Buffalo at Bowling Green - 2020 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Bowling Green Falcons  Bowling Green logo
Tuesday, November 17th 2020 (7:00 PM EST)
Buffalo -31.5 (57.5)
Buffalo 42 - Bowling Green: 17  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (6 - 1) (5 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ BUFF -29.5)
Projected Score: BUFF: 23 - BGSU: 21 (44)
BUFF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
BUFF Travel: 272 miles
Falcons (0 - 5) (1 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Buffalo at Northern Illinois-14.053.0W 49 - 30OY
Tue 11/10 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)-7.555.0W 42 - 10UY
Tue 11/17 Buffalo at Bowling Green-31.557.5W 42 - 17ON
Sat 11/28 Buffalo vs Kent State-7.570.0W 70 - 41OY
Sat 12/5 Buffalo at Ohio-11.058.0
Sat 12/12 Buffalo vs Akron-33.558.5W 56 - 7OY
Fri 12/18 Buffalo vs Ball State-13.069.5L 28 - 38UN
Fri 12/25 Buffalo vs Marshall-5.553.5W 17 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/4 Bowling Green at Toledo+24.063.0L 3 - 38UN
Tue 11/10 Bowling Green vs Kent State+20.555.0L 24 - 62ON
Tue 11/17 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+31.557.5L 17 - 42OY
Sat 11/28 Bowling Green at Ohio+22.555.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 12/5 Bowling Green at Akron+2.554.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 12/12 Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)+24.049.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.2146%2447%3.1425041%1384.02.0539%23.539%37%3.1344.61.12.4
BGSU.0239%20.543%2.8116232%1572.32.3247%24.344%49%4.0759.21.81.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense132423.245.8%4.021.1213892501384.968%31%47%41%15%.21
BGSU Defense1224.319.546.7%4.071.7 - - - - - 54%45%44%49%17%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1323.522.639.1%3.132.4 - - - - - 48%50%39%37%21%.05
BGSU Offense1220.51739%2.321.8173191621573.956%43%43%32%20%.02

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1334:0221.245%64%4.944.61.12.47.34.4230.4
Bowling Green1229:191733%22%759.21.81.75.82.9030.5
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1368%47%50.7250.54.936.213.1480%9%1.01
BGSU Defense1254%44% - - - - .273.0875%11%1.29
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1348%39% - - - - .022.6665%14%0.84
BGSU Offense1256%43%41.8161.83.915.082.8161%14%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1331%41%11.521.4138.16.512146.21.528%35%.276%1.7
BGSU Defense1245%49% - - - - - - 7.411.530%34%.46%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1350%37% - - - - - - 11.11.631%24%.017%1.9
BGSU Offense1243%32%15.828157.35.610915-.041.632%24%-.047%1.8

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2020 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.3  #48
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #47

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Bowling Green: -9.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: 5.3   Bowling Green: -24.1




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -9.55 NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Bowling Green's 2020 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1  #128
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.6  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.4  #117

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Buffalo 23
Bowling Green 21

Projected Total Points: 44
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2020 Record
Record: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 2
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Bowling Green3Buffalo28Bowling Green -2.5Buffalo44.5Under
202310/14Buffalo14Bowling Green24Buffalo -3Bowling Green44.5Under
202210/08Bowling Green7Buffalo38Buffalo -2Buffalo55.5Under
202110/30Buffalo44Bowling Green56Buffalo -13.5Bowling Green51.5Over
202011/17Bowling Green17Buffalo42Buffalo -31.5Bowling Green57.5Over
201911/29Buffalo49Bowling Green7Buffalo -28Buffalo53.5Over
201811/23Bowling Green14Buffalo44Buffalo -16Buffalo62.0Under
201711/07Buffalo38Bowling Green28Buffalo -7Buffalo61.0Over
201611/25Bowling Green27Buffalo19Bowling Green -11Buffalo60.0Under
201510/03Buffalo22Bowling Green28Bowling Green -6.5Buffalo67.5Under
201410/04Bowling Green36Buffalo35Bowling Green -5Buffalo0
201311/29Buffalo7Bowling Green24Bowling Green -3.5Bowling Green52.0Under
201211/23Bowling Green21Buffalo7
201111/25Buffalo28Bowling Green42
201010/02Bowling Green26Buffalo28
200911/03Buffalo29Bowling Green30
200811/21Bowling Green34Buffalo40
200711/17Buffalo17Bowling Green31
200609/09Bowling Green48Buffalo40
200510/15Buffalo7Bowling Green27
200109/08Bowling Green35Buffalo0
200009/22Buffalo20Bowling Green17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green1344 Overs
Buffalo987 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 144 - 82 - 52 - 3
Road Teams14 - 88 - 43 - 25 - 2

(#) BUFF at (#) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #128
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #121 #125
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #117
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Bowling Green on Offense
CategoryCatBGSU OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #128 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Bowling Green Run Game
CategoryCat
BGSU OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Bowling Green Pass Game
CategoryCatBGSU OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'20 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'20 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
Buffalo 31.5 (57.5)
Buffalo won at Bowling Green this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Buffalo beat Bowling Green last year (28-3)
Bowling Green beat Buffalo in 2023 (24-14)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BGSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BGSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD