Massachusetts at UConn - 2026 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo   Massachusetts Minutemen at UConn Huskies  UConn logo
Saturday, October 24th 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rentschler Field - East Hartford, CT

 
Minutemen (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 12)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#94)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UMASS coming off BYE
CONN coming off BYE
Our Line: UConn -29.5  (SP+ CONN -42)
Projected Score: UMASS: 13 - CONN: 43 (56)
CONN Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
UMASS Travel: 43 miles
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jason Candle (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (40 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 1.5 - 1.5 (#91)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Massachusetts's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 Massachusetts at Rutgers+34.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 Massachusetts at UConn+29.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
UConn's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UConn vs Lafayette-21
Sat 9/12 UConn vs Maryland+2
Sat 9/19 UConn at Southern Miss-2
Sat 9/26 UConn at Miami (OH)+2
Sat 10/3 UConn vs Syracuse-5
Sat 10/10 UConn at Temple+0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/24 UConn vs Massachusetts-29.5
Sat 10/31 UConn at Air Force-2.5
Sat 11/7 UConn vs North Carolina-1
Sat 11/14 UConn vs James Madison+5.5
Sat 11/21 UConn vs Old Dominion-1
Sat 11/28 UConn at Wyoming-5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS#135 (-.01)34% (134)11.133% (136)2.05 (136)8234% (129)1652.17 (136)#133 (.28)48% (130)38.649% (129)48% (129)4.64 (134)41.41.30.8
CONN#9 (.31)46% (29)35.346% (44)2.93 (69)16547% (22)2844.58 (14)#113 (.22)47% (126)2750% (133)43% (89)3.8 (81)48.30.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.333.7%2.171.316248821652.845%54%33%34%20%-.01
CONN Defense132719.546.6%3.81.3 - - - - - 55%44%50%43%15%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.548%4.640.8 - - - - - 55%43%49%48%9%.28
CONN Offense1335.340.346%4.580.2214491652845.345%54%46%47%12%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1226:5615.531%23%5.241.41.30.83.31.1125.9
UConn1328:5021.241%71%4.948.30.21.36.12.7030.4
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1245% (108)33% (136)29.382.42.86 (122)-.03 (129)2.05 (136)60% (127)13% (127)1.12 (12)
CONN Defense1355% (121)50% (133) - - - - .21 (123)3.37 (132)67% (32)10% (70)0.95 (65)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1255% (126)49% (129) - - - - .2 (121)3.53 (136)77% (106)6% (136)0.84 (14)
CONN Offense1345% (110)46% (44)30.9164.75.326 (36).21 (24)2.93 (69)82% (8)6% (3)1.04 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1254% (26)34% (129)18.634.6165.14.88.98 (134)9 (88).02 (132)1.3 (135)38% (135)25% (119).14 (126)7% (110)2 (70)
CONN Defense1344% (18)43% (89) - - - - - - 11 (55).28 (83)1.6 (68)26% (132)33% (115).4 (113)5% (95)2 (81)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1243% (12)48% (129) - - - - - - 4 (75).41 (128)1.6 (103)26% (134)33% (105).42 (120)3% (136)2 (76)
CONN Offense1354% (25)47% (22)23.634.7283.88.21230 (14)1 (1).44 (11)1.6 (48)32% (74)29% (83).48 (14)6% (55)2.5 (1)

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -22.81  #137
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 0.30  #131
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 28.11  #137
2026 Talent Rating: 428.00  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #64
Massachusetts's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Massachusetts's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.6  #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8  #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.8  #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 547.54
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -22.81   UConn: 0.04

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -36.6   UConn: 5.1




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 0.04  #109
UConn's Offense Rating: 10.97  #80
UConn's Defense Rating: 25.99  #132
2026 Talent Rating: 678.00  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #57
UConn's 2026 Expected Record: 1.5 - 1.5
UConn's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #53
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0  #38
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 950.5
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 43
Massachusetts 13

Projected Total Points: 56
UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

UConn's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Massachusetts42UConn47UConn -9.5Massachusetts49.5Over
202311/25Massachusetts18UConn31UMass -2.5UConn51.0Under
202211/04UConn27Massachusetts10Connecticut -15UConn39.5Under
202110/09Massachusetts27UConn13Connecticut -3Massachusetts57.0Under
201910/26Massachusetts35UConn56Connecticut -9.5UConn62.0Over
201810/27UConn17Massachusetts22UMass -3.5Massachusetts63.5Under
201208/30UConn37Massachusetts0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn532 Overs
Massachusetts234 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 31 - 12 - 2
Road Teams4 - 33 - 32 - 21 - 1

(#137) UMASS at (#109) CONN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSCONN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #137 #109
SP+SP+ #136 #53
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #125 #80
Blue ChipsBC% #64 #57
UConn Notes
(2/17) Vibes: Stable, Candle hire popular, 18 W's in 2 yrs
(2/17) My take: Candle underperformed badly at Toledo
(2/17) QB1? Osborne (Toledo) vs Merklinger (Tenn)
(2/17) 52 portal adds, 17 from Toledo, sneaky good
(2/17) RB 4 portals, none really stand out. Have depth
(2/17) WR 10 portal adds, 6 from Toledo. Should be good
(2/17) OL 10 portals, have 3 w starting exp, some depth
(2/17) DL 11 portals, only 4 have real exp, not sure
(2/17) DB 9 portals, one starting S and lots of PTers
UConn Injury Report
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffCONN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #134 #126
ExplosiveExp #78 #42
PPAPPA #135 #113
PowerPwr #131 #132
SP+SP+ #136 #76
Pts POPPO #136 #81
HavocHav #131 #91
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffCONN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #136 #133
Run ExplRExp #12 #65
PPAExp #129 #123
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #136 #132
Stuff RateStuff #136 #135
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffCONN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #129 #89
Pass ExplPExl #135 #68
PPAExp #132 #83
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #127 #70
DB HavocDB #110 #95
UConn on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCONN OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #29 #130
ExplosiveExp #26 #24
PPAPPA #9 #133
PowerPwr #80 #137
SP+SP+ #38 #136
Pts POPPO #14 #134
HavocHav #11 #136
UConn Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat
CONN OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #44 #129
Run ExplRExp #38 #14
PPAExp #24 #121
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #69 #136
Stuff RateStuff #40 #136
TackleTak - NR
UConn Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCatCONN OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #22 #129
Pass ExplPExl #48 #103
PPAExp #11 #128
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #3 #136
DB HavocDB #55 #136
Program Comparison
CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'26 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'26 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2024 (47-42)
UConn beat Massachusetts in 2023 (31-18)

  
UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
RJ Johnson III (Tr)17626566%21861648.2
William Watson III (Tr)2450%770019.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Washington (Tr)8634034.024
Justin Williams-Thomas (Tr)3519725.637
RJ Johnson III (Tr)5713932.426
Elijah Faulkner4011402.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Matthews (Tr)36649718.059
Jordan Washington (Tr)2220219.260
Max Dowling20199310.077
Reece Adkins9133114.851

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Zeraun Daniel753002
Timmy Hinspeter694222
Kendall Bournes582000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter694222
William Depaepe (Tr)21100
Tyler Martin973002
Kezion Dia-Johnson30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jahmad Harmon (Tr)242005
Tyler Martin973002
Timmy Hinspeter694222

CONN's OC Marquel Blackwell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)325262%427308.2
Jake Merklinger (Tr)132454%173207.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenji Christian10552845.037
Trey Cornist (Tr)10446914.529
Kalieb Osborne (Tr)5128225.533
Cyncir Bowers (Tr)6324924.026
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shamar Porter17219112.956
Kenji Christian17193111.442
Ryder Treadway (Tr)13176313.524
Javon Brown (Tr)8156119.546

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Ryan Manalac (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Esean Carter364331
Luke Murphy (Tr)364001
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Esean Carter364331
Chamberlain Campbell (Tr)62200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anas Luqman (Tr)339452
Zakaih Saez (Tr)131102
K'Von Sherman (Tr)9315561