 Talent Rating: 501.00  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #103
Eastern Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 6.2 - 5.8
Eastern Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.7  #120
Eastern Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #113
Eastern Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #114

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 468.77
Average Power Five Talent: 871.03
Average FBS Talent: 676.7


Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Toledo's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 30
Eastern Michigan 17


Projected Total Points: 46
Eastern Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.8

Eastern Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Eastern Michigan28Toledo29Toledo -10Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202311/08Toledo49Eastern Michigan23Toledo -19.5Toledo45.5Over
202210/29Eastern Michigan24Toledo27Toledo -4Eastern Michigan54.0Under
202111/02Toledo49Eastern Michigan52Toledo -9Eastern Michigan54.5Over
202011/18Eastern Michigan28Toledo45Toledo -6.5Toledo62.5Over
201910/26Toledo37Eastern Michigan34Toledo -2.5Toledo52.0Over
201810/13Eastern Michigan28Toledo26Toledo -2Eastern Michigan62.0Under
201710/07Toledo20Eastern Michigan15Toledo -13.5Eastern Michigan60.0Under
201610/08Eastern Michigan20Toledo35Toledo -17.5Eastern Michigan65.5Under
201510/17Toledo63Eastern Michigan20Toledo -28Toledo63.0Over
201411/28Eastern Michigan16Toledo52Toledo -21.5Toledo0
201311/02Toledo55Eastern Michigan16Toledo -28Toledo0
201210/13Eastern Michigan47Toledo52
201110/08Toledo54Eastern Michigan16
201010/30Eastern Michigan7Toledo42
200911/20Toledo47Eastern Michigan21
200809/13Eastern Michigan17Toledo41
200711/03Toledo52Eastern Michigan28
200610/21Eastern Michigan17Toledo13
200510/08Toledo30Eastern Michigan3
200409/18Eastern Michigan32Toledo42
200310/11Toledo49Eastern Michigan14
200209/07Eastern Michigan13Toledo65
200111/17Toledo28Eastern Michigan7
200010/06Eastern Michigan14Toledo42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Eastern Michigan366 Overs
Toledo2264 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 128 - 44 - 24 - 2
Road Teams12 - 134 - 82 - 42 - 4

(#59) TOL at (#110) EMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTOLEMU
Game ControlGC #69 #105
Momentum ControlMC #22 #118
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #59 #110
SP+SP+ #48 #120
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #93 #99
Blue ChipsBC% #81 #103
Toledo Notes
(2/6) HC Jacobs (Mercer) is 94-23 as a head coach
(2/6) OC Reisert was HC @ Gard Webb, DC from Mercer
(2/6) QB Khamoni Robinson from Lenoir-Rhyne as QB1?
(2/6) Jacobs brought 13 portals from Mercer w him
(2/6) RB CJ Miller (Mer) exp'd, there's depth here
(2/6) WR has parts, Dabbs (Mer) really productive
(2/6) OL has 6 w good exp & prod, 3 are FCS portals
(2/6) DTs light and inexp'd. DEs have played, but ?
(2/6) LB corp looks good, although depth is green
(2/6) DBs no clue, top 2 are FCS, not much exp after
Toledo Injury Report
Eastern Michigan Notes
(2/25) Vibes: Avg, good looking run game, should bowl
(2/23) Chreighton era good, but has slipped lately
(2/23) QB Kim OK, has exp, way too many TOs though
(2/23) RB Bennett (VT) a good add, 2K career yds
(2/23) WR has Devereaux & Mack, no exp behind them
(2/23) OL a G5 good one, 4 exp'd options, some depth
(2/23) Front 7 has 7 with starter snaps, good prod
(2/23) DBs have 8 with some exp, S Llewellyn very good
(2/23) This roster should win more, solid low bowl team
Eastern Michigan Injury Report
Toledo on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Game ControlGC #100 #106
Momentum ControlMC #41 #114
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #53 #96
ExplosiveExp #76 #95
PPAPPA #63 #119
PowerPwr #68 #108
SP+SP+ #75 #114
Pts POPPO #55 #87
HavocHav #22 #134
Toledo Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #70 #89
Run ExplRExp #95 #111
PPAExp #64 #117
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #73 #108
Stuff RateStuff #86 #98
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
TOL OffEMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #40 #104
Pass ExplPExl #62 #96
PPAExp #55 #114
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #53 #133
DB HavocDB #11 #131
Eastern Michigan on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
Game ControlGC #107 #31
Momentum ControlMC #107 #16
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #69 #4
ExplosiveExp #72 #22
PPAPPA #51 #2
PowerPwr #109 #56
SP+SP+ #113 #21
Pts POPPO #45 #4
HavocHav #25 #5
Eastern Michigan Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
EMU OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #49 #29
Run ExplRExp #75 #22
PPAExp #59 #13
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #43 #7
Stuff RateStuff #56 #27
TackleTak - NR
Eastern Michigan Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 48%
CategoryCatEMU OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #1
Pass ExplPExl #70 #108
PPAExp #56 #1
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #8 #7
DB HavocDB #78 #15
Program Comparison
EMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TOL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rynearson Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2024 (29-28)
Toledo beat Eastern Michigan in 2023 (49-23)

  
TOL's OC Cris Reisert (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Alan Richter172568%153316.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
CJ Miller (Tr)168953145.779
Connor Walendzak329903.111
Michael Drennen II96006.715
Dane Nauman94004.412
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Adjatay Dabbs (Tr)45856819.084
Kalvin Gilbert46653714.265
CJ Miller (Tr)26314312.159
Peyton Strickland2422649.465

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC Jahmal Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Armorion Smith (Tr)362001
Langston Long335000
Ezra Odinjor (Tr)283121
Nicholas Thompson242100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ezra Odinjor (Tr)283121
Nicholas Thompson242100
Isaac Prince53100
Armorion Smith (Tr)362001
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Armorion Smith (Tr)362001
Dylan Hohler71011
Donovan Watkins (Tr)20001

EMU's OC Mike Piatkowski (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Noah Kim24740261%281718117.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Kim7918662.420
Joey Mattord64818.024
Ben Prosper94104.613
Braydon Bennett (Tr)4812.03
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Devereaux34510715.045
Joshua Long3735739.627
Harold Mack20333216.751
Ben Prosper2117708.422

View Eastern Michigan's Full Roster

EMU's DC Tate Omli (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Barry Manning756222
Jason Marshall560001
Zach Mowchan402001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quincy Byas226350
Barry Manning756222
Ronn Hardin113210
Warren-Stevens Tayou172111
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryce Llewellyn1035024
Caleb Coley100014
Barry Manning756222